Tilray Brands, Inc.
Q2 2020 Earnings Call Transcript
Published:
- Operator:
- Greetings, and welcome to the Tilray Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. . It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Raphael Gross. Please go ahead.
- Raphael Gross:
- Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us on Tilray's Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. On with me today are Brendan Kennedy, Chief Executive Officer; and Michael Kruteck, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please remember that during the course of our discussion, management may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 as amended. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and involve risks and uncertainties that could differ materially from actual events and those described in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to Tilray's reports filed from time to time with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, and Canadian securities regulators, along with the earnings press release issued today for a detailed discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I will begin with perspectives on key industry headwinds and opportunities, followed by an update on our business performance and forward outlook. Then Michael will review our second quarter financial results. Despite COVID, we have seen continued demand in the industry. Indications suggests consumers have transitioned reasonably well for ordering on the various provinces e-commerce platforms, which has helped to maintain product demand. We see that demand has been partially driven by the introduction of value-added cannabis product offerings, which are becoming more affordable and accessible as licensed producers and larger provinces such as Ontario, continued to increase their distribution and points of sale. Additionally, many privately operated retailers have ramped up curbside pickup, online ordering and delivery services to consumers. One potential longer-term outcome of COVID is that consumers may have a heightened concern for quality and safety, while being more interested in paying products from licensed retailers and licensed producers rather than the illicit market. This may lead to a faster migration from the illicit market to the legal market, which would be a positive for the industry. Additionally, cannabis has been recognized as an essential business in Canada, Germany, Portugal, Australia and multiple U.S. states. By recognizing this industry as essential, it stabilizes and furthers the case for legalization around the world, first for medical cannabis followed by adult use. As we believed from the beginning, the steady increase in the number of legal cannabis markets supports our thesis that there is a significant global growth opportunity. This recognition validates their thinking that cannabis is a mainstream product consumed like other consumer staples.
- Michael Kruteck:
- Thank you, Brendan, and thanks to everyone joining us on our call and webcast this afternoon. Please note all the financial information we are discussing today was prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and is in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise indicated. Second quarter revenues grew $4.5 million or 10% to approximately $50.4 million or CAD 69.4 million compared to the same quarter last year. We experienced growth across all product channels, excluding bulk, and realized significant ongoing improvement in our international medical channel. Cannabis segment revenues increased 16% to $30.2 million or CAD 41.5 million compared to $26 million or CAD 34 million for the same period last year. The increase was driven by 17% growth in adult-use to $17.6 million, 65% growth in Canada Medical to $3.8 million to 349% growth in international medical to $8.3 million. Bulk contributed $402,000 in sales compared to $6.7 million in the year ago quarter. As previously indicated, we expect continued growth in both the adult-use and medical sales channels for the remainder of 2020 and a decline in bulk sales as we focus on higher-margin opportunities. We will take advantage of bulk sales on an opportunistic basis and in cases where it helps us rebalance inventory levels in certain products. The adult-use growth was partially due to the launch of our cannabis 2.0 products in December 2019. 2.0 products now account for approximately 22% of adult-use sales and are expected to continue to contribute to the channel growth as we launch new form factors in the coming months. Adult-use represented 58% of cannabis revenue in the second quarter of both 2019 and 2020. Canada Medical represented 13% of cannabis revenue in this year's second quarter versus 9% in the year ago period. And international medical represented 28% of cannabis revenue in the second quarter of 2020 compared to 7% in the year ago period. As expected, bulk fell to 1% of cannabis revenue from 26% last year as we focus on opportunities to sell Tilray products to end users. Hemp segment revenue increased 1.6% to $20.3 million or CAD 28 million compared to $19.9 million or CAD 26.1 million for the same period last year. Until there is more clarity from the FDA on CBD in the U.S., we view the hemp segment, which is primarily our Manitoba Harvest business, as a business that is likely to deliver modest top line growth. Segment