Electronic Arts Inc.
Q4 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
Published:
- Operator:
- Good day, everyone and welcome to the Electronic Arts fourth quarter fiscal year 2007 earnings conference call. Today’s call is being recorded. For opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ms. Tricia Gugler, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Madam.
- Tricia Gugler:
- Welcome to our fourth quarter fiscal 2007 earnings call. Today on the call we have Larry Probst, Chairman of the Board of Directors; John Riccitiello, Chief Executive Officer; Warren Jenson, Chief Financial and Administrative Officer; and Frank Gibeau, Executive Vice President and General Manager of North America Publishing. Before we begin, I’d like to remind you that you may find copies of our SEC filings, our earnings release, and a replay of the webcast on our website at investor.ea.com. Shortly after the call, we will post a copy of our prepared remarks on our website. Throughout this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Non-GAAP measures exclude charges and related income tax effects associated with acquired in-process technology, amortization of intangibles, certain litigation expenses, restructuring charges, and stock-based compensation. In addition, the company’s non-GAAP results exclude the impact of certain one-time income tax adjustment. Our earnings release provides a reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP measures. In addition, we include a detailed GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation on our website. Information regarding our use of non-GAAP measures, along with a schedule demonstrating how we calculate return on invested capital, will be included with a copy of today’s prepared remarks we post on our website. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be considered in isolation from, a substitute for, or superior to our GAAP results and we encourage investors to consider all measures before making an investment decision. All comparisons made in the course of this call are against the same period for the prior year, unless otherwise stated. We have also included a summary of our financial guidance and our prepared remarks, as well as our trailing 12 month platform shares in a supplemental schedule on our website. During the course of this call, we may make forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future financial performance of the company. We caution you that actual events and results may differ materially. We refer you to our most recent Form 10-K and 10-Q for a discussion of risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those discussed today. We make these statements as of May 8, 2007 and disclaim any duty to update them. As most of you know, John Riccitiello became our Chief Executive Officer on April 2nd, so before we hear from Warren, Larry would like to say a few things.
- Lawrence F. Probst:
- Thank you, Tricia and good afternoon, everyone. My 16 years as CEO have provided me with a array of opportunities, experiences and insights into our business. One of the most rewarding elements has been to watch a group of talented individuals mature into a team of seasoned executives and creative leaders. When it came time for our Board to choose a successor as CEO, the solution was obvious. In his first seven years at EA as our President and Chief Operating Officer, John proved himself as a leader with exceptional vision and an ability to inspire the people around him. We are very fortunate to have a new CEO with a deep understanding of the industry, a proven ability to lead, and a strong commitment to growing our business. John is now running the company. He is doing a terrific job and I have every confidence that he and his team will take EA to the next level of success. With that, let me introduce John Riccitiello.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Thank you, Larry. This experience has been both humbling and exhilarating. As I mentioned when my appointment was announced, EA is my dream job. Since joining, I have been on the road with our teams and business partners. This past month I’ve had the opportunity to visit our studios in Vancouver, Montreal and Florida and then visited our major studio and publishing operations in Europe, Asia and the rest of North America. In total, I have met with over half of our employees and had the chance to meet one on one with hundreds of our people. I have also had the opportunity to review our fiscal 2007 performance and our plans for fiscal 2008. I’ve learned a lot and have come away with a few early impressions. First, I would like to point out that Larry has done truly an extraordinary job in leading this company for the past 16 years. He’s led us through the most difficult transition in industry history and he’s focused us on a set of far-reaching goals for investing and growing the business. Larry has been the industry’s best CEO and we owe him a deep debt of gratitude. I am also personally grateful as Larry has made my transition back to EA easy and seamless. Second, I’m impressed with EA’s talent and incredible portfolio of assets. No other company in our industry can match these strengths. I’m also very gratified by the reception I have received from all of EA’s employees. Third, EA has done a great job of laying out its global priorities to lead on next-gen platforms, in online, wireless, Asia and on further building out our portfolio of owned intellectual properties. With that, I will now turn the discussion over to Warren. After his remarks, I will come back and outline some thoughts on our priorities for fiscal ‘08 and beyond.