Nektar Therapeutics
Q3 2015 Earnings Call Transcript

Published: 8 Nov 2015

[Operator:]

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Nektar Therapeutics Third Quarter 2015 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference may be recorded. I will now turn the call over to your host, Jennifer Ruddock, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Jennifer Ruddock:]

Thank you, Stephanie. Good afternoon and thank you for joining us today. With us today are Howard Robin, our President and CEO; John Nicholson, our Chief Financial Officer; Dr. Ivan Gergel, our Chief Medical Officer; Dr. Steve Doberstein, our Chief Scientific Officer; and Dr. Jonathan Zalevsky, our VP of Biology and Preclinical Development. On this call, we expect to make forward-looking statements regarding our business, including potential regulatory approval decisions and commercial launch timing, the timing of future clinical results, clinical development plans, the economic potential of our collaboration partnerships, the therapeutic and market potential of certain drugs and drug candidates and those of our partners, our financial guidance for 2015, and certain other statements regarding the future of our business. Because forward-looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties and risks that are difficult to predict and many of which are outside of our control. Important risks and uncertainties are set forth in our Form 10-Q which was filed on August 6, 2015 and is available at sec.gov. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise. A webcast of this call will be available on the Investor Relations page of Nektar's website at nektar.com. With that, I would now like to hand the call over to Howard. Howard?

[Howard Robin:]