revenue mix during the second quarter was 60% cannabis and 40% hemp compared to 57% cannabis and 43% temp in the second quarter last year. We expect to see a continued shift to higher percentages of cannabis in the coming quarters. On a sequential basis, revenue decreased 3.2% from the $52.1 million achieved in our first quarter. This was driven by a 15.8% decrease in adult-use sales, a 5.3% decrease in Canada medical sales and a 5.1% decrease in hemp sales, all of which were partially offset by a 43.2% increase in international medical sales and a minimal contribution from bulk sales. In general, our quarter-over-quarter decline in adult-use sales and Canada Medical was largely attributable to pantry loading we experienced in the month of March. This was one of the few measurable impacts to our business that we attribute to COVID. While April continued to exceed sales levels in January and February, we saw a drop-off in May and June, and were unable to offset the entire impact of the accelerated sales experienced during the March period. This was partially due to changes in purchasing behavior by the Canadian provinces, temporary store closures in Ontario, the shift to curbside pickup or delivery and the limited number of retail locations added during the quarter. We estimate the March increase was responsible for approximately 14% incremental sales. During the quarter, we also completed the transition to our outsourced sales team, Kindred, which resulted in a brief period of limited retail sales coverage. Early indications point to increased sales in the adult-use channel as Kindred expands our business with existing accounts and establishes new points of distribution for our portfolio of products. Total kilogram equivalent sold increased 105% to 11,430 from 5,588 in the prior year's second quarter. This was largely driven by a onetime bulk transaction related to the settlement of a supply contract. Our average net selling price per gram of cannabis in the second quarter was $2.64, a 43% decrease or $1.97 from the $4.61 during the same period in 2019 and a 50% sequential decrease from the $5.28 during the first quarter of this year. However, the $2.64 during the second quarter of 2020 was impacted by a onetime bulk transaction associated with the termination of the supply contract. Excluding the onetime transaction, average net selling price increased to $5.03 from the same period in 2019. The increase was primarily due to continued growth of our international medical business, a shift in sales to higher potency and higher-priced products and the continued growth of our 2.0 products in Canada. Going forward, we expect our average selling price per gram to remain stable or increase over time as sales of international medical cannabis continue to make up a larger percentage of our sales mix. Our average cost per gram sold of cannabis in the second quarter was $2.06 per gram, a roughly 47% decrease from $3.86 during the same period in 2019 and $3.97 during the first quarter this year. The decrease was impacted by the same onetime bulk transactions associated with the termination of a supply contract. Excluding the onetime transaction, net cost per gram decreased to $3.42. The year-over-year decrease is primarily a result of reduced cost structures at our facilities due to our cost-cutting efforts, better throughput and cost absorption at our High Park holdings processing facility and partially due to the availability of low-cost product available from third parties. Nevertheless, with the closure of High Park Gardens, a high cost facility and increased growth volumes in Portugal, where we have had limited cost absorption, we expect to see cost per gram reduce over time as the full benefit of our cost reductions is realized. We may see fluctuations as our facility in Portugal continues to ramp production and the percentage of third-party purchases varies in relation to our own product quantities. Gross margin for the second quarter, including asset write-downs and onetime charges, was negative 10.7% compared to 27% in the same period last year and 21% during the first quarter of 2020. During the second quarter this year, we wrote down $18.6 million of inventory, some of which was associated with the closure of High Park gardens, and some of which was the result of an exhaustive review of all products and stock, cannabis and hemp, and a thorough evaluation of their potential use or demand in the market. This number also includes approximately $5 million associated with the write-off of a deposit for purchases from a supplier. During the same period last year and the first quarter of 2020, we wrote down inventory valued at $200,000 and $4 million, respectively. Based on the actions taken during the first half of 2020, we do not expect to incur additional material inventory adjustments in the foreseeable future. Gross margin for the second quarter, excluding inventory valuation adjustments was 26%, which represented a 100 basis point decrease from the year ago period and a 300 basis point decrease from the first quarter of 2020. The decrease was partially due to introductory shipments made at lower margins in our international medical business and, as previously indicated, a onetime bulk transaction associated with the settlement of a supply contract. Excluding the onetime transaction, gross margins, excluding