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Thanks, John, great to have you back. Good afternoon, everyone. I’d like to begin with a few highlights. Our fourth quarter performance exceeded our expectations both on the top and bottom line. For the quarter, revenue was $613 million versus $641 million, down 4%. GAAP diluted loss per share was $0.08 versus a loss of $0.05 a year ago. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.06 versus $0.14. During the quarter, several titles stood out. We successfully re-launched the Command and Conquer franchise with C&C 3 Tiberium Wars selling over one million copies. The Sims 2 Seasons sold over one million copies, making it our fifth platinum Sims 2 expansion pack. We shipped four Wii titles in March; Tiger Woods PGA TOUR, SSX, Medal of Honor Vanguard and Godfather Blackhand Edition. While we still have a way to go, we now have six Wii titles at retail. In North America, we were the number one third party publisher for the month of March and we estimate number two in Europe. In addition, Def Jam ICON, Medal of Honor Vanguard, NBA Street and Burnout Dominator each sold over 500 thousand copies. And finally, our catalog continued to perform well. Need for Speed Carbon, Need for Speed Most Wanted, The Sims 2 and Madden 07 each sold over a half million copies. For the year, revenue was $3.091 billion, up 5% from a year ago. Our top four franchises were Need for Speed, The Sims, Madden and FIFA -- all experiencing double-digit unit and revenue growth year-over-year. The Sims franchise continues to thrive with 22 million copies sold. Both units and revenue were up a strong 49%. For the year, we had 24 platinum titles, down from 27 a year ago. Our trailing twelve month segment share was roughly 20% in both North America and Europe, down roughly two to three points for the comparable period. In Sports, our business continues to grow, with revenue up over 20%. Madden 07 was our top selling title for the year with units and revenue up over 15%. This year we launched Madden on 11 platforms. Our soccer business had a banner year. We sold over 13 million games across our soccer portfolio -- FIFA, FIFA World Cup, Champions League and FIFA Street. In online, we grew digital revenue 47% to $127 million. Our Club Pogo subscriptions have now surpassed 1.5 million, up 23% from last year. In addition, we sold over 9 million pieces of digital content. In cell phones, revenue reached $140 million as we continued to expand in both North America and Europe. In the first year of our acquisition, EA Mobile delivered $40 million of non-GAAP operating profit at a margin of 29% -- well ahead of our expectations. Also, on a GAAP basis, the acquisition of JAMDAT was accretive for the year. And finally, over the last 12 months we further strengthened our long-term position. EA Partners signed agreements to bring Rock Band, Mercenaries 2 and Hellgate London to consumers. We acquired five companies
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Thanks, Warren. Before we open the call to questions, I would like to take you through a few general priorities on which we will focus. First, we will focus on improving execution and predictability. EA is blessed with a team that is unmatched in creativity and professionalism. Our intent is to lead this team to deliver on our obligations to our consumers and our shareholders. Second, I will be working to align our teams for increased accountability, agility and speed to market. My sense is that we can be faster and better focused on capturing opportunities, increasing segment share and overall growth. Third, it’s time to accelerate. We plan to set new goals for where we want to be at the peak of this cycle and beyond. Our intent is to create a stronger long-term performance trajectory. Larry has brought me in to drive an agenda of change. I am very optimistic about EA’s future and our ability to deliver on our fiscal ‘08 operating plan and I look forward to telling you more about our plans and progress in the months ahead. Now, we would be happy to take all of your questions.
- Operator:
- (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Bill Kreher with A. G. Edwards.
- Bill Kreher:
- Thanks, guys, for taking my question. Just curious on the $175 million of online revenue expected, how much of that is the dynamic game advertising and how is that environment, from your perspective? And just maybe what the contribution from Warhammer is expected, as far as that $175 million? Thanks.
- Frank D. Gibeau:
- I won’t get into all of the specifics. I’d tell you that in terms of advertising, you can count on, you know, it could be anywhere from call it $20 million to $35 million or so. The MMO looking at Warhammer, again, I’d put it in the maybe $30 million to $50 million range.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- The other thing on dynamic in-game advertising is we are going to be dramatically increasing the number of titles that will be supporting it, both on the PC and the 360. We will also be looking at opportunities for advertising on other platforms, including mobile, in the new fiscal year.
- Frank D. Gibeau:
- Let me just clarify, because I mentioned Warhammer specifically, but the number I was giving you is total MMO revenue, which includes all of our MMO titles, Dark Age of Camelot, UO, as well as Warhammer.
- Operator:
- Next from Arcadia we’ll hear from John Taylor.