Thank you, Jennifer and thanks everyone for joining us today for our third quarter 2015 financial results call. I'd like to spend today's call reviewing our achievements in the third quarter and then focus on upcoming milestones for Nektar over the next 12 months. Before we start, I'd like to give you a quick update on NKTR-214, our new immune-oncology agent. We are expectationally pleased to report that last week the FDA cleared our NKTR-214 IND, which included a comprehensive preclinical efficacy, safety, and CMC package and our Phase 1/2 protocol. The FDA cleared the IND earlier than anticipated and we expect to dose our first patient shortly at our clinical sites, MD Anderson and Yale. NKTR-214 has the potential to bring a new mechanism, direct and selective stimulation of a patient's cancer-fighting T-cells to the next generation of cancer immunotherapies. In essence, NKTR-214 grows tumor-killing T-cells in a way that no other immunotherapy does. Ivan will cover the clinical program for NKTR-214 in more detail later in the call. So let's start with an update on MOVANTIK. We are very pleased with AstraZeneca's continued progress with the launch of MOVANTIK in the U.S., Europe, and the rest of the world. In the third quarter, following the start of direct-to-consumer advertising here in the U.S., AstraZeneca has informed us that there are over 10,000 prescribing physicians for MOVANTIK compared to 3,000 in the second quarter. Almost 60% of these physicians are primary care physicians and about 40% are specialists such as pain management physicians, orthopedic surgeons, and rheumatologists. As of October 23, over 64,000 total prescriptions have been filled and we are now approaching a 40% refill rate per week. The feedback from physicians and patients on MOVANTIK has been very positive and this is reflected by a discontinuation rate that is extremely low. As most of you have seen, AstraZeneca recently initiated a branded direct-to-consumer TV campaign which has resulted in robust week-over-week growth in MOVANTIK prescriptions. The current weekly rate of MOVANTIK prescriptions is approximately 5,000. AstraZeneca and their marketing partner, Daiichi Sankyo are very pleased with the growth of MOVANTIK and importantly, the favorable reception that the medicine has received so far from the medical and patient community. AstraZeneca is advancing MOVANTIK in Europe and the rest of the world as well. During the third quarter, MOVANTIK, which is marketed as MOVENTIG in Europe was launched in Germany. This first launch in a major European country triggered the payment of a $40 million milestone to Nektar. In October, AstraZeneca launched MOVENTIG in the UK and Ireland. As you will recall, NICE in the UK issued favorable guidance for MOVENTIG earlier in the year. Recently, MOVENTIG was approved in Switzerland and it's already available in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, and Finland. Additional European country launches are planned for the first half of 2016. Outside of Europe, MOVANTIK has been launched in Canada, and AstraZeneca has also filed for approvals in Australia, South Africa, Argentina, and Colombia. Nektar will receive escalating royalties on net sales, which in the U.S. start at 20% and in Europe and rest of the world start at 18%. We receive these royalties one quarter in arrears. We also have the potential to receive up to $375 million in sales milestones based upon achieving certain annual sales targets. Following these recent successes and the significant level of commitment from AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo in the U.S. to the success of the drug, we are very excited about the prospects for MOVANTIK as an important new medicine for patients with OIC and its potential ability to provide Nektar with substantial revenue. Now let's talk about ADYNOVATE, another important medicine invented by Nektar. Baxalta announced on their financial results call last week that the FDA completed its late cycle review and labeling discussions for ADYNOVATE and they anticipate approval before yearend. Additionally, Baxalta pointed out that they expected ADYNOVATE to not only maintain, but also expand their 60% market share position in the hemophilia market. Baxalta has also completed enrollment in the Phase III pediatric trial of ADYNOVATE, which is being conducted in previously treated patients under the age of 12 with severe hemophilia A. Upon completion of this study they expect to file for marketing authorization in Europe in 2016. The study will also support post-approval label expansion in the U.S. ADYNOVATE is also being evaluated in a PK-specific dosing study to support both U.S. and European label expansion. As you know, ADYNOVATE is the next generation ADVATE, a medicine which has global sales of over $2.5 billion. As an important continuation of the ADVATE brand, we are excited about the imminent potential approval and launch of ADYNOVATE. Nektar is entitled to receive mid single-digit royalties on sales up to $1.2 billion and royalties in the low-teens on sales greater than $1.2 billion as well as an additional $65 million in development and sales milestones. The economic potential of MOVANTIK and ADYNOVATE alone could contribute substantial revenues to Nektar and move us towards becoming a cash flow positive company. In the area of anti-infectives, Amikacin Inhale and Cipro Inhale being developed by Bayer are also poised to become important new potential medicines that could represent significant revenue streams for our company. Bayer expects data readouts from these Phase 3 programs in 2016 or early 2017. Cipro DPI and Amikacin Inhale are both novel drug device anti-infective products that have been granted Qualified Infectious Disease Product or QIDP designation by the FDA. Both products are designed to deliver antibiotic deep into the lungs in order to achieve both higher concentrations at the site of lung infection and lower systemic exposure, therefore significantly reducing toxicities that are associated with these agents when administered systemically. Cipro DPI is targeting Non-Cystic Fibrosis Bronchiectasis, or NCFB. The Phase III RESPIRE program features two 48-week multinational, randomized, placebo-controlled studies. One of these studies has already completed enrollment and Bayer expects the trial to have a top-line data readout in the first half of 2016. The second study is still enrolling and Bayer expects this study to complete in the second half of 2016. We estimate the market for Cipro DPI to be about $750 million and Nektar will receive an average 10% royalty on net sales. Amikacin Inhale targets gram-negative pneumonia in ventilated patients in the ICU. Bayer is expecting top-line data from the Amikacin Inhale's Phase 3 program in late 2016 or early 2017. We estimate the global market for Amikacin Inhale to be approximately $700 million, which could translate into highly significant revenues for Nektar as we will receive a flat 30% royalty on U.S. sales and an average of 22% on ex-U.S. sales. Before I hand the call over to Ivan, I'd like to give you a brief update on two other partnered programs with significant royalty potential for Nektar, Ophthotech's Fovista and Halozyme's PEGPH20. A royalty interest in both of these late stage programs is in mid single-digits. In addition, Nektar manufacturing will support the commercial supply chains for these potential new medicines, further illustrating the power of Nektar's technology to enable a broad range of new biologic and small molecule medicines. Ophthotech recently announced that it completed patient recruitment for its second Phase 3 trial evaluating Fovista, or pegpleranib, an anti-PDGF agent in combination with Lucentis for the treatment of wet AMD. The company now expects to announce top-line data from both Phase 3 trials of Fovista in the fourth quarter of 2016. In addition, Ophthotech is currently enrolling a third Phase 3 trial investigating Fovista in combination with either Regeneron's Eylea or Roche's Avastin. The current market for therapeutics treating wet AMD is approximately $6 billion, so Fovista represents a very large opportunity. With respect to PEGPH20, our partner Halozyme intends to initiate Phase 3 by the end of first quarter of 2016 based upon compelling Phase 2 interim data which doubled progression-free survival in previously untreated metastatic pancreatic cancer patients who expressed high HA levels. Our strategy has always been to balance our development risks across multiple drug candidates and therapeutic areas. This strategy has served us well and it has resulted in the deep and valuable pipeline we've built at Nektar which includes five Phase 3 programs, one medicine poised for approval, ADYNOVATE, and a recently approved and launched medicine, MOVANTIK, and now an exciting new immuno-oncology therapy, NKTR-214. Our late stage partnered programs alone, combined with the revenue streams from MOVANTIK and ADYNOVATE could potentially lead to peak royalty revenue of more than $750 million annually. With that I'd like to hand the call over to Ivan to provide a clinical update on NKTR-181 and NKTR-214.

