Amazon.com, Inc.
Accurately estimating causal effects for related events

Abstract:

Methods, systems, and computer-readable media for accurately estimating causal effects for related events are disclosed. A plurality of estimates of causal effects of events are determined. The estimates are determined independently. A subset of the estimates are determined not to satisfy a relationship among the causal effects. A set of accurate estimates are generated based at least in part on the subset of the estimates. The accurate estimates are generated using a smoothing process, and the accurate estimates satisfy the relationship.