Rite Aid Corporation
Q2 2007 Earnings Call Transcript
Published:
- Operator:
- At this time I would like to welcome everyone to Rite Aid's second quarter conference call. (Operator Instructions) Mr. Twomey, you may begin your conference.
- Kevin Twomey:
- Thank you, Patrice. Good morning, everyone. We welcome you to our second quarter conference call. Mary Sammons, our President and CEO; and Jim Mastrian, our Chief Operating Officer, are also on the call with me. Our agenda for today's call will be as follows
- Mary Sammons:
- Thanks, Kevin. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us today to discuss our second quarter fiscal 2007. As you can see from our press release, our positive performance trends strengthened. We reported a strong increase in pharmacy sales, good prescription count growth, solid front-end sales gains and an improvement in adjusted EBITDA. Our team did a good job controlling expenses, with SG&A down slightly as a percent of sales, even with the expected higher occupancy costs from the new and relocated stores we opened in the last six quarters. The initiatives to improve our core business keep delivering results. At the same time, we entered into a transaction that will dramatically accelerate our growth strategy and take our company to approximately 5,000 stores. We're very excited about the agreement we announced on August 24th to acquire the more than 1,850 Brooks and Eckerd drug stores from the Jean Coutu Group and expect the transaction to close sometime around the end of our fourth quarter. I will have an update on the progress we have made since the announcement later in my remarks. First, let's talk about the quarter. The positive momentum in our pharmacy business continues, with a 4.7% increase in same-store sales and a 2.6% increase in the number of prescriptions filled in comparable stores. Medicare Part D scripts rose again from 11% of all scripts in our first quarter to nearly 13% in our second. We have yet to see any effect from seniors hitting the coverage gap. The number of scripts we filled for patients age 60 to 64 also increased, evidence that our Living More senior loyalty program, with more than 2.1 million members, is attracting even more seniors to Rite Aid. Tactical marketing programs, especially against competitorsβ new store openings; improved customer satisfaction; health and wellness offerings that included marketing programs focusing on skin care and vitamins and nutrition; new managed care relationships; and, our stronger pharmacy field structure also contributed to the increases. Our generic dispense rate increase to nearly 61% during the quarter, with many of our regions several points higher than that thanks to our education and marketing programs designed to maximize the benefit of generics for our patients, our payors and for Rite Aid. As expected, new generics contributed to an increase in pharmacy gross profit over last year but several of the launches occurred later in the quarter and the positive impact will be even greater going forward. Also as expected, the higher margins we received from generics helped offset some of the lower reimbursement rates from Medicare Part D. As we have said before, we believe the increase in sales volume from Part D will eventually offset the lower reimbursement. On the front end, same-store sales continued to increase with a 2.3% gain for the quarter. All major categories except photo performed well. Core drug store, and especially OTC, was strong as was health and beauty care, consumables and seasonals. Vitamins were up, helped by our Health Condition marketing program with GNC sales posting double-digit gains. GNC stores within our stores give us a big advantage over our competitors. By year end, we plan to have them in over 35% of our stores and also plan to add them to our acquired stores where appropriate. This was also another good quarter for private brands. We increased our penetration to nearly 13% of front-end sales, with a stronger in-store focus and additional marketing support. We'll continue to expand our private brand business. It provides greater value for customers, gives us higher profit potential, and adds to our differentiation. Our future plans include repeating our very successful annual private brand promotion, Super Value Days, which runs every January and February. As for photo, we should see sales and margins start to improve in fiscal 2008 as we complete improvements to our equipment that will increase efficiency and lower operating costs. The equipment changes will also give more of our stores the ability to handle digital prints in minutes, one-hour digital processing, and online digital services. As I said when I opened my remarks, our team did a great job in the quarter with good cost control in nearly every area. Spend management is one of our critical priorities, and we expect even more benefits in the second half of our fiscal year. As for our new store growth programs, we said when we announced the Brooks Eckerd acquisition that we'll continue our current, new and relocated store programs, featuring our Customer World design, as planned. We expect to deliver close to the 125 new and relocated stores we targeted for this fiscal year, and as we have said before, most will be back end loaded. So will most of our prescription file bys for the year. Our file by team is focused on delivering high quality file bys which include getting the pharmacist or pharmacy team to move to Rite Aid, along with the files, whenever possible. Going forward, we're excited about the new initiatives we have developed to attract both pharmacy and front end customers. Let me give you just a few examples