- John Taylor:
- I wonder if you could talk a little bit about the growth drivers for the year and break it down maybe into baskets, like EA partners with a lower margin segment, how much your thinking is coming from the publishing side, the traditional side, and then if you look at all the new businesses, the advertising piece, the mobility piece, digital download pieces, advertising, all that stuff kind of as a third basket, maybe give us a sense of what that mix might look like in the new fiscal year. Thanks.
- Frank D. Gibeau:
- I’ll take a high level cut at and then -- you know, obviously a lot of this really boils down to the strength of the SKU plan. Our packaged goods business, I think you can take a look exactly at the SKU plan and the strength of it. I think obviously we got a slow start in Q1 relative to the size of our lineup but it really kicks in in late June with Harry Potter. We are forecasting 13% to 18% market growth for packaged goods across Europe, and that’s going to be the principal driver of that business. The mobile business, as we’ve said, did $140 million. We think those revenues could pass through $175 million. In online, which is comprised of a host of things, obviously, all the way from digital downloads to micro-transactions to our subscription revenue and the like, as I mentioned last year was $127 million, and as I just mentioned on the call, we think that could go through $175 million. For the full year geographically, I think we would be safe to say we expect strong growth from all geographies -- North America, Europe and in Asia.
- Operator:
- From Bear Stearns, we’ll hear from Edward Urban.
- Edward Urban:
- Good afternoon, thanks. I wanted to ask a question on the mobile side. You’ve talked about $175 million in revenues. Just looking at the trailing 12 months, quarter over quarter, those revenues have been up slightly but now you are forecasting 20% to 25% growth. I’m wondering if you can just talk about the key drivers on the mobile side.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- I’ll take a cut at that. Looking at JAMDAT, JAMDAT has actually had a very, very healthy year year-over-year and the comps are not up just slightly. This has been a very, very strong year for the entire business. As an example, and I’m using JAMDAT comps, now the EA Mobile, so this is pretty much apples-to-apples, FY07 to FY06, revenues were up 63% to north of $140 million. And then equally as impressively, they delivered $41 million of operating profit at a 29% operating margin, which is I think pretty darn spectacular. For the fourth quarter, again just to show the strength of the growth performance, JAMDAT revenues went from $25 million a year ago to EA Mobile this year of $37 million, which is up 48%. So this is a business that has actually done very, very well and it’s done very well competitively. In terms of the market, I believe -- and I’m using rough terms -- our segment shares have doubled in Europe during the course of the year, which is exactly what we said we want to do. Hidden underneath this performance is the fact that we have a well-integrated business that is also leveraging the EA portfolio of titles. I think we’ve just gotten going with about 10 of our titles so far really being integrated into that platform and portfolio of products. So just as a point of clarification, this has been a very healthy segment. It’s been thus far a very successful acquisition and we are very, very pleased with Michael Marchetti and his entire team and their leadership. Looking forward, we’ve stated that we expect 20% to 25% market growth for the mobile segment and we’ll report on our progress.
- Operator:
- From Janco Partners we’ll hear from Mike Hickey.
- Mike Hickey:
- Thanks for taking my call. John, welcome back. I think you hit at the end there a little bit of your vision for the firm moving forward, and certainly we’ve heard the word acceleration before, but can you give us a little bit more granularity on where you think you could have the greatest impact near-term and perhaps longer term?
- John S. Riccitiello:
- That’s a pretty broad question, Mike. I’ll do my best to come back to you on that. I think probably the most important thing right now is getting the company increasing its accountability, agility, speed to market, the second point that I was making in my last comment. What I’m speaking to there is just moving faster in the marketplace to drive segment share. We’ve had some issues with predictability on our titles, a little bit that we’re focused on to bring up the quality. It’s not always met our objectives. So harder driving on the front that you’d expect us to -- driving segment share.
- Operator:
- With Pacific Crest, we’ll hear from Evan Wilson.
- Evan Wilson:
- Thanks for giving us a little bit of detail on what exactly you expect from each of the elements of operating expenses, but I remember on the last call you guys talking about significant operating margin leverage. Don’t see that in these numbers, wondering what you’ve seen change over the last three months. Thanks.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- What I would tell you is that we -- clearly fiscal ’07, we talked about making it being a year of investment, and it was. What I can tell you of what has happened over the past three months is we’ve gone through our budgeting process. We’ve also set financial goals, which are consistent with where the operating plan has come out. We’ve tried to take a realistic assessment of our SKU plan and make sure that we’ve got the right titles in the right quarters and that we can ship them, and we built an operating plan. And it’s on the basis of that operating plan that both our revenues and expenses are built, and that’s what we intend to deliver.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from John McPeake with Prudential Equity Group.