inventory adjustments, was 32%, a 500 basis point increase from last year and a 300 basis point increase versus prior quarter. Gross margin for cannabis, excluding inventory valuations and adjustments, decreased to 10% from 14% in the year ago quarter and from 20% in the first quarter of 2020. Excluding the onetime bulk transaction previously mentioned, cannabis margins were 20%, 600 basis points higher than prior year and flat to Q1 2020. Gross margins per hemp, excluding inventory valuations and adjustments, was 50% compared to 51% in the year ago quarter, an increased from 41% in the first quarter of 2020. The increase from Q1 is largely due to the timing of discount programs offered to our largest customer. Please recall, starting in 2020, we made the decision to stop attributing any cost value to by-product at our High Park and Portugal facilities. This decision should reduce our need to make future inventory adjustments. However, this decision has had the impact of increasing our cost per gram on the flower and derivative products that do have value. Moving to expenses. Total operating expenses, including noncash impairment charges of $28.4 million were $70.4 million in Q2, a $25.2 million increase compared to the prior year quarter. Excluding impairments and write downs, second quarter operating expenses totaled $42 million and represented a $3.2 million decrease from the prior year second quarter and a reduction of more than $9 million from the first quarter of this year. The savings is even more significant if we compare Q2 to the annualized run rate of Q4 2019 and amounts to a $13 million reduction. This is demonstrative of the meaningful impact we have seen from the cost reductions Brendan mentioned earlier. The details of the $28.4 million noncash impairment charges incurred during Q2 includes $25.1 million related to the closing of High Park Gardens. This consisted of $13.6 million for land and buildings; $10.2 million for its cultivation license; and $1.3 million for foreign currency translation adjustments. Included in the noncash charges was $3.3 million related to our separation from Smith & Sinclair. There were no asset impairments in the second quarter of last year. During the first quarter of this year, we had $29.8 million related to impairments. Similar to inventory adjustments, we do not currently envision additional material impairments. The expense reductions implemented have taken place across all aspects of our business and include headcount reductions of over 400 people as well as cost controls in all departments. We are now focused on investing dollars in areas that will generate the highest expected return across the business. We do not believe we had cut costs or headcount to the extent they will have an adverse impact on our ability to meaningfully grow our business across all categories in 2020 and 2021. As Brendan indicated, our efforts to reduce our cost structure were not prompted by the COVID situation. Our plans to rightsize the business were and are independent of any COVID impacts in the market. While these changes were difficult, we feel we have completed the majority of these measures and are in a good position to focus our outlook on future growth. Net loss for the second quarter, including inventory adjustments and impaired charges, was $81.7 million or $0.65 per share compared to a net loss of $36.3 million or $0.37 per share in the second quarter of 2019. The increased net loss was primarily due to the impact of the change in fair value of warrant liability and the impairment of assets. Excluding inventory adjustments and impairment charges, net loss was $34.7 million, a $1.4 million improvement compared to Q2 2019 and a $116 million improvement versus Q1 2020. Adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was $12.3 million compared to a loss of $18.7 million in the second quarter last year. The improvement in the year-over-year adjusted EBITDA loss was due to higher revenues and lower operating expenses. On a sequential basis and despite moderately lower revenues attributable to COVID-19, our adjusted EBITDA loss reflected a 34% improvement from the $18.7 million loss in the first quarter of 2020 as we implemented our cost reductions and operational efficiencies. This significant momentum reflects our commitment to achieving positive or breakeven adjusted EBITDA by the end of Q4 by continuing to grow revenues, improve margins and operate our business efficiently. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the second quarter with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $137 million, a reduction of $37 million from the $174 million at the end of the first quarter of 2020. Due to restrictions associated with the warrants we issued in March of this year, we had very limited access to our at the market, or ATM offering program, during Q1 and Q2. Given our existing cash balances, future access to the ATM program and increased efficiencies in our business, we believe we have sufficient capital and access to future capital to manage our operations and execute our plans for the remainder of 2020 and into 2021. We anticipate our cash flow needs for the remainder of the year to be approximately $45 million to $55 million, which primarily consists of operating cash needs of $15 million to $20 million, plus interest and principal payments