- Kevin Twomey:
- Thanks, Mary. Let's talk through the operating statement. Revenues for this quarter were $4.29 billion compared to $4.13 billion last year. That was an increase of $156 million or 3.8%. The revenue increase was due to the 3.8% increase in same-store sales. Pharmacy same-store sales increased 4.79%, which was driven primarily by a 2.6% increase in prescriptions. In addition to the favorable demographic trends, our growth initiatives such as our focus on customer satisfaction, prescription file buy, our senior citizen loyalty card program and the new and relocated store program produced results. We expect the prescription growth trend to continue. As Mary mentioned, our mix of generic prescriptions continues to increase. During the second quarter, all generic prescriptions were 60.9% of total prescriptions, which was 86 basis points higher than last quarter. We expect this trend to continue. New generics had a negative 194 basis points impact on pharmacy sales during the quarter which was slightly higher than the first quarter's negative 170 basis points impact on pharmacy sales. We expect the impact of new generics to increase for the remainder of the year. Front end same-store sales increased 2.3%. Our initiatives for improving customer satisfaction along with our consistent promotion program, with a focus on core categories and an anchoring in events, produced results. The percent of sales coming from our promotion activities increased. Also as Mary mentioned, the photo category continued to be a negative contributor. Gross profits were $1.151 billion or 26.84% of revenues for this quarter versus $1.123 billion or 27.18% of revenues for last year. The current quarter included a non-cash LIFO charge of $8.9 million versus $7.6 million in last year's quarter. The LIFO charge increase is primarily due to the effect of higher estimated product inflation. Excluding LIFO, this quarter's gross margin rate was 27.05% of revenues, compared to 27.36% of revenues last year, or a decrease of 31 basis points. The 31 basis points decrease in FIFO gross margin rate consisted primarily of two pieces. One component was a 33-basis point decrease in front end gross profit contribution. Although front end sales were higher than last year, the gross margin rate for front end was lower due primarily to three factors
- Operator:
- Your first question is from Mark Husson - HSBC.
- Mark Husson:
- You probably haven't had a chance to think about this or bring it into your guidance, but you probably saw this morning Wal-Mart has decided to offer 290 generics in the Florida market at a $4 co-pay. On a conference call that they just had for press, they said that they wouldn't be charging the insurance company anything more than the $4 co-pay for that generic product. Clearly the reimbursement rate that Wal-Mart is getting for these products right now and that you're also getting for these products is very, very significantly higher than that. What do you think they're doing and what will your response be and what will happen if this gets rolled out across the country?
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, Mark, we just read the press release that came out this morning as you have, and you've actually probably got more info because you got to listen to their call. We'll be interested to see the results of the pilot program in Florida. We don't currently operate in Florida, but in terms of on a go-forward basis, it is really going to depend on what happens in the Florida pilot and which other states Wal-Mart may initiate this kind of pricing. As far as why they did it, I expect they should have said something on the call, but there could be any number of reasons that they're doing it, and I think I need to spend a little bit more time understanding what they've done before I speculate on that.
- Mark Husson:
- Well, they say that the reason for doing it is that they wanted to make a difference to the lives of their customers and that people had to choose between -- presumably uncovered people -- are choosing between the cost of drugs and food, for instance. But they have said they want to roll it out across the country, and because they're making a big PR song and dance about it right now, it would be extremely poor PR on their behalf to actually go back on that. Our speculation is that they're importing a significant number of generics from overseas markets and avoiding the [tazers] and so on in this country. Is there something that you can do to your generic supply chain to improve the pricing of generic drugs to allow you to participate in competing?
- Mary Sammons:
- I know on generics on a go-forward basis we think we have opportunities to also do some more direct buying as you mentioned Wal-Mart is doing.
- Mark Husson:
- One final question is how many of the plans in which you operate in the other states in which you operate would have pricing implications if, for instance, the reimbursement rate on certain generics was to drop for cash customers to $4? How many plans would that bleed over to? In other words, is there a minimum cost or a minimum price provision in some of these plans that would automatically also get that $4 co-pay? I ask you because you had changed your retail prices, I want to say a couple of years ago, to reduce the cash cost of prescriptions, and then you moved them back up again because it screwed up some of the reimbursement rates in your plans.