[Ivan Gergel:]

Thank you, Howard. I'd like to start by giving an update on NKTR-181. First, as we stated at our R&D Day, enrollment in our ongoing pivotal study, SUMMIT-07, is ahead of schedule. SUMMIT-07 compares NKTR-181 to placebo in opioid naïve patients with chronic low back pain and it will enroll about 400 patients. Since enrollment is ahead of schedule, we now expect top-line data from this trial sometime in the fourth quarter of 2016. As you'll recall this trial includes an interim sample size analysis that will occur once half of the patients have completed a randomized treatment period. This analysis allows us to enroll an additional 200 patients into the trial in order to increase the study's powering if necessary and ultimately increase the likelihood of a successful outcome without incurring a statistical penalty. If there is an increase in the sample size based upon this analysis, we would expect top-line data in early 2017 rather than the fourth quarter of 2016. Patients from SUMMIT-07 will also be eligible to roll over into the long-term safety study of NKTR-181 which was initiated earlier this year. Additionally, we are planning a second Phase III study for NKTR-181, which will be conducted in opioid-experienced patients and we plan to start this study after we have the results from SUMMIT-07. As Howard mentioned, NKTR-181 could emerge as an important drug in addressing the major societal problem of opioid abuse. NKTR-181 is particularly interesting because the molecule is designed to be a revolutionary new opioid analgesic, which crosses the blood-brain barrier at a slow rate, and this slow rate of entry is designed to reduce the euphoria and likeability associated with highly-abused opioids. It is important to note that as opposed to other long-acting opioids, NKTR-181s properties are not a result of a formulation. The slow uptake into the brain is due to the structure of the new opioid molecule itself. And because of this inherent property, it could represent a significant advancement in pain medicine. Importantly, NKTR-181 has also been granted Fast Track status by the FDA. Now let's move on to what we are doing in immuno-oncology, and in particular to NKTR-214, a program that we recently highlighted at our R&D Day in New York. NKTR-214 capitalizes on our novel chemistry approach, which allows us to optimize the relative affinity of a biologic for specific receptor subunits within complexes or for multiple receptors. In the case of NKTR-214, we biased receptor subunit binding within the IL-2 receptor complex in order to stimulate the production of tumor-killing effector T-cells and to reduce production of regulatory T-cells which suppress the anti-tumor response. NKTR-214's direct stimulation of the production of effector T-cells with a unique biased mechanism differentiates it from all other immunotherapies. We have demonstrated this biased receptor activity with NKTR-214 in a subcutaneous B16F10 mouse melanoma model where NKTR-214 treatment resulted in a 400

[John Nicholson:]

