International Business Machines Corporation
Predicting clinical trial eligibility based on cohort trends

Abstract:

Method and apparatus for predicting clinical trial eligibility for patients. Embodiments include determining a current value for each of a plurality of attributes of a first patient. Embodiments include identifying a cohort of patients that are clinically similar to the first patient, based on the plurality of attributes. Embodiments include analyzing data associated with the cohort of patients to determine an attribute trend for at least a first attribute the plurality of attributes. Embodiments include generating a predicted value for the first attribute, based on the current value of the first attribute and the attribute trend for the first attribute. Embodiments include identifying a plurality of clinical trials based on the first attribute. Embodiments include generating a probability that the first patient will be eligible for each of the plurality of clinical trials at a future time, based on the predicted value for the first attribute.