- Mary Sammons:
- Yes, there were a number of incidences that we did that when I think it dropped below usual customary pricing. It would really be too early for me to try to give you that number. It is something that we will certainly be looking at. We have a lot of homework to do around this issue.
- Mark Husson:
- But there would be some bleed over?
- Mary Sammons:
- I would expect there would be just based on how the rules work today.
- Mark Husson:
- Okay. Great. Thanks very much.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from Meredith Adler with Lehman Brothers.
- Meredith Adler:
- Following up on Mark's question -- by the way, congratulations on a good quarter.
- Mary Sammons:
- Thanks, Meredith.
- Meredith Adler:
- Following up on his question, do you know right now whether the usual and customary language holds true when a generic drug has been [MACβd]?
- Mary Sammons:
- I believe it does. I don't think that has any bearing on it. I think it applies in any instance.
- Meredith Adler:
- Which sounds like Wal-Mart is bringing their entire pharmacy business down hugely by this move.
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, they didn't do all of the generics. Because like we would have about at least 1,500 generic products available in total, and they said they mentioned about 300, so they're obviously picking a subset of them for economic reasons and they're going to evaluate what they're doing, but they're by no means taking all of the generic products down.
- Meredith Adler:
- Probably fair to say they're picking older generics where the price is already pretty low?
- Mary Sammons:
- I would speculate that's the case.
- Meredith Adler:
- I was just wondering on the Medicaid cut, we have been hearing some speculation that CMS is going to delay implementation of the move to A&P. Have you guys heard anything about that?
- Mary Sammons:
- Probably no more than you have, that still seems uncertain as to timing, so we haven't heard that there will definitely be a delay. It would I think be very good for everyone if there is to give them more time to really understand what they're doing.
- Meredith Adler:
- So far there hasn't been anything out of CMS about what drugs will cost under A&P, right? They haven't done anything yet.
- Mary Sammons:
- No, they haven't published anything at this point in time. I think a lot of it is they're still attempting to determine how they keep prices updated and how they make sure that it is a reasonable cost that really reflects what retail pharmacies are paying, and that's still one of the big sticking points.
- Meredith Adler:
- My final question is just about the pharmacy file buys, and are you continuing to see a lot of opportunities and is it actually in fact picking up? Because we're hearing in the marketplace that even pretty well run pharmacies are thinking about selling out.
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, I know that our file buy pipeline is very full, and I mentioned in my comments that a lot of them we expect to come through in the back half of the year. We allocate some pretty good dollars towards it but we also have very strong criteria for what we buy to make sure that it really is targeting the stores that we want to be able to pour the file in, that the mix of the script matches up with what we're looking for, that we're able to retain the pharmacy teams, and I think that gets us high quality buys, and we take the time to develop them.
- Meredith Adler:
- My final question on that is have you seen any change in the pricing environment for the file buys?
- Mary Sammons:
- The pricing over the last several years has gone up somewhat, but I haven't noticed anything dramatically different over the last six months.
- Meredith Adler:
- Thank you very much.
- Mary Sammons:
- Thanks, Meredith.
- Operator:
- Your next question is from Alexis Gold - UBS.
- Alexis Gold:
- Good morning. Just a follow-up on the Wal-Mart question. I think as we sit here and we look at where your competitors stocks are trading, trying to get a sense for how you think they might react and how you think the drug stores as a whole might have to react to these changes in the mass channel?
- Mary Sammons:
- I am not sure I heard all of your question because there was a lot of static. I think from a competitive standpoint I mentioned that we don't operate in Florida, so I think we'll see what other competitors do in terms of what Wal-Mart has done, and then we will evaluate from there.
- Alexis Gold:
- I don't know how much you can comment on the Rite Aid merger. Just trying to get a sense, I know that you filed an 8-K this week that was really helpful with follow-up and frequently asked questions. I know we continue to hear noise out of the bondholder groups. How closely are you working with any of these groups, and do you think that's going to continue to the close or do you expect any kind of settlement beforehand?
- Mary Sammons:
- Hold on just a minute. I think your question related to what kind of discussions are going on with the bondholders, et cetera and I'll let Kevin give you a brief update there.
