Oracle Corporation
Seasonal aware method for forecasting and capacity planning

Abstract:

Techniques are described for generating seasonal forecasts. According to an embodiment, a set of time-series data is associated with one or more classes, which may include a first class that represent a dense pattern that repeats over multiple instances of a season in the set of time-series data and a second class that represent another pattern that repeats over multiple instances of the season in the set of time-series data. A particular class of data is associated with at least two sub-classes of data, where a first sub-class represents high data points from the first class, and a second sub-class represents another set of data points from the first class. A trend rate is determined for a particular sub-class. Based at least in part on the trend rate, a forecast is generated.