Meta Platforms, Inc.
Modifying advertisement bids using predicted advertisement performance

Abstract:

An advertising system provides advertisements to client devices. To select advertisements, the advertising system identifies previously selected advertisements to determine which presentations of the advertisement are still in-flight and have not yet resulted in conversion event. The advertising system predicts total advertising spend based on the in-flight advertisements, and adjusts a paced bid for the advertisement by determining whether the estimated total advertising spend, reflecting predicted in-flight advertisements, is above or below an expected spending to reach a budget for the advertising campaign, which may increase or decrease the paced bid.