- Kevin Twomey:
- We respond to all the questions and as a result of the volume of questions we thought it best to, in fact, sort of capsulate those into the frequently asked questions and answers document that we filed on our website as well as filed in 8-K. I am not quite sure, Alexis, I understood your question. We do expect to assume the 8.5% notes.
- Alexis Gold:
- Great. I think we realized that you expect to assume them, but obviously I think there has been two different camps out of the bond universe, and I think there is a group that certainly thinks that the 8.5% shouldn't travel and a group that does. I know that we've heard a lot of noise about bondholder groups forming and just want to get a sense for how you're working with them, how closely you're working with them, or if you're not working with them at all and just continue to believe that the 8.5% are going to be assumed and had there is no reason to work with them?
- Kevin Twomey:
- We have not been contacted by any bondholder group.
- Alexis Gold:
- That's helpful. Then you talked about addressing the 1,800 associates. It sounds like the response has been pretty good, but obviously the results we have seen out of Coutu have been probably less than stellar over the last couple of years. Just trying to get a better sense for, it sounds like it is a good group, but maybe what changes you can make early on that they were not able to actually make themselves in order to really drive results as a stand alone?
- Mary Sammons:
- It is important to remember that your store and field associates have to execute the interaction with the customer and that's in spite of what may be going on from a corporate point of view. When there were integration difficulties, it can reflect on a store when a store may not have had really any control over what happened. I would say that from what I have seen of the Brooks Eckerd associates, they're committed to the business. They work very hard to deliver a very positive customer experience; culturally we share the same kinds of values. They share the same that we have, and we believe we're bringing really good team members to our team. The issues that Brooks Eckerd had were really ones of not having enough infrastructure to really handle this, to roll out systems without having to go and try to develop them first. They didn't have management depth to do this. Whereas we don't have that situation. We've spent the last number of years building strong infrastructure, building the right kinds of systems that we can convert these stores to. We have depth in our management team. We all have experience in M&A activity. We've got the capabilities to handle this and handle it well.
- Alexis Gold:
- Great. Thanks very much.
- Mary Sammons:
- Thank you.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from John Ransom - Raymond James.
- John Ransom:
- Good morning. Just as a refresher, as we look at your store base today, and this is before the Brooks Eckerd, what percentage of your stores would you say that are in the format that you're happy with and what percent still need to either be relocated or renovated?
- Mary Sammons:
- John, we've obviously gone through that process, and we have about 400 stores that we've identified as relocation candidates, and of course we will be reviewing all of this in light of the new store base and geography as we move forward, too. And then certain other stores are what you call remodel candidates, and then a part of our strategy is where we are obviously missing stores in a given neighborhood or part of a market, and that also fits into our growth initiative.
- John Ransom:
- And remind me what percentage of your stores now are freestanding with 24-hour pharmacy?
- Mary Sammons:
- About 55% of them are freestanding stores.
- Kevin Twomey:
- 54%.
- Mary Sammons:
- 54%.
- John Ransom:
- 54% are freestanding. Okay. Certainly your comps have lagged a couple of the companies out there. As you look at market share stats by market, you obviously have very high market share in some slower growing markets, but does your data show that you are taking share, holding your own, or are you still losing a little bit of share in your core markets?
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, one of the reasons it was important for us to have a growth initiative is that when we weren't growing for a number of years, our competitors were entering our marketplace with more stores. If you look at our individual store sales, our sales per store have improved, so that tells me in the neighborhoods we have stores we have gained market share. But from the total market perspective there are going to be places where we need to regain the position that we have, and that's what our growth initiative was all about.
- John Ransom:
- But are you looking at market by market data from say an IMS or somebody? Do you know where your market share trends look like market by market and what they've looked like over the last couple of years?
- Mary Sammons:
- Yes. And we track against what's in metro market year-over-year and we look at all that kind of data. We look at category data in terms of market share and where our opportunity is; so store market share as well as category market share.
- John Ransom:
- What's your conclusion looking at that data? That you're gaining share, holding on, or losing share still?
- Mary Sammons:
- It is going to depend by market. It really does. There are going to be markets that you can clearly look to where we've gained market share as a result of just improving our customer experience in those markets, even without adding a lot of stores. There are going to be other markets where our share has gone down because competitors have opened up a lot more stores. But that's where we've really focused our growth initiative, and I mentioned that we fully intended to continue that growth initiative even with the acquisition, and those core markets may alter slightly. For the most part they're going to remain the same as we identified a few years ago in terms of where we're going to put those about 800 to 1,000 stores over the next five years.