- John McPeake:
- Thank you for taking my question. It sounds like, based on your guidance, you’re expecting to begin to win back share in fiscal year ’08. There are some important launches in the calendar fourth quarter -- Halo 3 and Grand Theft Auto. I’m just trying to get a sense as to your confidence in your ability to start to win back share, and then I just have a quick follow-up.
- Frank D. Gibeau:
- Sure. That is our -- absolutely our key challenge. I think if you look at the way that our SKU plan is set up, you are really going to start to see that share win-back occur with the launch of Harry Potter at the end of June. Our portfolio from that point forward is pretty strong. It’s across all genres and all platforms, and it’s broader than just our sports business, which has traditionally been our strength. Just to mention some of the sports titles, once Harry Potter releases, you are quickly going to get a rolling effect with NCAA Football, John Madden Football. You are going to have NBA Live. You are going to have FIFA, and then we are also going to have an NFL Street product coming for the fall, so you are going to have a very broad and stronger base of sports titles that we believe will benefit from a growing market. Secondly, you are going to see some big entertainment launches. It starts with Harry Potter in June, but coming back in the fall with Simpsons, that’s a title that we’re very bullish on. We think we’ve got a unique twist in the positioning and the way that we’ve built that game, and it is the year of The Simpsons, with the film and a major DVD release. We believe that that’s going to be a major media event for us. If you move into the place where we have wholly-owned IP, it’s a tremendous lineup year over year. You’ve got another Need for Speed title coming as one of the key tent-poles, but stepping out from that you have a tremendous lineup of Sims titles, our EAP business is bringing things like Mercenaries 2, Hellgate, Crysis, we’ve got titles in the action sports category with Skate. Medal of Honor in the shooting category, Army of 2. And then we have a very large bet this fall with a title that we’re working with MTV and Harmonix on called Rock Band that we’re extremely excited about. So our goal is absolutely to be the biggest this fall, and it starts in late June and it’s a rolling set of titles that just hit hard.
- Operator:
- Moving on, next we’ll hear from Colin Sebastian of Lazard Capital Markets.
- Colin Sebastian:
- Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I guess two parts; first, in terms of your growth assumptions for the year, in terms of guidance as well as the industry outlook, I was hoping you could talk about your assumptions for pricing on both the new hardware platforms as well as on software. Secondly, I realize that Spore may not make it into the year, so I was curious if you could expand a little bit on the progress of that title. Thank you.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Sure. First off, in the last month, I’ve had the opportunity to visit with all the major first party, Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo. To be honest with you, while we are in the position to know more about this than we could talk about today, it is not our view of our role in the world to pre-announce their plans for the fall. We remain confident though that in our prognostication of 13% to 18% growth across the business. We also believe that there are three strong valid platforms that will survive and prosper through this cycle, and we are going to support all of them and take the lead on each of these platforms. I’m not going to give you more granular than that because frankly to do so would be getting ahead of the announcements that each of the major platform owners need to bring to you. Beyond that, Spore; Spore right now is a title that we’ve got enormous confidence in. I’ve had the chance to review the title three times in my short return to EA and it looks fantastic. I will also tell you that it’s right on the bubble in Q4, if not some time in early fiscal ’09, so we don’t feel comfortable in forecasting it. Our focus is quality over speed to make sure that we build a franchise that feels more like The Sims than a franchise that we ship once and hope to sequel at some point in the future.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Justin Post with Merrill Lynch.
- Justin Post:
- Thank you. John or Warren, you might want to answer this, but when you go back to ’04, you had $511 million in R&D, and in 2007, excluding the stock comp, we’re about 965, so it’s almost doubled and revenues are up around 5%. Is there a way to, and I know if you benchmark it against some of your competitors as far as publishing revenue to R&D adjusting for their capitalization, it looks like you’re spending quite a bit. Is there a way to reign that in? How do you expect the R&D spend to affect your peak margins when we look out a couple of years from now?
