GameStop Corp.
Q4 2012 Earnings Call Transcript
Published:
- Operator:
- Good morning. Welcome to GameStop Corporation's, GameStop's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would like to remind you that this call is covered by the Safe Harbor disclosure contained in the GameStop's public documents and is the property of GameStop. It is not for rebroadcast or use by any other party without the written consent of GameStop. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Paul Raines, Chief Executive Officer of GameStop Corporation. Please go ahead, sir.
- J. Paul Raines:
- Thank you, operator, and welcome to the fourth quarter and year-ending earnings call for GameStop. As we begin our call, I want to thank our GameStop, EB Games and Micromania associates around the world for their deep commitment to our customers. I am pleased to announce that 2012 is officially over. We just concluded the seventh and final year of the previous console cycle, and can now see that 2013 will be the beginning of the next cycle for console gaming. We will share with you today some commentary on our results for the past year, as well as outlook for the current quarter and year. As has become our custom on this year-ending call, we will also spend some time outlining some of our strategic thinking about the future of GameStop. So this call will be a little longer than our regular ones, but we think you will get a lot of value out of it. In recent years, we have described for you a strategic plan for the transformation of GameStop that was launched in 2009 and continues today. Foreseeing a decline in the console cycle, we laid the groundwork for market share gains through loyalty, developed new digital and mobile businesses and implemented a shareholder-friendly capital allocation plan. As we sit here in 2013, that strategy has not only preserved the profitability of GameStop, it has positioned us well for the new technology cycle in gaming. You will hear today from
- Robert A. Lloyd:
- Thank you, Paul. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to start by briefly recapping our fourth quarter and fiscal 2012 year-end results. Then I'll provide our outlook for the first quarter and fiscal 2013. In the fourth quarter, total global sales decreased 0.5% from the fourth quarter of 2011 to $3.56 billion. We outperformed previous quarters due to the extra week in the quarter, as part of the 53-week year, and the Wii U launch. Comparable store sales for the quarter were down 4.6% and were not affected by the extra week. Excluding impairment charges, earnings per share for the quarter were $2.16, compared to $1.73 per share in the fourth quarter of last year. EPS were up $0.43 or 24.9% over last year's quarter, with approximately $0.26 of the increase due to our ongoing share buyback program, approximately $0.08 per share due to the extra week, and the remainder due to margin expansion and expense control. Excluding impairment charges, net earnings for the quarter increased 9.5% to $262.3 million from $239.5 million. During the fourth quarter, we incurred impairment charges of $1.9 million for normal, ongoing store evaluations. This amount would not normally be noteworthy, but is broken out in our financial statements to ensure comparability in classification to the $81.2 million in impairment charges incurred last year. The full year impairment amounts include the goodwill-related charges taken during our third quarter. For the full year, sales decreased 7% from $9.55 billion in fiscal 2011 to $8.89 billion in fiscal 2012 due to declines in traffic and demand in the late stages of the console cycle. Comparable store sales for the year were down 8%, with U.S. comps down 8.7% and international comps down 6.4%. Earnings per share improved 10.5% over last year to $3.17, excluding impairment and restructuring charges. According to NPD, the U.S. hardware market declined 15% in the fourth quarter. Our U.S. hardware sales increased in the fourth quarter on the strength of the Wii U launch, even without the extra week. This demonstrates the power that a console launch can have on sales. The challenges in hardware sales during the year extended to new software, which was down 2.8% for the quarter and 11.5% for the year. New software outperformed previous quarters when compared to the prior year due to strong titles like Call of Duty
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Thanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. Despite a continued category weakness in our fourth quarter, we significantly outperformed the rest of the U.S. market, producing a modest 3% software decline versus the 23% software decline that our competitors saw. As a result, we increased our software market share by 470 basis points during our fourth quarter. As expected, our Digital revenue growth accelerated in the fourth quarter, growing 60% over Q4 of last year, with Console Digital growing at 52% and PC Digital growing at 84%. Our continued Console Digital growth is partly driven by the fact that nearly every major new game release now contains sellable DLC at the time of launch. Our International business continued to implement best practices, and their Digital revenue growth surpassed the U.S. in the fourth quarter, growing at 71%, compared to the U.S. growing at 58%. For the full year, we ended at the high end of the range that we provided in Q3, at $630 million of Digital revenue and an annual growth rate of 39% over fiscal year 2011. On a 2-year basis, our compound annual growth rate is 48%. We anticipate that our growth rate in 2013 will be between 25% and 35%, due mainly to continued challenges in the video game category. As details of the new consoles are announced, we will provide additional guidance on our digital revenue expectations for 2014. Our PC Digital download sales grew 68% in the fourth quarter, and the ability to fund Steam Wallets in nearly all of our stores globally is driving PC customers into our stores. On a full-year basis, the combination of PC downloads and Steam Wallet funding resulted in a quadrupling of our PC download revenues over 2011. Kongregate grew 64% during the quarter and 48% on a full-year basis. Growth continues to be driven by games with in-game transactions, as this revenue grew 116% during the quarter. Moving now to our Mobile segment, which includes the sales of pre-owned electronics and accessories, as well as new tablets. We generated $100 million of mobile revenue in Q4, and $184 million of mobile revenue for the full year. We now sell new Android-based tablets in all U.S. stores domestically, and in over 1,000 stores internationally. Based on our success with the Google Nexus 7 and the Kindle Fire, we are leveraging our knowledgeable associates and our buy-sell-trade model, to be a premier launch partner for new tablet technology, and we will see this area continue to expand in 2013. Based on the success that we are seeing in the trade end of pre-owned smartphones, media players and tablets, we've expanded the list to include the top-selling Android phones by Samsung, HTC and Blackberry, and are now accepting over 300 consumer electronic devices in trade in all of our U.S. locations. We're utilizing proprietary POS technology to provide the most up-to-date trade price and availability, and we monitor competitive sites daily to ensure that we are providing top trade value for each device. In addition, our central refurbishment center and the high-quality technicians that work there provide us with a world-class refurbishment, repair and, most importantly, data wiping process that ensures the security of our customers' information. Our trade-in process is also helping the environment, as we have recycled more than 2 million pounds of e-waste through our refurbishment operations in 2012. We have converted 334 existing stores to include a selection of pre-owned and new mobile devices and related accessories. These stores have an average of 11 linear feet dedicated to mobile devices, and early results show a sales list of approximately 5% in the converted stores on a very small investment. We plan on converting up to 400 additional stores later this year. Based on our market model, we estimate that over $10 billion of unused smartphones alone exist in the U.S., and we believe that the U.S. retail market for pre-owned consumer electronic devices will grow to $1.6 billion in 2013. We expect to grow our mobile business between 30% and 40% over 2012, while targeting a 28% to 30% gross margin. Looking forward, we are excited to be in the new console era. With the announcement of 2 of the new consoles and strong rumors of an imminent announcement on a third console, we are bullish on the impact that new innovation will have on the video game category. The announcement and ultimate launch of the new PS4 is an example of how partnering early in the process allows us to incorporate all of our core assets into creating a successful launch. Our business model is highly aligned with Sony's low-friction, gamer-centric and developer-friendly go-to-market strategy. We have partnered closely with Sony before, during and after the announcement, and today are more prepared than on any previous console launch to meet consumer demand. While we're not at liberty to share specific details of our joint plans, we have developed a complete marketing plan that will rollout during the next few months, that takes advantage of our buy-sell-trade model and our PowerUp Rewards program in very unique ways. It will also leverage our ability to deliver digital assets. At a recent Sony event, we are able to speak with all of our major publishing partners, and they are very excited about their plans to leverage this new technology. As an example of consumer demand for this new innovation, we are seeing strong purchase intent for the PS4, as evidenced by the fact that we now have nearly 900,000 PowerUp Reward members that have signed up for the First to Know List. This service provides them not only with unique and timely information about the PS4, but also will inform them when they can preorder and pick up their new systems. It will also provide them with relevant buy-sell-trade deals that will drive value that can only be delivered by GameStop. Although we have been given no official numbers by Sony, we do believe that demand will far outpace the supply of this product during the launch window. The innovation that we have executed globally throughout our stores, websites and apps in the last few years has us at record market share levels on physical sales, and ready to benefit from growing digital sales, and we are excited about the strong title lineup in the back half of the year, as well as the imminent console launches. With that, I'll turn the call over to Mike Mauler.