Thank you, Ivan, and good afternoon everyone. I will start with a review of our third quarter financial results and then I will go through our annual financial guidance. Total revenue in the third quarter was $60 million, primarily consisting of a $40 million milestone payment from AstraZeneca triggered by the first commercial sale of MOVENTIG in Germany. Total operating costs and expenses for the third quarter were $59.5 million versus $52.6 million in the same quarter a year ago. R&D expense in the third quarter was $43.2 million and included IND enabling, manufacturing, and final preclinical activities to prepare NKTR-214 for the clinic, the ongoing NKTR-181 Phase 3 program, the commercial scale-up of device production for Amikacin Inhale program and ongoing management expenses for patients still in the follow-up in the Phase 3 BEACON study. Research and development expenses also included $4 million of non-cash stock based compensation and depreciation expense. For Q3, G&A expense was $9.5 million, which included approximately $2.5 million in non-cash stock based compensation and depreciation expenses. Cash and investments at September 30, 2015 were $267.8 million as compared to $279.7 million at June 30, 2015 and includes the $40 million milestone that we received from AstraZeneca and recognized as revenue in Q3, 2015. The September 30 cash balance does not include the net proceeds from our recent financing transaction that closed on October 5, 2015. The financing transaction was the direct private placement with TPG of $250 million of senior secured notes with an annual interest rate of 7.75% which are due in October 2020. We used proceeds from this transaction to fully redeem our $125 million 12% senior secured notes that were outstanding as of September 30, 2015 and would have been due in 2017. We will recognize a one-time expense of $14 million for the early extinguishment of these 12% notes in the fourth quarter of 2015. With the completion of the financing transaction, we now expect to have greater than $305 million in cash and investments at the end of 2015. This ending cash guidance as well as our revenue guidance do not include any royalties from MOVANTIK. As Howard stated earlier, we recognize all royalties on net sales one quarter in arrears for MOVANTIK. We still expect our net use of cash to be approximately $60 million in 2015 excluding the $250 million debt issuance in MOVANTIK royalties. The rest of our financial guidance remains unchanged. Revenue for 2015 is still expected to be between $215 million and $225 million, including $21 million of non-cash royalty revenue. We expect to recognize a $10 million milestone from Baxter in the fourth quarter upon approval of ADYNOVATE, although we do not expect to receive the cash payment until Q1, 2016 so that is not included in our 2015 yearend cash guidance. Our R&D expense guidance is still expected to be between $185 million to $195 million, including non-cash depreciation and stock based compensation expense of approximately $16 million. 2015 G&A is anticipated to be between $42 million and $44 million, which includes $11 million of non-cash expense. For 2015, interest expense will be approximately $18 million and non-cash interest expense related to the UCB CIMZIA and Roche MIRCERA royalty monetization will be approximately $21 million. With the completion of the financing transaction in October 2015, we have significantly reduced our cost of borrowing and strengthened our financial position. And as I just stated, we will now expect to end the year with over $305 million in cash and investments. With that, I will now open to call to questions. Operator?

[Operator:]

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Jessica Fye with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

[Jessica Fye:]

Hey, guys, thanks for taking my questions. A question for – maybe this is for Howard. In the prepared remarks, can you remind me what you said about the refill rate you are seeing for MOVANTIK thus far and is that consistent with what you expected, and if not, what's your and Astra's kind of thinking are the goal refill rate there? And then the second question – sorry.

[Howard Robin:]

No, no go ahead. Sorry; finish.

[Jessica Fye:]

All right. Question number two is on NKTR-214. Just within those expansion cohorts and the various tumor types you laid for monotherapy, I'm curious which you are most excited about; where do you see the most potential for efficacy, not just based on kind of a market size. Thanks.

[Howard Robin:]

Okay, good. Well, look, I said the refill rate is approximately 40% and that's what we expected and it's growing and prescriptions are also growing nicely. So I think everyone is very, very pleased with MOVANTIK. There is no doubt that there has been better performance after we started, or after AstraZeneca and Daiichi started direct-to-consumer advertising. But right now, as I've said, there are over 10,000 physicians writing prescriptions. That's up significantly from it was in the prior quarter, and right now we are running about 5,000 prescriptions a week, of which about 40% are refills. And the thing is, the numbers will eventually grow, clearly, and I think I've always said that I believe strongly that this will grow into a $1 billion pharmaceutical product. I think the ramp rate is very good; I think it will get better. But I think the most important thing is that when you talk to physicians and you talk to patients, they are very, very happy with the drug; the drug works well, it works as expected. Patients are happy with it. I think it does certainly take some time to create a brand new market. I mean, there is no market there right now and AstraZeneca and Daiichi are creating it from scratch. They are doing an incredibly good job. And I think everybody is very pleased with the performance of MOVANTIK. I will let Ivan focus for a moment on your question about which indication might be the most interesting for NKTR-214.

