comScore, Inc.
Person level viewership probabilistic assignment model with Markov Chain

Abstract:

Techniques for projecting person-level viewership from household-level tuning events are described. Initially, panelist viewing data are accessed and a plurality of state values based on the panelist viewing data are determined. Then, tuning data representing tuning events associated with particular households are accessed. For at least one tuning event represented by the tuning data, household member data is accessed, a portion of the panelist viewing data whose panelist information matches at least a portion of the member data is determined, a total number of watched minutes of the program by an individual member and a number of continuous series of watched states of the program by the individual member is determined, and an output representative of a probability that the particular portion of the program was watched by one or more of the individual members is generated.