- Michael K. Mauler:
- Thanks, Tony. Good morning, everyone. In 2012, all 3 international segments met or exceeded operating earnings expectations for the full year. Excluding impairment charges, the International businesses increased operating earnings by 9% over prior year to $132 million. As Paul mentioned earlier, despite the European economic turmoil and overall industry declines of 20% to 30% in most markets, the international business has held comparable store sales to minus 6.4% in 2012, gaining significant market share in most markets. Our international performance in 2012 was driven by a strong focus on cost control, a 190 basis point increase in gross margin percent, and the execution of our strategic initiatives, with the most significant improvements generated by our German, Canadian, Irish and Spanish businesses. This strong focus on the basics positioned GameStop to continue to gain market share during a difficult year, as our competition pulled back or discontinued operations in several important markets. As a reminder, over the last 12 months, we restructured our businesses in Spain and Northern Europe, where we consolidated operations in Ireland and we exited the poorly performing Portugal and U.K. markets, resulting in significant reductions in SG&A. During this time, we have continued to focus on sharing best practices and driving profitability in the pre-owned business, and I'm pleased to say that in 2012, international pre-owned margin rates increased 370 basis points over prior year, and are now in line with U.S. pre-owned margin rates. In 2012, we made significant progress with key strategic initiatives. Through investments in technology and improved integration with our stores, international e-commerce sales grew 36% during the year. We continued to invest in growing our Console and PC Digital businesses through improved technology and stronger partnerships with the publishers, which resulted in Digital sales accelerating throughout the year, with Q4 growing at 71% versus 2011. These stronger and better-coordinated publisher partnerships also helped us bring our customers more global exclusives and unique content on new releases than ever before, resulting in margin improvement and greater sales on key titles. In 2012, our investments in new businesses continue to pay off, where we realized significant sales increases in new mobile devices, recommerce, headsets and video game-related toys and collectors' items. Finally, we continue to invest in the global expansion of PowerUp Rewards in new markets. Whether the program is called Megacards in France, EB World in Australia, or GameStop Plus in Spain, Italy and Germany, GameStop's customer-centric loyalty program is the most powerful tool for us to be closer to our millions of worldwide customers, and to fully engage them in our multichannel ecosystem of products and services. This will play a critical role in the success of the next console cycle. Our loyalty program expansion has also allowed us to continue to expand Game Informer in new markets, where it is now being sold in Australia, Italy, Germany, Spain and Northern Europe. Our strong focus on managing the basics of our business and the rapid execution of GameStop's strategic transformation is driving profitability not only during the bottom of the current cycle, but will ensure that GameStop remains the international leader as we enter the next console cycle in the latter half of 2013. And I will turn it over to Mike Hogan for his comments.
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Thanks, Mike. There's been a lot of discussion recently regarding the forecast for category growth in 2013 and '14, and I'd like to update you on the GameStop market model and our projections. Before I go on, I should mention that we have some slides. They are available if you go to investor.gamestop.com. There's 2 slides there which provide a little more detail and visual around some of these numbers we're going to present here in just a minute. Although NPD is a reliable source for tracking historical sales in physical gaming, it was clear to us several years ago that we needed a much broader picture and one that looks forward, as well as backward. For this reason, we built our own proprietary market model, which we have been using and refining for the last few years. The GameStop market model pulls together data from over 20 different sources. And using this, we produce what we believe is the most comprehensive overview of the categories that are relevant to our business, including both physical and digital, and including both historical and projected sales. Today, I want to zero in on the Console Games category and address GameStop's outlook for North America for 2013 through 2015. Console gaming includes Console Hardware, Console Software and Console Digital. The key inputs that are driving this forecast model include the timing, price points and success rates of new consoles, including software attach rates, trends on current consoles and historical growth curves for console launches and the number of new titles introduced each year and the relative success of those titles, including digital content and subscriptions. Considering all of these factors, our model projections for console gaming are as follows for North America
- J. Paul Raines:
- Thank you, Mike. We took some extra time today to walk you through our results and a little bit of our thinking about the future. And as a reminder, the slides that Mike Hogan referenced are available at investor.gamestop.com, and you can see those -- some of those data points there. These are exciting times for us here at GameStop. With what seems to be a new announcement in the press almost every week, we have been at this juncture before and we understand the incredible potential of a new console cycle. By all measures, console launches historically improve valuations of most players in the gaming sector, and GameStop is the world's largest gaming retailer. Our new businesses are growing nicely and our financial position is strong and allows us flexibility. So while the first half of 2013 will not be easy, our business has a very bright future. And with that, operator, I believe we are now ready for questions.
- Operator:
- [Operator Instructions] And we'll take our first question from Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer.
- Brian W. Nagel:
- A question I had, you spent a lot of the time in the conference call discussing the new console, new cycle. And so I guess as you look at this, the PS4, and potentially other machines, I mean, clearly your data is suggesting that we're getting early indications of good demand from your customers on this, but what do you think is the most compelling feature for customers right now? Or is it more a function that there hasn't been a console launch for so long, that it's just ripe for one?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Let me start us off, and then maybe Tony can talk about the features, because we spent a lot of time with Sony on this, going way back into last fall. And I think, Brian, if I look at it, we have held for a while that what was missing in this category has been innovation. There's been a lot of talk about how it was the end of the console era, there would never be another console, and that now has become, will these consoles be as compelling? What we believe is, that there's been a lack of innovation because of the length of the cycle. And we're in a Tablet business where we see innovation really rapid-fire, and in the Phone business, we see a lot of innovation. So to us, the most exciting part of what's coming is the fact that we're reintroducing innovation to a massive install base. And Mike Hogan's intent to purchase data would tell you, there's a lot of pent-up demand. But, Tony, maybe you want to talk about what you see or what our team is seeing in the device that's pretty compelling? That we can discuss.