- John S. Riccitiello:
- I’ll give you a couple of broad thoughts to start. One is you are comparing peak of the last cycle to trough of this cycle, so you invariably get compression, meaning you get less return on your investment. I am very pleased that Larry led the team to make strong investments in new intellectual property, strong investments in new technology to lead on the new platforms, strong investment in the past year to get us in a better position on Nintendo and Wii, which we had initially under-forecast by a bit, so it put us in a great position. Those are investments that don’t pay out in the year that you make them -- those are investments that are going to pay out beginning in ’08, moving into ’09 and fiscal ‘10. You’ve accurately pointed out that we’ve nearly doubled R&D while revenue has been relatively flat in that timeframe. That is exactly what happens as you move from peak through to transition. These investments need to pay out as we come through the cycle in the coming months, or coming years, excuse me. One other observation; having visited with most but not quite all of EA Studios, I do see an opportunity both to generate more revenue from our portfolio and to be strong on the cost management side to make sure we realize what we ought to realize as we move through the cycle. Warren, do you want to add anything to that?
- Warren C. Jenson:
- No, I think at the end of the day, we understand the issue, Justin, and the nature of it is that we, over the course of the coming years, need and want to get more out of every dollar of expense we have on our income statement.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Shawn Milne from Oppenheimer.
- Shawn Milne:
- Thank you, and good afternoon. I’m trying to again reconcile the expectations for a little bit more to drop to the bottom line next year or this fiscal year. The marketing costs were also up in the current quarter. Has there been any change in how aggressive you want to be on the marketing front heading into ’08, or is that more a reflection of the title count we saw in the quarter? Thanks.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Well some of that is going to be the comp issue year over year. Our ad spends are pretty much in line. In a year like that we have upcoming, it is a big competitive year. We are very confident in the power of our brands and how the marketing spend will be deployed. We don’t expect to see anything unusual with regard to the percent that we spend on marketing versus titles.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- I would say that if you cut through the ins and outs of that, Shawn, we had $5 million of higher marketing spend directly on our products, some hired contracted services supporting our products in Europe. About $4 million of that was stock-based comp and roughly $4 million was higher headcount related costs.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Tony Gikas from Piper Jaffray.
- Tony Gikas:
- Thanks, guys and John, welcome back. Looking forward to working with you again. Real quickly, relative to industry growth during the next cycle, do you guys have a goal in terms of EA growth relative to the industry? In terms of a potential share repurchase, or let’s address the cash position, which is now $3.3 billion in cash, a very strong cash flow in the next few years here. Any comment on what to do with excess cash at this point?
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Warren’s going to pick up on share repurchase and I’ll come back on the share targets.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Tony, I would say, and this question, as you know, has come up several times, that I think our -- and in the meetings we’ve had together as a management team and with the Board and with John, is our first and primary objective is going to be to grow this business and to drive shareholder value. As we move into the cycle and as we continue and build upon our cash position and build our cash flow generation capability, I certainly can’t speak for the Board but I know the Board is wide open to any and all alternatives that will help to drive shareholder value, and on an ongoing basis will consider all alternatives, including acquisitions, including partnerships, including investing in new business, but also including things like a share repurchase and/or dividend.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Turning to your question regarding market share, first off I’d tell you that we generally do not give out multi-year forecast on market share, revenue or margin. Frankly, it is a little bit early for me to be providing those in any case, even if we were to have them. I will point out two broad thoughts here that are very important. One is share growth is in the DNA at EA. It is what we’re after. It’s what we intend to do. As I mentioned before, we are blessed with an incredible talent pool, the best intellectual property in the industry and the strongest studios. It is our job to harness those assets to drive growth. Secondly, I mentioned that there is going to be some work done to realign our organization to help us get to increased accountability, agility and speed. Frankly, we think that’s the perfect combination -- drive for speed with these assets and the goal will be market share growth.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Jeetil Patel with Deutsche Bank Securities.
