JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Q3 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

Published: 27 Oct 2021

[Operator:]

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the JAKKS Pacific Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call with Management, who will review financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2021. JAKKS issued its earnings press release earlier today. The earnings release and presentation slides for today's call are available on the company's website in the Investors section On the call this afternoon are Stephen Berman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and John Kimble, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Berman will first provide an overview of the quarter, along with the highlights of product lines and current business trends. Then Mr. Kimble will provide detailed comments regarding JAKKS Pacific's financial and operational results. Mr. Berman will then return with additional comments and some closing remarks prior to opening the call for questions. Before we begin, the company would like to point out that any comments made about JAKKS Pacific's future performance, events and circumstances including the estimates of sales and our adjusted EBITDA in 2021 as well as any other forward-looking statements concerning 2021 and beyond are subject to safe harbor protection under federal security laws. These statements reflect the company's best judgment based on current market trends and conditions today and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements. For details concerning these and other such risks and uncertainties, you should consult JAKKS’ most recent 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC as well as the company's other reports subsequently filed with the SEC from time to time. In addition, today's comments by management will refer to non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, unless stated otherwise, the most directly comparable GAAP financial metric has been reconciled to the associated non-GAAP financial measures within the company's earnings press release issued today or previously. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. And with that, I would like to turn the call over to Stephen Berman. You may begin.

[Stephen Berman:]

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Before we start, I'd like to take a moment to express how sad we were to learn of Brian Goldner's passing. Those in the investment world might not realize what a close community in the toy industry is. We may work in different cities at different companies, but there's a continuity over the decades built on passing through the same airports, headed to the same trade shows, leading to conversations that are low, perhaps infrequent are nonetheless very personal and cherish given the shared experience and journey. I first met Brian many years ago and at JAKKS, we have always had a strong relationship with Hasbro since our founding. Although we know Brian has been fighting for his health for some time, his loss still comes as a shock, and I just want to make a point that we do mourn in his passing and our thinking of his personal and professional family during this difficult time. Thank you. As many of you know, JAKKS was started as an FOB business, where we sell the product to our customers in larger quantities usually at the port in Asia, and from there, they bring their product to their home markets, leveraging their own supply chain infrastructure. We continue to do over 50% of our sales that way today. This way of doing business has benefited us all year, inclusive of Q3, leveraging the supply chain strength and scale of the major global retailers to pull our products through to the retail shelf. In addition, we have accelerated our importation of domestic inventory to support sales in the U.S. and internationally for the holiday season as we get ready for 2022. The teams around the world have been working literally around the clock to help customers secure products they've ordered as efficiently as possible, and we'll continue to do so as we get deeper into the holiday season. We appreciate the attention being paid to the challenges at the various larger ports around the world and are hopeful that the backlog can start clearing in the weeks and months ahead. We have been working hand-in-hand with all, rerooting product to smaller, less congested ports and more aggressively picking up product at the plants to minimize bottlenecks while customers work through the lack of ocean transit capacity. In the middle of Q3, while our customers' goods were stuck at our factories awaiting vessel space, our logistics teams began working with our trusted supply chain partners to root our domestic inventory up to Shanghai and store goods at bonded warehouses. This release pressure on our factories of the backlog of goods overwhelming in their floor space, and in turn, allowed them to continue to produce goods. At the same time, moving the goods away from the