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Sure, sure. I think the things that we can discuss are clearly, the power that the new consoles have are really driving a whole new wave of developer innovation. So based on early games that we've seen running on the new platform, the physics are absolutely amazing. I mean, it -- the games are getting to be so realistic and movie-like, it's absolutely amazing. Social, the tie-in of social features is very strong, the ability to share the game, the kill shot that you just executed, and to share that with your friends immediately is amazing. And then the connectivity, I think, has come a long way. Gaming, as you know, is incredibly social. I think the new platforms add to that, and that connectivity will be easier than it's ever been. And those are definitely the key things. I think that the controller that Sony has rolled out, the proprietary controller, the new controller that they have, is very clever and I think it's very -- it will make gaming a whole new experience. So those are the main --
- J. Paul Raines:
- The only other thing Brian, I think too, we should point out is that, it's hard for us to gauge, because we don't spend a ton of time with developers. We do speak with them, but what we understand in talking to the Sony executives, to Andy House and his team around the world, Jim Ryan and Jack Tretton, this is a very developer-friendly device. We haven't seen how that's going to unfold. But all the feedback from developers is, is it's a tremendously friendly device to code for, and to really create innovation for. So they've -- they're really making a big push around making it a developer-friendly gaming device. So that's -- all of that rolled up is a pretty compelling proposition.
- Brian W. Nagel:
- Got it, that's helpful. And just to follow up and so this, on the Sony side, this would be the fourth iteration of PlayStation. As you look back over the last decade or more, do you think this -- going from 3 to 4 is a bigger step up in innovation than say, going from 2 to 3?
- J. Paul Raines:
- That's tough to say, right, Rob? You are our -- Rob is our -- beside the CFO, he is the resident GameStop historian. What do you think? I mean we're so much more dominant than we used to be in this launch. It's hard to gauge.
- Robert A. Lloyd:
- Yes, I think from a technology perspective, the jump from PS2 to PS3 and the move to 1080p and Blu-ray was significant. But as Tony pointed out, the moves here, in terms of the gameplay and the realness of what you're looking at, as well as the social and connectivity features is important as well.
- Operator:
- And we will now take our next question from Tony Wible with Janney.
- Anthony Wible:
- Can you guys comment on why you would want to wait until 2014 -- I'm sorry, have the new consoles out before commenting on Digital for 2014? Is there something in those systems that you'd like to see before laying down some expectations? And then I have a follow-up.
- J. Paul Raines:
- Yes, Tony, you want to take that?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Sure. I think the key is, is just we're trying to understand as we work with the publishers exactly how they're going to leverage DLC in that -- on the launch. Every -- like we've shared, every game that comes out right now has DLC associated, practically every major game has DLC associated with it. Like Mike shared, we think that there will be an acceleration in the digital sales that we will participate in. The problem is that we just -- we have 1 console, and we have some knowledge that we can share, more knowledge that we can't. We also have knowledge of the second console, but I'd rather that, that be out in the public before we discuss our digital goals for 2014.
- J. Paul Raines:
- One thing, Tony, that's happening to us around the world in -- DLC was something really unusual for us, 2 years ago. It was something really different. Today, it's just part of the package. Bioshock on Monday night, you can buy the DLC season pass, you can buy the related accessories and replica weapons, and you can do it in-store, or you can do it web in-store. I think the thing about digital content and console is that it's right in our wheelhouse now, and even in the organization, every merchandising team, the way we're structured, every merchant basically negotiates DLC along with the opening order, and the POS around physical games. Right, Tony?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Yes. And I think that's a key example of what happens when GameStop gets behind a launch. Because roughly about 1.5 years ago, basically no one was launching DLC at launch. In fact, it was almost taboo in the industry. We came out and really made it a market. And now what you see is on the last -- in the last 2 weeks, we've launched 2 games that had season passes, both for $20 each. Bioshock Infinite, Gears of War
- J. Paul Raines:
- And much of that inventory is not going to the store because we're selling it as a web in-store item. So we're bullish on what's happening, just don't have enough data yet, Tony.
- Anthony Wible:
- Last question here is, when the process of a console launch, do you definitively know about the used specifics? In other words, there's a lot of speculation about used blocking. People saying that it will happen; others saying that it won't happen. When do you definitively sit down with Sony or Microsoft and know whether or not there is going to be a feature or not have a feature?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Well, it's funny, people love to speculate on that stuff. Two things on that. One is, it's clear that consumers have stated, and I think Mike Hogan pointed this out, consumers have a very strong point of view around this. They want portability of their games, and they like trade credits, et cetera. So that's been clear, that's not a debate, that's obvious. But as far as the Sony product, and we really have had lots of discussions with our partners at Microsoft, but I'd rather let them lead the way on their own processes. But as far as Sony goes, we are crafting trade promotions around the PS4 launch, as Tony said. And he can talk about more of those. Mike, in Europe, is doing the same thing. So we have a high degree of confidence around the Sony product and its ability to play use. So I would say that we're in the process now, Tony, of crafting the launch of the product. And it includes trade promotions around those devices. Is there anything to add, guys?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- I think there's a clear understanding among the platform holders that their consumers -- 60% of consumers have serious concerns that there is no transferability on games.