- John Ransom:
- Okay. Got you. Then my other big picture question, if you go back to the turn around, yourself and your predecessor, the story was our gross margins are lower because our sales per square foot is lower. As you look today versus kind of where you started with the mess that you were left with, are you happy with kind of the sales per square foot numbers that you're producing now? Because it seems to me that you've kind of been in an EBITDA flat line plus or minus for three or four years and looking back, maybe the sales productivity numbers, people might have been thinking that might have been a little different than where they are. Are you happy with them or do you think that maybe the market's expectations were a little inflated just given the magnitude of the job you had to do?
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, obviously we're very pleased that our trends have been strengthening over the last; heck, now it's going to be four quarters, and because it is important for us to get the productivity and existing stores up, and that's particularly on the pharmacy side of the business. That's where we focused our attention. It is where we still have a gap to close. So I believe we have a lot more opportunity out there, and we intend to keep working initiatives to continue closing that gap.
- John Ransom:
- Okay. Thanks.
- Mary Sammons:
- Thank you.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from Steve Chick - JP Morgan.
- Steve Chick:
- Hi. Just a question on the pharmacy gross profit margins for the quarter up 2 basis points. I guess with the high profile generics during the quarter I thought that would have been a little more. Did that meet your plan, and can you just speak to how you're feeling about that generally?
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, remember, I think we said it would probably take us a good year to get the Medicare part of it, in terms of volume, to the levels that we thought it was going to be and then the generics to the levels that they needed to be to really offset the negative impact from Medicare Part D. We've had nice growth in our Medicare Part D base. It was 11% in Q1. It is almost 13% now, and it has been growing week to week, and yet it is going to take that significant growth to offset the reimbursement that comes along with that script. Generics have been a real positive in helping offset some of it, but they don't yet offset all of it. As the generic penetration continues to improve and I mentioned last quarter that our goal is 66% of our mix to be generics by June of next year. We believe that that is going to be key to offsetting that reimbursement hit.
- Steve Chick:
- Okay. I am sorry, did you say what that percentage is today?
- Mary Sammons:
- Generics, 61%.
- Steve Chick:
- Okay. 61%. You gave the dampening effect on pharmacy sales for this quarter. Do you happen to have it handy, what it was a year ago?
- Kevin Twomey:
- For the second quarter, Steve, of new generics? Is that the question?
- Steve Chick:
- Of a year ago, yes. If you don't have it, that's fine.
- Kevin Twomey:
- A negative 187 basis points.
- Mary Sammons:
- Steve, that's new generics. If you look at total generics in terms of growth of the mix, it has gone up significantly more than that, about 3% plus.
- Steve Chick:
- It is 3% plus now.
- Mary Sammons:
- Yes.
- Steve Chick:
- Do you have that a year ago?
- Mary Sammons:
- That's what I am saying, that 61% is roughly about 3% better.
- Kevin Twomey:
- It was 58% a year ago second quarter. Now it is close to 61%.
- Steve Chick:
- Okay. That's helpful. I guess a few months ago Longs Drugs had indicated just subtly that the generic profitability was probably a little less than they would have said at the beginning of the year, at the end of last year because of some of the structural things that the market has seen. Do you feel the same way or is your excitement level for generics? Basically the same as I guess you would have said six months ago?
- Mary Sammons:
- We still feel very positive about it, and I guess that's even in light of the Wal-Mart news this morning which we have to wait and see what develops on that. There is still a lot more profit potential out of them. They're a greater value for the patient and for the payor for everybody involved.
- Steve Chick:
- Great. Last thing. Did you say the occupancy cost drag was 9 basis points?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Well, occupancy and then there is also depreciation and amortization, Steve. The sum of those two on SG&A were 18 basis points.
- Steve Chick:
- Okay. So the 9, I guess that improved from 22 basis points last quarter?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Yes.
- Steve Chick:
- That must be because of the sales leverage I would think.
- Kevin Twomey:
- Sales lift, correct.