port of Yantian, we were able to secure vessel capacity for domestic goods through lower volume ports in Shanghai. The extra transportation and short-term storage costs did not materially affect our domestic supply chain cost, and more importantly, it reduced the potential of transit time delays due to the challenges in Yantian. Although we ultimately saw sales decline 2% in the quarter versus the year ago quarter, we remain pleased that on a year-to-date basis, toying to consumer product sales are up 9% plus and our costume business is up 21% plus, leaving us at 12% plus year-to-date for global company. Getting into more of the details. Our year-to-date operating income is over $35 million, its highest level since 2015. Our adjusted year-to-date EBITDA of $44.2 million is up over 80% compared to the first 3 quarters of last year. Our adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $41.7 million or $1.1 million less than the prior year. Our gross margins remained strong in part supported by the amount of inventory we managed to bring in early in the year. Our retail POS at the top customers is up 9% year-to-date with cleaner sell-through further benefiting gross margins. And not to be overlooked, during the quarter, we retired the remainder of our senior convertible notes leaving us with an improved balance sheet and reduced interest expense going forward. Our worldwide teams continue to execute extremely well, doing the things we do best and doing both the business at hand today while building new and exciting initiatives and products for the coming years. Our net sales declined in the quarter as our orders outpaced our customers' ability to secure ocean passage or inbound product delays kept us from fulfilling orders before the end of the quarter. In our Toys segment, our sales were down approximately 8%. This decline was mostly due to logistic challenges rather than less demand for any particular line of product. As we hoped, we have seen strong POS in our costume business as the days to Halloween tick down. We have shipped $64 million worth of costumes in the quarter, representing a 16% increase on the prior year. Many of our online-only customers increased their annual buys by 30% plus this year, but some of our larger customers who make their commitments back in Q1 were more conservative. Supply chains impacted this business less than toys as the team worked to accelerate shipments as customers would take them earlier to avoid log jams that are now impacting the holiday sell-in. Given the strong sell-through performance, along with new licenses coming online in 2022, Halloween 2021 is tearing out great, which bodes extremely well for next year. On the toy side of the business, strong performers from the first half of the year continued to do well in the quarter, but we're also seeing some new things happening that we're excited to share today. This past quarter, we launched a new doll program in the U.S. at Target, branded Disney ily 4EVER. It's a fashion forward line of 18 installs or related accessories inspired by classic Disney stories and caricatures, including Minnie Mouse, Tinkerbell, Stitch, Ariel, Elsa, Rapunzel and more. Initial consumer reaction has been tremendous, and we are really proud of how the program has come together in collaboration with Disney and Target. Some of the things that we're excited about as we recap Q3, our core businesses around Disney Princess, Nintendo and Sonic continue to sell in and sell-through well. Nintendo inventory at retail remains down despite our broader product line as the demand continues to pull product through. We're particularly pleased with the Super Mario Deluxe Bowser Airship place at this fall and are seeing great early POS results. The Sonic Giant-Eggman Robot Battle set is the largest Sonic Figure JAKKS has brought to market and early family reaction also appears really strong. our Disney and Conto line represents 1 of the broadest product ranges we have ever brought to market for a Disney Thanksgiving theatrical release. We love the product and can't wait for Disney fans to meet the characters and enjoy the magic of this film. Our private label business continues to grow double digits, and we hope to have more to say about that segment of business in the quarters to come. Our timeless holiday item, The Black & Decker Workbench is represented well with retail exclusives at all the major U.S. accounts. In this fall, we're launching our Indoor Trampoline line with PAW Patrol and Disney's Minnie Mouse SKUs. We are pleased with how well some of these new products are being received and the momentum they take into the fourth quarter. We also saw the acceleration of retail POS in the quarter. Top 3 U.S. accounts, toy POS were up over 10% and while our ending inventory was down nearly 5%. That increases our related year-to-date toy POS numbered over to 9%, in line with overall shipments for the year. John will now review financials. And I will return with some thoughts around how we're thinking as we head into 2022. John?