- J. Paul Raines:
- Don't forget that trade credits make video gaming a billion-dollars bigger business, because we provide that trade credit back. The other thing that's interesting to us is these consumer electronics trade credits are becoming a massive driver of console software sales as you go into a new cycle. The amount of customers who will bring us electronics to buy a PS4 is going to be a big number. And all of our console partners want a part of that, and they see the benefits of that.
- Operator:
- And we will now go to Anthony Chukumba with BB&T Capital Markets.
- Anthony C. Chukumba:
- Just wanted to talk a little bit about the Wii U. I mean, I think it's pretty safe to say that it's been fairly disappointing. And I was just wondering, I'm just sort of contrasting the performance you've seen with your very bullish outlook on the PS4 and Xbox 720. I mean, I guess, what do you think that Nintendo potentially did wrong, that makes -- or are there other factors that just make you a lot more bullish, it sounds like, on the PS4, Xbox 720, than on the Wii U?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Yes, I think maybe -- let's start with Mike Hogan. Do you want to give us your thoughts on, sort of, what the intent to purchase stuff is? And then let Tony talk about the Wii U?
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Sure, sure.
- J. Paul Raines:
- I mean, why do you think that's -- the customers are so strong on that Sony intent to purchase?
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Yes, I think -- so I'll talk about the -- why are people excited about the PS4, and then turn over to Tony. We've been doing this research going back more than a year, and I think that the thing that first excited us was almost a year ago, when we did this for the first time, frankly well in advance of Microsoft or Sony saying anything about a new console, we were seeing really, really strong interest among gamers in general for a new console. And I think, to Paul's point, what it highlighted was how much technology's changed over the last 6 or 7 years, and the appetite for some of that innovation to be translated into a new console. And I think as the, sort of the rumors have become more reality, we've actually seen that grow. And to me, the -- probably the most important thing is, is not so much how does the PS4 compare to a Wii U, it's how does the PS4 compare to against anything else people can spend their money on? If you think about a lot of what's happened over the last couple of years, certainly people have bought iPhones, they've bought tablets, they've bought a lot of other things. So the thing, for me, the real benchmark is the fact that our PowerUp members are saying that they're much, much more likely, and more excited about buying a PlayStation 4, even than around getting a new smartphone, a new tablet, a new laptop, all the other things they could buy. So I think for a lot of the reasons we mentioned earlier, they're seeing whether it's the gameplay, the connectivity or whatever, they're very excited and ready for it.
- Tony D. Bartel:
- And as to the launch of the Wii U, let's go back to what Mike said earlier, and I think Rob said it as well. The Wii U actually exceeded our expectations at launch. So I think there's 2 issues here. One is, what happened at launch? We were actually out of stock early on in the launch period. So we could have sold more Wii Us than what we did sell during the launch period. And so we actually had a very successful launch of the Wii U. However, it has been disappointing over the last -- since the beginning of the year. And I think that there are 2 reasons for that. One, I still think that there is tremendous opportunity from a consumer standpoint, that they do not understand the tethered tablet, the way that the gameplay worked. I think that the marketing has not broken through the level that it needs to, and in spite of efforts of our team to really talk about that, and educate consumers about that, I think that we still have an education process we need to go through. More importantly, I think where you're really going to see Wii U take off is when there is a strong first-party title, that's what we've always seen. And the fact that we really did launch without a strong first-party title, I think we're seeing the ramifications of that today. So those are 2 things that we do, we do expect to be remedied later on in this year. But there's no doubt that the launch was strong for us, but it has been disappointing since the first of the year.
- J. Paul Raines:
- And don't forget, Nintendo has a massive IP. I got a Wii U for Christmas, and I played Super Mario for a while, and will play when we get the next first-party titles out. I think there's lots of opportunity for that platform, still.
- Operator:
- And we will now go to Colin Sebastian with Robert Baird & Co.
