Adobe Inc.
Cold start and adaptive server monitor

Abstract:

A server monitoring methodology uses a time-series model for predicting value of a metric of a server. The model is built using initial training data that includes median values of the metric, each median value based on previously measured values of that metric, from servers of a group to which the server is being added. The methodology includes observing the value of the metric of the server, and comparing that observed value to a predicted value of the model. In response to the observed value being within an expected tolerance, the training data is updated to include the observed value; and in response to the observed value being outside the expected tolerance, the training data is updated to include a value between the observed value of the server metric and the predicted value. The model is updated using the updated training data, and eventually adapts to performance of the server.