[John Kimble:]

Thank you, Stephen, and good afternoon, everyone. Net sales for the 2021 third quarter were $237 million, down 2% compared to $242.3 million last year. Third quarter sales in our Toys Consumer Product segment were down 8% to $173 million globally, compared to $187.3 million in the third quarter of last year. North America was down 8%, while international was down 7%, primarily attributable to the supply chain issues already discussed, as both domestic and FOB sales were impacted. Through the first 3 quarters of the year, sales were $334.4 million, up over 9% from $306.1 million versus the prior year. Also on a year-to-date basis, North America Toy CP is plus 10% and International Toy CP is plus 8%. In our Doll dress-up nurturing play division, net sales were $112 million in Q3, down 13% and compared to $129.3 million in the prior year. Disney Princess and Style Collection performed well in the third quarter, offset by lower sales from Frozen 2 as it approaches the 2-year anniversary of the theatrical release. Perfectly Cute also continues to perform very well at retail. In the first 3 quarters of 2021, the total business is up 2% to $206.5 million versus $202.2 million. In our Action Play and Collectibles division, net sales were $37.6 million, up 12% compared to $33.6 million last year. Sales for our video game-related toys Nintendo and Sonic delivered the majority of the growth, while we still see our Black & Decker Role Play line strongly contributing. Our holiday advent calendars also generated positive growth versus prior year. Year-to-date, this business with net sales of $73.6 million is up 36% compared to $54 million in the first 9 months of 2020. In our Outdoor Seasonal division, the Ball Pits, play structures, activity tables fit the floor right on skateboards and other spring/summer inspired toys. Net sales were $23.4 million in the quarter down 4% from $24.4 million in the third quarter of 2020. In the first 9 months, Outdoor Seasonal net sales were $54.3 million versus $50 million, up 9% year-to-date. Net sales in our Costume segment Disguise were up 16% at $64 million in the third quarter. Some of the big performance for us this year in this segment were Harry Potter, Pokemon, Minecraft, Toy Story and the Nightmare before Christmas. Stephen pointed out, we remain excited about a bigger and better Halloween season this year with Disguise. On a year-to-date basis, our Costume segment is up 21% to $98.8 million compared to $81.5 million in the first 9 months of 2020. Moving down the P&L. Gross margin in the 2021 third quarter was $74.9 million at 31.6% of net sales, an 82 basis point improvement over the 30.8% of Q3 last year. Product COGS for the third quarter were 53.2% of net sales, an increase of 262 basis points from 50.6% in the third quarter of 2020. This increase was due to increased ocean freight costs and some unfavorable product mix. The overall improvement in gross margin for the third quarter was the result of a 338 basis point improvement in the royalty line, which was $32.3 million versus $41.2 million in the third quarter of 2020. The lower royalty rate for the quarter was driven partly by a reduction in expected royalty guarantee shortfalls due to higher shipping levels from the relevant licenses. Despite higher ocean freight costs, we were pleased to see further improvement in gross margin rate. As a technical matter, it is worth noting that higher freight costs incurred to import our domestic product are capitalized into inventory and only expense when the product is sold to customers. As a result, we anticipate seeing some lag effect in terms of higher freight costs working their way through the P&L even as we work past peak shipping season and ideally see a reduction in these charges in the quarters to follow. Anticipated increases in our media and marketing spend were offset by a reduction in co-op advertising and timing of other selling-related expenses in the quarter. Overall direct selling costs were $10.7 million or 4.5% of net sales compared to $13.5 million or 5.6% of net sales in the third quarter of 2020. Our 2021 third quarter G&A, including product development and testing, but excluding depreciation and amortization expense, was $26.8 million or 11.3% of net sales, up from $23 million or 9.5% of net sales in the third quarter of 2020 when austerity-related spending reductions were in place. These results combined to generate a third quarter operating profit of $36.7 million, slightly lower than the operating profit of $37.5 million achieved in the third quarter of 2020. As we anticipated during the quarter, the balance of our senior convertible notes converted into common stock. In addition, during the quarter, the company received confirmation from the SBA that our application for PPP debt forgiveness had been approved. Also during the quarter, the company made its first scheduled payments against term loans secured in June. With all these activities taken into account as of September 30, 2021, the company's debt at face value was $98.8 million all owed under the term loan due June 2027. As of quarter close, we had no draw on our credit line. We did have $9.7 million in letters of credit. As of September 30, our availability under the line was $43.1 million. Our year-to-date interest expense is $11.9 million compared to $16.7 million in the first 9 months of 2020. With greater certainty around our refinance balance sheet, we can share that we're currently projecting full year 2022 interest expense of $9.1 million, a meaningful improvement over 2020 and 2021 when full year interest expense was $21.6 million and a projected $14.1 million in '21. As a reminder, the derivative liability attributed to our preferred stock is mark-to-market quarterly with noncash gains or losses dependent upon the valuation exercise. In the third quarter of 2021, that valuation resulted in a loss of less than $100,000. Capital expenditures during the third quarter of 2021 were $2.7 million compared to $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2020. Depreciation and amortization for the third quarter of '21 was $4.3 million compared to $4.5 million in the third quarter of 2020. In summary, Q3 net income attributable to common stockholders in the quarter was $36 million or $3.97 per diluted share compared to a net income attributable to common stockholders of $32.1 million or $3.19 per diluted share in Q3 of 2020. Excluding the impact of the noncash valuation adjustments, stock compensation expense and the onetime gain associated with our PPP loan forgiveness, our adjusted net income attributable to common stockholders in the third quarter of 2021 was $34.2 million or $3.76 per diluted share compared to our adjusted net income attributable to common stockholders of $32.6 million or $3.56 per diluted share reported in the third quarter of 2020. Accounts receivable as of September 30, 2021, were $209.2 million up from $166.8 million as of September 30, 2020. DSOs for the 2021 third quarter increased to 81 days from 63 days reported in the 2020 third quarter, primarily due to a change in approach in working capital management. Inventory as of September 30, 2021, was $89.8 million versus $54.6 million at September 30, 2020. The significant increase is a result of over $40 million worth of product that has left the plants in Asia, but are taking a very long time on the journey to our warehouses in Southern California and Western Europe. DSIs in the 2021 third quarter were 51 days compared to 30 days in the 2020 third quarter. Our adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $41.7 million compared to adjusted EBITDA of $42.7 million in 2020. That brings our trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA to $48.1 million, representing 8.6% of our trailing 12-month net sales. The diluted income per share calculation for the third quarter of 2021 was based on a weighted average of 9.07 million common shares outstanding down from 9.31 million in the third quarter of 2020. This reflects the impact of our reverse stock split in July 2020 as well as the aforementioned convertible senior note conversions. And with that, I will pass the microphone back to Stephen.