of approximately $15 million and CapEx of approximately $16 million. These numbers assume no meaningful additional impacts due to COVID and the remaining CapEx assumes completion of Phase 2 in Portugal during 2020. We did experience some cohort related construction delays in Portugal during April and May, but are still expecting completion this year. However, if we experience future construction delays later this year due to COVID-19, they may impact our total CapEx spend for the year. It's important to note that during the quarter and subsequent to the quarter, we aggressively reduced our future purchase commitments. This reduction is the result of renegotiating and/or terminating several legacy supply contracts with out of market terms. While some solutions required certain cash payments, given existing market dynamics and projections of future available supply and pricing, the final outcomes were favorable to Tilray. As Brendan outlined at the beginning of the call, we are focused on our path to profitability. We made significant changes to our business during Q1 and Q2 to strengthen our position as a leaner and more efficient leader in the cannabis and hemp industries. These actions, while difficult and time-consuming, are largely behind us, which will now allow us to focus on future growth. We are now keenly focused on growing our revenue. In particular, we expect to see meaningful growth in international medical where we already have a proven track record, additional growth in adult-use from our existing 2.0 products and new form factors and from leveraging our Kindred sales force, and by expanding the presence of hemp products at existing and new brick-and-mortar and online retail outlets. As we increase sales, we are now positioned to realize the benefits of our new cost structure. Looking ahead, we remain focused on achieving significant revenue growth and a level of profitability that supports our growth initiatives. We believe the cannabis industry is still in its early stages, and that meaningful revenue opportunities exist and will continue to surface as additional countries legalize medical and/or adult-use cannabis. We also believe there will be revenue opportunities for CBD in the U.S. once the FDA provides more clarity on nationwide regulations. We fully expect Tilray to have a substantial and profitable presence in our existing and future markets for cannabis and hemp, and we believe we have taken significant actions to position Tilray to achieve this goal and be recognized as the most trusted cannabis and hemp company. Brendan and I are now available to take your questions.
- Operator:
- . Our first question comes from Vivien Azer with Cowen.
- Vivien Azer:
- So my first question is a high-level one on your production strategy. So Brendan, you called out a couple of things. So you're shutting down High Park Garden, high cost, that makes sense. But then you noted that your -- it seems like there might be a lack of external supply that's high quality. And at the same time, you're making these bulk sales and terminating supply agreements. So I'm just trying to piece all this together. Like, you obviously want to avoid cultivating internally at too high cost, but what gives you confidence that there's actually adequate supply to supplement that, in particular, given what you're doing with your supply agreements?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Yes. So when we look at our facility in Portugal and our facility in Enniskillen, Ontario. What we've seen over the last -- what we've seen over the last 6 months is that our yields in -- from Enniskillen have increased significantly based on some improvements that we made to the facility, really starting about a year ago. And those improvements were completed in Q1. So we're seeing two things out of that facility
- Vivien Azer:
- Okay. That's helpful. Moving to the adult use market in Canada. Obviously, COVID, very challenging operating backdrop for you guys in the industry as a whole. But I'm curious about how big of an impact COVID really was, because obviously, it's still early in the reporting season. But with some of your peers who do actually break out also adult-use revenues, we didn't see the same kind of softness, and there weren't as many COVID-specific call outs, at least thus far, for Canadian cannabis earnings. So I guess the question is, how do you feel about your positioning in the value and deep value segments? Do you feel like you won your fair share of that segment?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- I think it's yet to be determined. I think it's a segment that we saw emerging, really starting in August of 2019, and we were one of the first to enter that segment. I think that there's still a -- there's still a lack of brand loyalty within -- certainly within that segment in Canada. But I think it's probably early to determine what our eventual market share will be. In terms of COVID, I think the biggest impact of COVID was the pantry holding we saw really across adult-use and Canadian medical at the end of Q1, where you saw online ordering at the OCS and we saw online ordering within our medical patients increased significantly in March, and that led to some high inventories at places like the OCS at the end of March. And some of those provinces had to sort of work through that inventory in Q2.
