Oracle Corporation
Systems and methods for detecting and accommodating state changes in modelling

Abstract:

Techniques are described for automatically detecting and accommodating state changes in a computer-generated forecast. In one or more embodiments, a representation of a time-series signal is generated within volatile and/or non-volatile storage of a computing device. The representation may be generated in such a way as to approximate the behavior of the time-series signal across one or more seasonal periods. Once generated, a set of one or more state changes within the representation of the time-series signal is identified. Based at least in part on at least one state change in the set of one or more state changes, a subset of values from the sequence of values is selected to train a model. An analytical output is then generated, within volatile and/or non-volatile storage of the computing device, using the trained model.