- Jeetil Patel:
- Thank you. Can you -- it looks like your European growth on a constant currency basis has been generally flat over the last couple of years, three years. Can you talk about what you think the European market grows? I know you’ve bracketed 13 to 18, but can you give us a sense of what the growth rate looks like, and then the contribution from an FX standpoint? Second, can you just give us a sense of the partner revenue contribution for fiscal ’08 in your assumptions? Thanks.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Jeetil, I would put the revenue growth for Europe in the 13% to 18% range. I don’t think it falls outside of that range. I can’t argue with the fact that revenues over the past couple, three years have been flat. That just is a fact and I think it’s pretty well recorded in our financial statement. FX as I mentioned was $22 million for the quarter. For the full year, it was $53 million, and partner revenue, at least to this point, is pretty insignificant. Our biggest partner that at least comes to mind most recently is what we’re doing with Neowiz in terms of FIFA Online in Korea and then on into Japan. Right now, that is just not a material part of our international revenue streams.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Just to add a little bit to that, one is complexity and one is just a broader definition of partner. On the broader definition of partner, nearly all of our EA partners business does in fact go out into Europe, so titles like Rock Band and Mercenaries and Hellgate that you heard Frank speak to earlier are generally worldwide deals, so those will also fall through to Europe and generate revenue. Secondly, for those of you who write analyst reports, all of you reported back that Europe is a much more complex market than it’s ever been before. One of the things I’d point out as we grow our business in Europe is frankly the diversity from market to market. Eastern Europe still being very much a PS2 market, the U.K. standing alone in terms of how Microsoft and Sony are performing and continental Europe being different, with the exception there of Germany, which remains a strong PC market. So one of our challenges in Europe is frankly the nature of it being a bit of a patch quilt, different strategies really by market.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Heath Terry with Credit Suisse.
- Heath Terry:
- Thank you. Warren, just making sure that we understand the guidance on the expense line the right way. On the last call, I seem to recall you saying that R&D costs would be up in the mid single digits this fiscal year. It sounds like from your guidance today that that’s actually going to be higher. Is that a function of the acceleration that John’s talking about? And if so, is that from putting more products into development or is it from the cost of the current products in development being higher? Also John, if you could talk to the balance that you want the company to have between license and newly created intellectual property and how you see that rebalancing that was started at the company a couple of years ago progressing.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Let me try to answer that question. I was just trying to recall my exact words in the last conference call. As I recall, I talked about single digit growth for R&D, and this is really a clarification on, to allow you to be more specific. So I don’t think our view has actually moved from three months ago. What I did say on the call, and it holds true again, is that we talked about spending in our core studios being less than 5% and that is in fact the case, and that has not changed. So net net is I think this is pretty consistent with where we were three months ago -- core studio growth under 5%, the bulk of the growth in spending is coming in various online investment on the R&D line.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- Back on your question regarding license versus owned intellectual property, you mentioned newly created properties. I would like to come back and give you a broad answer. In the past, we’ve talked about getting to as much as 50% of our business being owned intellectual properties. Frankly, I’ve never seen a stronger portfolio of new property starts at EA in its history, whether it’s Army of Two or Boogie or what we’ve got going on with Spore -- unbelievable portfolio of new property. We’re also building on the strength of our existing fully-owned properties, like Medal of Honor, importantly The Sims -- these are great contributors to our business, so in general I’d say that if you go back five or six years, EA was probably over-tilted to licensed property. We saw the writing on the wall in terms of the cost of licensed properties rising. Larry and the team redirected resources to owned intellectual property. That has paid dividends and there is big investment made in the last 12 months to further enhance that strategy with the list Warren and Frank have mentioned on the call so far.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Michael Savner with Banc of America.
- Michael Savner:
- Good afternoon. Thanks. Sorry if I’ve missed this, but have you given a firm release date for The Simpsons game? Is that going to coincide with the theatrical release in August, and if not, what would be the strategy or was it just not planned to not have them coincide?
- Frank D. Gibeau:
- The title is planned to launch in the fall. It will be near the DVD release in the late Christmas timeframe. When we originally did the deal, it was never the intention to make the movie date due to the timing.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Benjamin Schachter from UBS Securities.
- Benjamin Schachter:
- John, welcome back. Given your time over on the private side, I was wondering how that has changed your view on looking at acquisitions and how you might bring that over to EA, and if you could address that maybe by geographic area in the U.S., Europe and Asia. Thanks.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- First, I could probably point out that EA did more acquisitions in the last 12 months than I did on the private side, with six separate transactions, so this has been an inquisitive group. In terms of broad new perspectives, we have clearly made an investment with Neowiz in Korea. We have a strong interest in growing our platform in Asia, Europe and in the North American marketplace, so we really don’t differentiate further in terms of wanting to get to any particular geography. I would suggest that our priorities on the M&A side first would be growing the strength of our intellectual property portfolio, the breadth and depth of our property list. We’d like to grow that. We are always looking to expand talent where talent can be found. That is the, if you will, the shortest commodity in our industry. We are trying to build on EA Mobile. Now, our mobile business through JAMDAT is doing a great job of building internationally, but in particular we are interested in further international throughout, and of course we are expanding our online presence. So by and large, we are looking at M&A as a strategic way to enhance the same list of priorities this company’s articulated in recent calls, whether it’s next-gen platforms, online and wireless in Asia.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from David Joseph with Morgan Stanley.