- Colin A. Sebastian:
- I just want to go back quickly to the used game on the next-gen consoles. And from what we understand, both platforms will allow used. But I do have a couple of specifics on that. I guess, first off, wondering what impact would a lack of backward compatibility on the PS4 have on the used business? And then secondly, and this is maybe somewhat hypothetical, but if 1 or more of the platform holders were to charge consumers a fee to access on a used game, the multiplayer or other online services, wondering what impact that might have on the used business?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Maybe we start with the second one, Tony, on the -- we've had online passes, and we merchandise that and it's part of our business model. And we figured out a way to make it work. Do you want to comment on how that would work?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Sure. I think, like Paul said, we have seen that. It does introduce friction into the process. And I think what consumers have told us is that they want to have a frictionless environment. Sony's been very clear that what they want to is produce a friction-free environment, and be very gamer-centric. So I think in terms of an online pass, if that happens, that's definitely something we can accommodate. Our Digital -- the way that we deliver digital codes today will accommodate that very easily, so we'll have minimal impact on our business. In terms of how we service the customer, we are concerned that the same 60% of customers who are concerned about purchasing a console that would block or hinder or provide friction to the used game process, that same percentage would also be concerned if any friction like that was introduced into games, and -- I'll let Mike answer the first question.
- Michael K. Mauler:
- Sure. So as far as backwards compatibility, there are certainly arguments on both sides, right? There's one argument that says, if it's not backwards compatible, everyone will trade in everything and move quicker. There's another one that says people might hold to their old system longer. So I think, we see upside, frankly, either way. I think the things that we would talk about though are the way we want to take advantage of the situation is through trade promotions. And the opportunity to, for a person to bring in their current system and a number of games, you could easily offset the entire cost of your new system. So I think Tony and Paul both mentioned earlier that we're working with Sony on some aggressive promotions. And I think what we want to be able to do is make it affordable as possible for people to get a new platform. The other thing I'd say, that's an interesting thing, that's more of an industry thing than a GameStop thing, is the lack of backward compatibility essentially removes the switching cost of moving from one platform to another. So someone who is on another platform that wants to move to a PlayStation 4, if the platforms don't have a backward compatibility, your switching cost is essentially 0. And that could actually accelerate the adoption of that, particularly given how high the appeal of the PlayStation 4 is.
- Colin A. Sebastian:
- All right. But I guess, maybe more specifically, do these types of things with used -- do they potentially dilute the value of the used game, either on a retail basis or with a trade-in?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- I guess the important point to think of there is that, even under the most optimistic scenario, the percentage of consoles in the market next year that are going to be the next generation is still a very, very small piece of the total. I mean, by way of comparison, I guess the best answer I could give you there is, we still have a pretty vibrant pre-owned business in PlayStation 2, and that, I don't know how many years we're seeing there.
- J. Paul Raines:
- But certainly, Colin, anything that introduces friction, as Tony says, devalues the trade value. And you know, we are a significant market-maker. That's the other thing that's frequently missed. We are a significant market-maker in this business, and we manage a very detailed pricing model and we price in value. So anything that takes value away from consumers is not going to be good for the new sales, either.
- Tony D. Bartel:
- And Colin, to that point, I would say it doesn't devalue the use as much as it may devalue the new, people see friction and they say, "Hey, I'm not sure that I can get the trade value that I thought I was going to get from GameStop." I actually think it might be harder to sell the new game.
- Operator:
- And we will now take our next question from Arvind Bhatia from Sterne Agee.
- Arvind Bhatia:
- I wanted to ask a question on the Recommerce business that you're growing rapidly. Can you provide some color on kind of the long-term goals there? You're expanding space that you're providing. I think Tony, you mentioned another 400 stores at the expanded space, and getting, I think a 5% lift. Where do you see that in 3 to 4 years? How much of the store -- how many stores could have this? And what percentage of the store could have this in it? And just some long-term goals behind this?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Let me start us off, and Tony can talk about it and then, I'd like Mike Mauler to talk about how well-penetrated internationally we have done this on recommerce. I don't think we're ready to talk about 3 to 4 years out. We have an internal debate, though, which is, how many stores do we expand in. And Tony will tell you about that, how do we fixture. And frankly, as this Recommerce business grows, because as I think Rob and Mike Hogan pointed out -- or Tony, it is a very large market for refurbished recommerce of electronics. So you may have a -- you may have an idea of a new concept store. I mean, we've acquired BuyMyTronics. You may have seen, here in Dallas, we're doing some experimentation with a little store concept we call BuyMyTronics, which is a buy-sell-trade electronic store. So I think those are debates that we've not settled yet, and so we need time to figure that out. We certainly have pretty good visibility to growth. Tony, want to talk about what we're doing this year and next? And then maybe Mike can talk about international?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Sure. This year and next, we're going to continue to expand. I feel like we have a -- we have our first wave of merchandising that we're using today in all of our stores, and then we have the 344 stores that I talked about, that have 11 additional feet, as well as a new way to ship tablets. And we're seeing a lift in sales, as you would expect in that. So we'll continue to roll that out throughout the year. We are going to continue to remerchandise the rest of our stores and continue to evolve that. But 100% of our stores today are involved in recommerce and we're constantly looking at the return on investment that we get for expanding that space within our stores. So as that business continues to grow, which we see it continuing to grow for several years, definitely for the next year, it will be another fast growth year for us. We will continue to look at the wall space that we give to it, and we will continue to expand it as it continues to expand as a part of our business. I'll let Mike share with you what we're doing internationally.