- Steve Chick:
- Great. Good. Thank you.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from Mark Wiltamuth - Morgan Stanley.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- Mary, just wanted to ask a little more on the Wal-Mart questions. Seems like their move here is really aimed at the cash segment of the business. Can you really tell us what your mix of generics is in your cash business?
- Mary Sammons:
- It is probably slightly higher than our overall because customer who is paying cash is going to go towards that, but I would suspect it is beyond their cash customer that they're putting this into play for. I think that's why they're doing a pilot to really see where their mix of scripts comes from.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- On your insured business, a lot of the customers there are probably only paying a $5 co-pay for generics anyway. Does this really cause much of a threat to insured business?
- Mary Sammons:
- I don't know. It is really going to depend on what the plans have.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- What the plans have in terms of their co-pay?
- Mary Sammons:
- Of their co-pay, yes, because for instance, what if a plan had a $10 co-pay? And so I think it is really early to try to speculate on it until we can spend a little bit more time digging into what they're doing here.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- Sounds like a lot of the analysis is really going to be focused on what is the price of the 291 drugs. How low are they and does it matter?
- Mary Sammons:
- Yes, and it does matter because it is definitely a subset of what would be available, and so they have picked and chosen as to what they're putting into this program, and I think it is still way too early for me to say even what their success is going to be with what they're doing.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- Then just to switch over to the Brooks Eckerd deal. Do you have any sense on how the timing is going to work on antitrust reviews and also looking at managing that new group of stores? Are you going to be really augmenting your management team to take on that larger responsibility?
- Mary Sammons:
- I mentioned on the first question that we filed with the FTC just this week both Jean Coutu Group and us filed for the Hart-Scott Rodino review. So then I think you have a 30-day time period where they respond and then you go from there. We've allowed plenty of time within the purchase agreement for us to spend disciplined time negotiating and just talking with the regulatory agency, but it is too early to really speculate. We're going to let it go the course. So we expect it to be a smooth process, and for the transaction to wrap up or close hopefully in our fourth quarter or slightly later depending on when the regulatory review finishes up. Then the other question on the management. One of the definite places obviously you augment is by extending the field structure that we have in place in terms of how the stores are supervised, and we announced last year that we made a change in our field structure and put a lot more focus behind pharmacy in creating 16 new regional pharmacy Vice Presidents. We'll be putting that same structure into place for our new geography and our new stores that are added, and so the field for sure there will be changes, and as necessary we will also add other positions corporately. We've gone through a pretty rigorous corporate review, and it will be part of our integration and transition plan.
- Mark Wiltamuth:
- Thank you.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from Karen Miller with Bear Stearns.
- Karen Miller:
- Hi. Good morning. I am wondering if you could talk a little bit about the competitive activity both in pharmacy and front end. Are you seeing it about the same, heightened?
- Mary Sammons:
- Well, the competitive activity is probably more noticeable on the front end side of the business because pharmacy operates a little bit differently, although a number of front end competitors do run certain kinds of offers on pharmacy prescriptions, same as we do, in terms of transferring. There is I would say about the same amount of promotional activity out there across the board. You see certain markets where there may be a little bit more. I think what we have found is customers buying a little bit more promotionally and that might be from their economic situation and where their money needs to go, so that trend we have noticed.
- Karen Miller:
- Okay. Also we're about a month into your 3Q. It looks like it's a pretty bad allergy season. Are you seeing any pick up in OTC or pharmacy as a result? Or is it too early to tell?
- Mary Sammons:
- We are still early in the quarter. We feel confident about our business trends going forward, so that's probably about all I can say until we would release sales for September.
- Karen Miller:
- Okay. Great. And then finally if you could talk a little bit about if the acquisition with Jean Coutu's U.S. stores, the Eckerd stores, does go through -- would you be thinking of selling any assets other than store overlap? I know you're acquiring six DC's. Would there be possibility to sell these?
- Mary Sammons:
- We are still looking at the overall distribution network, and obviously you would go beyond the time period of just closing on the transaction because you have rationalization of store base and where you're going to put your new stores and all of that needs to be stirred into the equation, but we feel very positive about the fact that we have got a really solid distribution network to support all of the stores when you put the DC's together, and it is just too early to make a predictions on what we'll do there.
- Kevin Twomey:
- Right now, today, I might add, Karen, that the store portfolio we have right now we think has the potential of reaching the performance levels that we want. You never say never in this business, but as long as they have the potential and we've got operating activities that we think are going to help them get to that potential, then there is no practical reason to monetize those assets.
