International Business Machines Corporation
Predicting ledger revenue change behavior of clients receiving services

Abstract:

One embodiment provides a method for predicting revenue change in a ledger including receiving, by a processor device, revenue data with timestamps for a number of historical periods at a particular level, with attributes of the particular level and a percentage of the required revenue change. The data is filtered. The filtered data is aggregated at the particular level for a selected prediction. A sliding window of the number of historical periods is moved over business periods, creating a data point for each historical period temporal window by extracting features. A required target output is created for each data point for at least one future time period. A statistical classification model is trained to predict the revenue change. A set of recent histories is converted into a quantitative health value.