- Michael K. Mauler:
- Sure. Internationally we rolled out recommerce about 6 months after U.S. started their tests, so last spring. And at this point, starting last spring, we started taking trades, really in every store globally. And as we build inventory, we are rolling out the sale of iDevices as well. So we currently have about 20% of our chain internationally that are selling used tablets and smartphones, and that's growing rapidly. I will also add that the sale of new mobile, we're seeing that really does have an impact on the trades of smartphones and tablets. And so we currently, as Tony had mentioned, we have about 1,000 stores right now internationally, where we've carved out space to be able to sell new tablets and smartphones. And we're taking more trades in those stores, which will accelerate the iDevice sales, and that we'll be expanding that as well, as Tony mentioned the U.S. is doing.
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Yes, just the other thing I'd like to mention is, we're also expanding the accessories to go along with it. So for instance, we now offer NET 10, a prepaid phone plan, through all of our stores in the U.S. And so that clearly makes us a very, very strong alternative for a value buyer.
- J. Paul Raines:
- We, Arvind, we gave you a target, I think, last year of 500 -- $550 million to $600 million for 2014. We still like that target. Not ready to update it, but we owe you some guidance there. But I would say, watch this space closely. There's a lot of people in it. We have jumped in and become the 800-pound gorilla very quickly. And a lot of it has to do with PowerUp Rewards and our various loyalty programs. A lot of it has to do with our in-store service model is really superior to what the online marketplace is and some of the big boxes can do, so we're very bullish on the category.
- Arvind Bhatia:
- One last one, on full game downloads. I remember at your analyst day a few years ago, we had the demo on how much time it takes for a full game to download. I'm just wondering how you think about this in the coming generation?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Well, I don't think it's gotten that much easier. Games are getting bigger. Broadband assumptions have changed some, but I don't think our point of view is very different, Arvind, from what it was. Except that, we're selling PC downloads in our stores and we find that our skill set fits that very nicely, and we are selling DLC well.
- Michael K. Mauler:
- I would also say that with the new net [ph] generation that games are going to be bigger and more complex as well, and that provides some headwind to that.
- J. Paul Raines:
- But we're not in the business, Arvind, as you know -- because you know us well -- we're not in the business of saying that no one will ever buy a download, because we know people do. We do, our employees do. We're just saying that it's not a very large business yet, and we're in the download business. And as it grows, we will participate in it. But it hasn't gotten a lot easier.
- Operator:
- And we have time for 2 more questions. We will take our next question from Bill Armstrong with CL King and Associates.
- William R. Armstrong:
- So if we look at your total profit potential from any given AAA title, as we move into the next generation, you're getting profit opportunities from new, you're getting profit opportunities when it gets traded in and you resell it, from DLC and from your higher market share. So it would seem that a AAA game, early in the next console cycle, compared to maybe an earlier iteration of that title at the same point in the previous cycle, it would seem that there would be a lot more profit opportunity from that title, the whole [ph] For being stopped this time around than previously. Tell me if I'm on the right track with that, and if there are any offsets to that? And then, if there's any way to attach a -- to quantify that?
- J. Paul Raines:
- Yes, Bill, we're going to let Rob take that, because I'm getting a little nervous, he hasn't had to work very today.
- Robert A. Lloyd:
- Okay, yes, we see great profit opportunity off of the games that are coming out now, and will be coming out in the future. And it starts with the sale of physical game, the customer lining up at midnight. The kinds of things that we see that the customer is interested in buying, or when they're at midnight launch. Tony and Paul talked about a couple of things that were available with Bioshock just this week, and some of the ancillary products that we've got. We also have DLC, which is improving the profit potential, not only for GameStop but for the publishers as well. And then of course, there's the Pre-Owned business. And we've talked about Sony and the PS4, we see that we'll continue to have a vibrant Pre-Owned business for a long time, with respect to today's generation of consoles, as well as the new ones that are coming. Mike Hogan talked about the fact that we're, I think, 13 years in nearly on the PS2, and it still sells well in many of our stores. So we see great profit potential in this business. And I'll remind you that we built other businesses as well in-store that bring us additional profit potential.
- J. Paul Raines:
- Bill, I know you're a Bioshock fan. I just want you to know, our friends at Take-Two, you can buy web in-store, a CD with all the music from Bioshock. So we've got opportunities for you there.
- William R. Armstrong:
- Okay, great. And then a quick follow-up, on a GAAP basis, what were your digital revenues and gross profit in Q4?
- Robert A. Lloyd:
- Give me just a second on that.