[Stephen Berman:]

Thank you, John. As we head into 2022 at our 27th year since inception of JAKKS Pacific, a lot of things may have changed in our industry but I believe we remain true to many of the core themes Jack Friedman and I had when we founded JAKKS all those years ago. We've built this company around the idea of working with the best partners we could find, retailers, factories and brand owners and bringing them together to deliver great toys for kids and their families centered around timeless toy categories and play patterns. As the supply chain is a dominant topic today, I remind people that this business always has challenges, and you work through them, and that's just part of how things are when you're in the world of business. It's always something whether it's product cost or foreign exchange or a chip shortage. As we navigate forward, if we think about our business, there are 4 key elements that define who we are and maybe more importantly, who we are not. These elements are

[Operator:]

Our first question comes from the line of Matthew Catton with Jefferies.

[Matthew Catton:]

It's Matt here filling in for Steph today. So supply chain, obviously, is a concern on the mind of many investors right now. Would it be possible to provide some further insights into how you're navigating? And do you see -- foresee any margin pressure in the fourth quarter?

[Stephen Berman:]

Thank you, Matthew. So far, we're extremely excited for the last quarter of this year. We've mitigated a lot of the constraints with, as I mentioned in my prerecorded statements. But for us, we are almost -- at the month of October, we'll have shipped over half of our fourth quarter internal projections. That's been what we've been focusing on. The lap of what occurred in third quarter was just due to the majority of the FOB customers not getting the containers out at the time that was needed to achieve it in the quarter. That being said, if you see, we have almost doubled the amount of inventory on our books that we have brought in that is primarily majority of them are at the port getting through for our domestic part of our backup of inventory worldwide. So we're extremely comfortable with this year of achieving our internal forecast with growth. And we don't see any erosion in the gross margin from doing so. We've been mitigating that process, and we've achieved increased prices where necessary where we had the cost increase. So overall, we're extremely confident and strong and bullish for the remainder part of this year and going into 2022.

[Matthew Catton:]

Awesome. And then another question from us. So costume is looks like it’s off to a great start. Any early feedback on Halloween sales and what’s selling really well?

[Stephen Berman:]

Yes. Overall, I would say almost everything in Halloween, not just -- firstly, for our costume business, we are on track for 1 of the cleanest Halloween seasons we've ever had, which bodes extremely well for '22 as we have an abundance of new licenses that we have announced and we brought up on this call as well as some new licenses to be announced. And because of the sell-throughs that have been extremely strong, both with the major retailers and online retailers that just bodes extremely well for them being confident going into '22 with a stronger feeling of commitment into '22, thus, with expansion for JAKKS internationally on the costume, Cos Play and Halloween Carnival business, that will help us increase our sales internationally for Halloween. And then in North America, we have abundances of current great licenses and new licenses that we believe we'll see stronger growth in '22, and '21 was a terrific year versus 2020.

[Matthew Catton:]

That’s super. Last 1 from us. So looking forward into ‘22, how does your license portfolio look like right now? And are there any businesses you expect to see outsized growth?

[Stephen Berman:]

Well, we definitely see growth where we sit here today, and we've discussed this internally for our next 3 to 5-year plan, and we see next year becoming very strong in the majority of our categories. Our private label business, we see growth in our core Disney businesses with the current licenses that we have within Conto, the new categories in which we're developing with Disney, the Stag collection. As I mentioned, Halloween, we see that growth. And then in our seasonal business, as we have a plethora of new licenses that go into the ball pits, the 10 environment, play environment, the outdoor furniture, the foot-to-floor ride-ons. And we have the new additions, as I mentioned, the indoor trampoline, licensed trampoline businesses with some top licenses. Our ReDo Skateboards, which are terrific that we're getting more deeper presence at retail, and we're launching licensed ReDo Skateboards into 2022. And there's a plethora of movies coming out from Sonic the Hedgehog, Fantastic Beasts, Jurassic World, Transformers, Minions, Avatar. There's a lot of new content coming out. And this year, there wasn't a major release of content until and Conto comes out in mid-November. So besides that, we see next year being a very solid growth year for us.