- Vivien Azer:
- Perfect. That's helpful. I'm going to squeeze one last one in. Clearly, the bright spot on the quarter was international medical. Very impressive that in 6 months' time, you guys have been able to double your revenue base and obviously, led by Germany. I really appreciated your comment, Brendan, about over the coming years, Germany actually surpassing Canada, I mean, from a population standpoint alone, like that makes a ton of sense. But I'm curious what you're seeing kind of in the last 3 months, maybe 6 months, I know one of the problems that the German market was having was that undersupply was starting to be a limiting factor in terms of doctors really increasing prescribing cannabis. So have you started to see that evolve? Or are we still, like, getting the medical community be comfortable with a more robust supply chain in Germany?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Yes. I think there have been significant -- well, I'll step back in terms of how you frame the question. The -- I think one of the things that's important to note is that, in the first two quarters of this year, our international medical exceeded our international medical revenue for all of last year. And we expect that trend -- that significant growth on international medical to continue in Q3 and into Q4. And so that's the trend that we think is really positive, and we're doing everything to ensure that -- everything we can to ensure that we continue to significantly grow that international revenue. There have been some supply issues in Germany. One of the legacy suppliers has been unable to supply products over the course of part of Q1 and into Q2. And so that's a big opportunity for us. We are starting to see both the number of -- well, I shouldn't say starting, we are continuing to see the number of patients who had prescriptions increase, and we're continuing to see the number of doctors who are writing prescriptions increase, although it's still off a relatively small base. And that just takes time. It takes time to educate patients, it takes time to educate physicians in the emerging medical market. We've seen the same thing in Canada 4 years ago. We saw the same thing in Australia over the last 2 to 3 years. And so we know how to do it. We know how to educate physicians. We know how to educate pharmacists. We know how to educate patients. And so that's just a process that we're marching through.
- Operator:
- Our next question comes from Rupesh Parikh with Oppenheimer.
- Rupesh Parikh:
- I wanted to ask a question just on gross margin. So you broke out separately the cannabis and hemp margins, I believe, for the first time. So I just wanted to just understand how you guys are thinking about it going forward?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Thanks, Rupesh. So on the gross margins for cannabis, I think we do continue to see expansion of the gross margins as we see the international medical make up a higher percentage of our cannabis actual sales, and when we talk about the hemp, I think that we'll probably see that fluctuate depending upon what kind of discounts and other things that we offer to customers in that particular space. But we do see that between 40% and 50% consistent margin moving forward for hemp. And that's exclusive of any kind of real CBD activity in that particular space. But -- and on the -- so I think that's the 2 pieces of it.
- Rupesh Parikh:
- Okay. In cannabis, what's the expectation for that going forward?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Cannabis, I don't -- we necessarily have an expectation. I mean we're kind of seeing how fast we get growth out of the international medical market. We're trying to monitor what's going on relative to pricing. I generally think we'll probably see a couple of 100 basis point expansion in that a couple of hundred basis point expansion in that on a quarter-over-quarter basis is what we're looking at for total margins inclusive of that.
- Rupesh Parikh:
- Okay. Great. And then on the Canadian rec side, you guys say expected to in the back half of the year. How are you thinking about the improvement driven by flower versus 2.0? Do you expect cannabis 2.0 to have a bigger impact, or flower? Just any thoughts in terms of how you guys would think about that growth in the back half of the year.
- Michael Kruteck:
- So generally -- and Brendan, I don't know if you've got some of this numbers. But generally speaking, I think that we're seeing good growth coming out of the 2.0 products. We did see good quarter-on-quarter growth on a sequential basis. In our -- in our vapes, in particular, we saw roughly 12% growth on that. And so I'd say that we continue to see solid growth in that. We do see good growth in the package flower, although it's just -- I think it's moderating relative to the 2.0.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Rupesh, I'd just add that we do have a number of 2.0 products in our pipeline that we anticipate launching here in Q3 and into Q4. And so we had built a 2.0 product portfolio starting, gosh, 2 years ago. And so there are a number of products where we thought we would see more competition at this point, and we don't. And so we have a number of products that we'll launch in -- really in the coming weeks.