- David Joseph:
- I just have a minor question at this point. Warren, it seems like your expectations for deferred revenue in fiscal ’08 went up since last call, and it sounds like you’ve gone through a budgeting process, but I’m wondering if there’s anything else there that might have increased that number.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- No, the range is roughly $400 million to $450 million, so it’s modified to $500 million, so yes, it is a range and honestly, we’re just trying to be a little bit conservative with that range, hopefully. The reality is this is our first year through it, as it’s your first year through it, and slight movements in ship dates can make a big difference. So we felt like it was probably pretty smart on the GAAP side in putting a relatively sizable spread on that, David.
- Operator:
- Next we’ll hear from Dean Gianoukos with J.P. Morgan.
- Dean Gianoukos:
- Can you just touch on specifics as to what you are going to do to improve game quality? It seems like game quality at EA has deteriorated over the past few years. Is there anything you are planning to get quality up and bring a better slate of games to the market? Thanks.
- John S. Riccitiello:
- First off, I would tell you that, sort of just a fact pattern for you, if you take a look at all of the major publishers -- Microsoft, Sony, Nintendo, in addition to our more direct competitors on the third party side, you’ll see that pretty much all of them have seen slight reductions on their meta-critic scores on average over the last three to four years if they’ve tackled next-gen consoles. EA frankly does not stand out from the crowd as having missed more than others have. That’s not a good answer for where we want to go. I have been trying to be somewhat generic in addressing the need for increased accountability, agility, speed to market and that we want to align our team to tackle that opportunity. I’m frankly not in a position today to try to expand on that in great detail, but I think there’s a number of things we can do. Expect some changes at EA. Expect the change to be both in how we align ourselves organizationally and then the focus that we intend to get in terms of cost leverage as we build our business through the balance of the cycle. We’ve got to climb both a revenue curve and a relative ratio of expense to top line to drive the business to where we want to drive the business. So if you want to understand what our agenda is -- driving our organization for more accountability, driving our business for top line, driving our bottom line for margin. That’s what we’re focused over the next few years.
- Operator:
- Our final question comes from Edward Williams with BMO.
- Edward Williams:
- Good afternoon, guys. A couple of quick questions for you. As you look, John, to the midpoint of the next platform cycle, how do you see the geographic revenue mix as well as the new revenue streams, the digital downloads, the mobile phone and such? How significant do you think they’ll be to the total revenue from the company?
- John S. Riccitiello:
- We may end up splitting that question up a little bit. First off, one of the things that I think in general we try not to do is be precise about fiscal ’10 and fiscal ’11. I think it’s very difficult to do that. So understand EA’s strategy -- it’s not frankly hugely important to us what the relative market shares are between one console and the other. Our intent is to lead on all of them. It is not necessarily critical to us if online grows a little bit faster than wireless or vice versa. Our intent is to lead them. We have the best portfolio of assets. In fact, I believe we are the only major publisher with strengths in wireless, online, all three major consoles, PC, micro-transaction models, online subscription models and the handheld. So we’ve got that breadth so we can make sure that we generate the revenue regardless of how the market develops. In terms of broad prognostication, we think it’s a pretty safe bet that the biggest business over the course of the next three years is still the console business, with an increasing share driven to new revenue models, in particular in Asia. What we are most pleased by there is we have learned in the last 12 to 15 months that our intellectual property is strong in Asia. SimCity rising to the top of the charts in Japan, and we’ve got the platform right, the NDS. FIFA rising to the top of the charts in Korea, and we’ve got the right business model and the delivery mechanism right. So what we want to do is push EA’s intellectual property to the right business model, the right platform at the right margin structure, and that’s what we’re focused on.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Any final questions, Operator?
- Operator:
- There are no further questions.
- Warren C. Jenson:
- Great. Thanks everyone, for joining us.
- Operator:
- Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today’s presentation. We do thank everyone for their participation and have a wonderful day.
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