International Business Machines Corporation
Supply chain forecasting system

Abstract:

Systems and methods are described for supply chain vulnerability forecasting using external event data is described. The method may include identifying historic data from each entity of a plurality of entities connected in a supply chain, aggregating temporal-based information relating to the entities and to relations among the entities into one or more time periods based on the historic data, training a cognitive prediction model using the aggregated temporal-based information, generating a vulnerability score for each entity, generating a recommendation for at least one entity if the vulnerability score for the at least one entity is above a preset threshold, retraining the cognitive prediction model using changed data of the at least one entity, and adjusting the vulnerability score based on the retraining.