[Ivan Gergel:]

Yeah, hi, Jessica thanks for the question. Obviously we thought long and hard about the, sort of where we want to take the drug and the expansion cohorts. And some of that might be directed by the sort of dose-ascending part of the study that we see particularly good responses. But each of them has good reason – each of the indications has a good reason behind it. I think renal cell carcinoma is obviously somewhere where IL-2 has worked. And given our mechanism of action, there is reason to suspect that we will work there too. But I think it is important to recall that IL-2, you saw 5% to 7% durable responses, where in two recent agents that reported out, really only came out at about 1% durable responses. So there is reason to believe that we actually might look particularly good in that indication. Obviously, melanoma is somewhere where IL-2 has also shown good efficacy previously in non-small lung, particularly in PD-L1 non-expresses. That's very interesting to us. That's not to say, we won't work in PD-L1 expresses, but obviously, clearly efficacy in PD-L1 non-expresses would be very, very interesting too. So I hope that that helped.

[Jessica Fye:]

I don't know if you picked on, but thanks for the color.

[Howard Robin:]

Well, I think it will be interesting to do the experiment in all of these indications and I think picking one now that's most interesting, it's hard to say. But I think the fact that we have a molecule here that hopefully safely grows cancer-killing T-cell – tumor-killing T-cells is I think very exciting, there is nothing else like it and it changes – it clearly, if it works, changes the direction of cancer immunotherapy. And I think that's what's exciting and ultimately probably has lots of potential in many different types of cancer.

[Ivan Gergel:]

Yeah, and I will add to what Howard said. We've clearly been working with all the leaders in the field at this point and they have been very enthusiastic about the various types of tumor that we've selected. So I think it's difficult really to pick one out of that group at this point.

[Jessica Fye:]

Got it, thanks. Maybe just to follow up on that, is there any human data that we could see at ASCO potentially or is this really second half before we see your first human data?

[Howard Robin:]

Yeah, as we said, it's really second half at this point. We believe that's going to be first time that we are presenting human data.

[Jessica Fye:]

Okay, got it. Thank you.

[Howard Robin:]

Thanks.

[Ivan Gergel:]

Thank you, Jessica. [Operator Instructions]

[Operator:]

Our next question comes from John Sonnier with William Blair. Your line is open.

[John Sonnier:]

Hi, thanks for taking the question and thanks for the progress. Want to ask Ivan about NKTR-214. I may have missed this, but did you disclose what size trial you are thinking about, either in the dose-ascending part of the trial, the expansion cohorts?

[Ivan Gergel:]

Yeah, we actually did. And we've presented slides from this that – I wasn't specific on this call, but we said we did go into some detail to that at our R&D Day. The dose-ascending part of the study will be a sort of somewhat typical three plus three design, so we probably envisage anywhere from sort of 20ish to 30ish patients going into that part. In our expansion cohorts though we envisage up to – in the monotherapy expansion cohorts, we envisage is anywhere up to 60, or perhaps beyond, depending on the sort of signals we are getting. So we will be growing – these studies, we expect will expand quite – the study itself will expand dramatically into each of the expansion cohorts. And at the same time, once we've identified a dose, we will also start to consider sort of a combination dosing strategy and try to work through some of the dosing aspects of that.

[Howard Robin:]

And as I said, you can imagine that if we see reasonably good results by the second half of next year, then we're going to move the expansion cohorts rapidly and move towards a program that allows us to accelerate the approval process for this drug. I mean, it is unique and it shows what we can do with our technology and I think it has a lot of applications.

[John Sonnier:]

No, that makes a lot of sense. And from the standpoint of patient selection, I know you've said a couple of times it shall be looking specifically at PD-L1 non-expression. Are you also going to be looking at, prospectively, mutational load or – I've always thought there could be a potential for this drug in tumors that aren't inflamed to be used as a priming agent or is it going to be kind of just strictly driven by PD-L1 non-expression?

[Ivan Gergel:]

No, absolutely no. We have a very extensive biomarker program. As we go through the dose escalation, we will – we are not going to restrict ourself just to PD-L1. Mutational load is clearly a key component as well as other biomarkers.

[John Sonnier:]

Okay. Thank you.

[Operator:]

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions. I will now turn the call back over to Howard Robin, CEO, for closing remarks.

[Howard Robin:]

Okay, well, thank you everyone for joining us this afternoon. Of course, I want to thank our employees for all their hard work and dedication and we look forward to seeing you at a number of conferences in November, December and of course here in San Francisco at JPMorgan in January. So thank you very much and have a good evening. Thanks.

[Operator:]

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That does conclude today's conference. You may all disconnect. And everyone have a great day.