- Karen Miller:
- The six DC's would not be extraneous for you since there is such a considerable geographical overlap.
- Mary Sammons:
- No. Like I said we still are early as in the process we're going through to make that decision, but we will certainly look at that. We haven't included anything in our synergy development for any of that.
- Karen Miller:
- Okay. Thanks. That's helpful.
- Operator:
- Your next question comes from Victoria Arizarsko with KBC Alternative.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- Hello. Hi. Good morning. Just to get a little clarification on your CapEx guidance, the $450 million, $500 million, that's for fiscal year 2007, correct?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Correct.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- I don't know if you provided guidance for next year, but would you expect that to change materially?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Generally speaking, no, but remember the timing of the close for the Brooks Eckerd acquisition would have a significant impact on the capital expenditures because of the integration capital expenditures.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- That leads me actually to my next question. You have provided guidance of $450 to $500 million for that alone, so together it is almost a billion of CapEx within the first 12 months?
- Kevin Twomey:
- You're mixing apples and oranges a little bit. Remember to take into consideration the proceeds that we get from the sale and leaseback of stores, so our net guidance, if you will, for our current fiscal year. So it's gross capital expenditures minus the sale and leasebacks is about $400 million. Then what we have said is that the integration CapEx if it were to, for example, happen on the first day of our fiscal 2007, that would be net capital expenditures of roughly $800 million to $850 million.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- In total $800 million?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Right. On a combined basis. That's after the first 12 months of integration. Then after integration capital expenditures, the combined company after sale and leaseback proceeds is going to be probably at about $550 million capital expenditure run rate.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- All right. And then you also mentioned in your previous conference call that in the first 12 months after integration CapEx, your free cash level would be negative. How are you going to finance that additional CapEx? In other words, do you expect your net debt to actually rise 12 months into the acquisition?
- Kevin Twomey:
- The first 12 months of activities after the closing of the acquisition, because of the capital expenditure associated with the integration, the continuation of our existing programs, as well as the results in operations will resulted in an increase in our debt and it will be funded with draws on the revolver. The second 12 months thereafter, the operating cash flows minus capital expenditures will be positive, and we expect to start to pay down debt then.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- I don't recall if you provided a guidance of those 1,800 stores that you're acquiring from Jean Coutu. How many of those are actually stores that they own and how many of those are stores that are leased?
- Kevin Twomey:
- The Brooks Eckerd chain owns about 175 stores.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- 175?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Approximately, yes. Over 1,600 are leased.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- Would you be able to provide us with any guidance as to what the lease expense on those is?
- Kevin Twomey:
- No. We're not in a position to really give you any guidance with regard to rent expense.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- The 2006 EBITDA guidance that you gave for Brooks and Eckerd stores, this is after lease expense or before?
- Kevin Twomey:
- Rent expense is included in that EBITDA number.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- So it is EBITDAR?
- Kevin Twomey:
- We aren't in a position to give you a rent expense number so that you could get to an EBITDAR.
- Mary Sammons:
- It is included in their EBITDA number.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- Okay. So the EBITDA number is?
- Mary Sammons:
- Would have their lease expense in it.
- Victoria Arizarsko:
- Great. Thank you very much.
- Mary Sammons:
- Thank you. Operator, we'll take one more question.
- Operator:
- Your final question comes from Karru Martinson - CIBC World Markets.
- Karru Martinson:
- Good morning. I was just wondering, in terms of what you were seeing in Michigan and some of the other markets as a result of the current issues right now going on in the automotive market, the announced restructurings, are you seeing pressure in those markets on the consumer?
- Mary Sammons:
- I would say that that's probably part of the reason why promotional sales have increased is because of customers, especially in certain areas feeling some economic pressures.
- Karru Martinson:
- But you're not seeing a change in the same-store sales performance be materially different than your other store base, the rest of your store base?
- Mary Sammons:
- No. It would depend on the specific store.
- Karru Martinson:
- Okay. Thank you very much.
- Mary Sammons:
- Yes. Thank you. Okay. Thank you, operator. I would like to just wrap up with a couple of comments, and reiterate again that we had a good quarter, strong sales trends continued, we showed good [technical difficulties].
- Operator:
- Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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