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Bill, while he's -- while his thinking about that, also, I would say that, with the increased traffic that comes with the new games, now we have all kinds of additional offerings, like all of our recommerce. So as that traffic comes into our store, [indiscernible] monetize the customer in many different ways, as well.
- J. Paul Raines:
- These titles become lifestyle kind of titles. If you've been waiting a year for Bioshock or Batman or Call of Duty or Battlefield, which is coming up, you want everything that is available for that title. I mean, I'm still playing Far Cry 3, right, and somebody's got to do an intervention. But I would buy everything you could give me on it. I'd wear a costume if they had one, right, so. Mike, you had something?
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Yes, I was going to add to that. We actually have a word for this, we call it franchise marketing. And so within PowerUp, we actually track this by every person. So we know, for example, within a franchise or a title, how many units you're purchasing. And we -- if you think about these across a time line, when you find out about the new game, months in advance of it, we can introduce you, for example, to pre-owned copies of prior versions of the game that you may not have played. As you get closer, there's all the added add-on items we have. Paul mentioned a music CD, there's lots of figures and other items. You can purchase the game, we know the right time to market to you the DLC, if you purchased it at launch, or we can introduce you to it later. We figure out the right time for you to turn in the game. We track your digital purchases as well. So one of our internal goals is to track that unit [ph] increase, essentially units per member within a franchise.
- Michael K. Mauler:
- And we're talking about worldwide.
- William R. Armstrong:
- That's great. Rob, you have the answer to the...
- J. Paul Raines:
- Yes, the GAAP digital revenues in Q4 were $83 million and $232 million for the full year.
- William R. Armstrong:
- $232 million, okay. And do you have the gross profit numbers, by any chance?
- Robert A. Lloyd:
- $49 million in the fourth quarter, $134 million for the year.
- Operator:
- And we will take our last question from David Magee with SunTrust.
- David G. Magee:
- My question really has to do with Kongregate. I'm curious how fast it's growing, relative to the market out there. Whether it's gaining share, and whether there's a profit picture developing there? And just sort of positioned against your other initiatives, how excited are you about that business right now?
- Tony D. Bartel:
- Well, we see it -- this is Tony, I'll let Mike answer that, that reports up through him, but I -- we see it as a very strong growth vehicle. In fact, we see it as really, the largest site for games, for the core gamer in their genre. So when you think about the growth of that experience, especially they've changed their business model to a free-to-play model, we're seeing over 100% growth. I think that's doing very, very well, far outpacing the category. Mike, you want add anything to that?
- Michael P. Hogan:
- Yes, I was agreeing with Tony. I think -- we saw a very strong growth in Kongregate last year. It's planned for similar levels of growth this year. I think the other thing to mention is that the browser business is growing very well. And part of the reason it's growing well is because, we're doing a great job of finding the right games and really monetizing the in-game purchases. And we expect that business to grow. The other thing that's important to mention about Kongregate is, is back in, I think it was early February, we had the announcement about the Game Development Fund for Mobile Gaming. So Kongregate is not only a significant player in browser gaming, but they're also beginning -- becoming a significant player in mobile gaming. And we had that $10 million development fund. We've gotten an overwhelming response from mobile game publishers. They'll be introducing the first couple launching, the first couple of games pretty soon. And we think that sort of the power of GameStop, be it PowerUp Rewards stores, et cetera, behind Kongregate there, is really going to generate a lot of growth. So we see expansion in the categories that Kongregate's seeing and probably strong growth in each of them.
- J. Paul Raines:
- One cultural point on this, David, it's -- GameStop has a history of acquisitions and entrepreneurial acquisitions. It's very important that Jim and Emily Greer run Kongregate. Where we can support them here on GameStop, we will. But that's very much an entrepreneurial game platform based in San Francisco. Mike Hogan supports them as needed, but they are definitely running that show with a lot of success.
- David G. Magee:
- How does the profit picture look for that?
- J. Paul Raines:
- What have we disclosed? Yes, we haven't disclosed anything on that. But in-game currency is the largest part of their profit picture, and it's growing very nicely. So I don't think we have broken it out of the segment yet. But it's not -- it's -- we're very happy with our performance in Kongregate. With that, I think we'll wrap up the call. Thanks very much for your support of GameStop, and we look forward to speaking with all of you and perhaps seeing you at E3. Thanks very much.
- Operator:
- Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. We thank you for your participation.
Other GameStop Corp. earnings call transcripts:
- Q4 (2022) GME earnings call transcript
- Q3 (2022) GME earnings call transcript
- Q2 (2022) GME earnings call transcript
- Q1 (2022) GME earnings call transcript
- Q4 (2021) GME earnings call transcript
- Q3 (2021) GME earnings call transcript
- Q2 (2021) GME earnings call transcript
- Q1 (2021) GME earnings call transcript
- Q4 (2020) GME earnings call transcript
- Q3 (2020) GME earnings call transcript