[Operator:]

Our next question comes from the line of Tristan Thomas with BMO Capital Markets.

[Tristan Thomas:]

Tristan on for Gerrick. First question, kind of back on the supply chain. Could you maybe quantify how much longer things are taking to get over from China, I think Hasbro called out up to 50 days extra, so I’m curious interesting?

[Stephen Berman:]

Well, it really depends on the ports and where the goods are coming, whether they're coming to North America and Europe, whether it's Rotterdam. So it really depends on that. And it depends on the port that it leaves, if you're leaving at Yantian, it's taking longer. But if you go to other ports in Shanghai, it started to become a little bit looser in the sense of the clog effect at the actual port in Asia. So as earlier, we opened up a bonded warehouses in Shanghai, which now has allowed us to move the goods from our factories, which is allowing them to build for spring inventory pre-Chinese New Year. And it's coming down -- Hasbro is accurate probably for them and somewhat for us, but it's coming down less and less. So it could be anywhere from 35 to 45 days. We've seen it. It's gotten worse in the third quarter, but it's becoming the lesser now going forward. We see it becoming that way. Even today, the goods that are coming through the port itself there has been -- we're obviously Los Angeles and the container ships have been anchoring and sitting outside. But now they are flowing in a little bit better than they were 2 weeks ago because of the 24-hour shifts and things are getting a little bit less congested. The big thing is that we've worked through is actually the labor of unloading the containers once they get to our warehouses because there's an abundance of labor that's needed, which our team, our distribution team, our logistics teams have done a wonderful job. But that's been a clog that has happened in the past that's starting to relieve itself. So it's definitely getting smoother, but it's just not there yet or not. It won't be back to the norms until second half of -- first half of next year.

[Tristan Thomas:]

Okay. So just maybe another question on that. If something is produced in a factory in China tomorrow, how likely is it to get on retailer shelves before the holiday?

[Stephen Berman:]

So for -- I think right now as we're -- let's call it, November 1, things that are being produced now are more than likely are going to be for spring as for us. So the goods that we have already shipped FOB to our retailers are primarily for this season’s holiday and the majority of all the other inventory that will be used worldwide will be on a domestic basis. So for anyone that doesn't have the majority of the goods shipped by now, from Asia, they're more than likely won't get on the shelf just due to the timing it takes to get to the port, to get through the ports, to get through the distribution centers internally and then going to the actual retailer distribution centers, which are around the world, you're getting very late. So maybe you have 1 week to 2 at the most, if you're lucky. But I'd say, unless you've planned and have the goods on the boat now, those goods will be for spring. And which is what we had planned for spring versus Chinese New Year coming as well.

[Tristan Thomas:]

Okay. That makes sense. Just 1 more question. How are retailers approaching this holiday season relative to last year than relative to 2019?

[Stephen Berman:]

Relative there just -- I would say definitely more aggressive in getting goods. We have seen and we’re able to achieve some white space available from other manufacturers in the toy industry that could not get product out to retail. So there’s been opportunistic areas for companies that have inventory and the right inventory. I think everyone has been spooked because of the news and the commitments you’ve seen in the consumables that there’s a lack of inventory, even things that are domestically manufactured. So the retailers know that one of the key drivers during the holiday season are obviously toys, which brings in the consumer, which buys other products besides toys. So I think there’s been a key focus on making sure that they had an abundance of toys to make sure this Christmas is an excitable one, and they’re doing their best. And as I mentioned at the start of our call, we founded JAKKS, we founded it as primarily an FOB business and over 50% of our business is still an FOB business, which has bode well with us to have these major retailers that have a lot of and have gotten ships and containers on their own to pick up the goods in Asia, which has benefited JAKKS materially. And at the same time, we’ve worked on bringing the domestic goods in earlier, as I mentioned, our inventory is up over double for that reason. So the ones that have planned well are doing well and the retailers are very aggressive, still looking for goods today, seeing that when manufacturers are promising goods and they’re not coming in, they’re looking to make sure that their shelves are not empty. And if it’s not an item that was purchased by 1 manufacturer, they’re actually willing to make space for other goods to make sure that their shelves are filled for the holiday season.

[Operator:]

I'm showing no further questions in the queue.

[Stephen Berman:]

Everybody, thank you for the call today. We have several many calls we’re out today and tomorrow, and we appreciate the time and happy holidays to everybody. Thank you.

[Operator:]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.