- Operator:
- Next question comes from Pablo Zuanic with Cantor Fitzgerald.
- Pablo Zuanic:
- Just want to follow-up on the international front. The concern that Germany is developing so slowly, and then we hear a lot of companies talking about supplying that market. So is there a reason that, that market would actually be oversupply in the next 6, 12 months? On that -- and along those lines, if you can talk about -- you're going to ship from Portugal, lower cost than, say, shipping from Germany from Denmark or producing in Germany or shipping from Canada. But how much of that advantage are you able to retain in terms of profit margins? And if cost in Portugal are so much lower, why won't you be able to have much higher share? Just trying to connect all those dots there. Potentially oversupply, how does that play out for you compared to other companies?.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- So when we look at the patient -- when we look at patient count in Germany and we look at the growth of patients in Germany compared to medical patient count in Australia and in Canada back in 2014, '15, the curve, the adoption curve in Germany is actually accelerated compared to Canada and Australia. And so we do expect to see continued patient growth there, obviously, much higher to 2.4x of population. So eventually, it will be a much, much larger medical market. We have seen a number of competitors either cease European operations or significantly cut back European operations. And so that leaves us optimistic about our opportunity to capture market share within Germany.
- Pablo Zuanic:
- If I can have a follow-up there. Just on the EBITDA target being positive or breakeven by the fourth quarter, what type of sales increase would you need to see? Or are you to break even? Or do you still plan further cost cuts? And on a separate topic, I think you mentioned that you're shifting to a -- to a broker or a third-party distributor to sell in Canada? If you can give more color on that and whether there would be any disruption or how does it help your business?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Maybe. I'll take the second part of that question first. So we integrated a sales broker called Kindred, and so we're using their sales force who are acting as our exclusive agents for all provinces and territories, except for QuΓ©bec. And so we made that transition in the middle of Q2. And so we've obviously spent a lot of time educating and ramping up that sales force. And what that does is it gives us much broader reach in Canada. So prior to that transition, we had about 18 people on that sales -- on our own internal sales team. And Kindred has -- 42 sales staff. And so that will not only increase the frequency at which we interact with the various provincial distributors and individual retailers, but also increase the scope. So the number of retailers that we can interact with on a daily, weekly, monthly basis. And so that transition did take place in the middle of in the middle of Q2. And we do expect that to drive revenue growth within the adult-use market in the second half of the year.
- Pablo Zuanic:
- Michael on the EBITDA question?
- Michael Kruteck:
- Yes. So I'd say to the point that Brendan is making about the distribution in the Canada adult-use market is that we do see growth in that market. I'd say that it's not exceptional growth, but it's certainly solid growth coming from Canada direct. Where we see the accelerated growth coming is from the international medical. And I think that we've been pretty consistent about saying that we expect that to be a pretty significant growth opportunity for us as we move forward. I hesitate to put numbers out there right now in terms of what kind of percentages we're talking about. We're working towards all the things that we need to, to get to EBITDA positive or breakeven, and that's inclusive of the cost cuts that we've got. We should see some benefit as we move into the back half of this year. We're seeing the full impact of the cost cuts that we have implemented and not necessarily just a partial amount of those as we did in Q1 and Q2. So I think that we've got some moving parts. But if we -- if our revenue expectations are not necessarily met, I think that we've got some avenues that we would look to go down and try to still make that happen. Or if we see the revenues start contributing to what we think they should is that we've got an opportunity to maybe make some additional investments in the company elsewhere.
- Operator:
- Next question comes from Aaron Grey with Alliance Global Partners.
- Aaron Grey:
- Thanks for the question. So my first question, comes along lines with Manitoba. I know, it seems like it's kind of you're third in terms of rank over for top line opportunities. But last quarter, you talked about increased demand from Costco and Amazon. So just would like to get some more color in terms of how that business has been evolving, kind of how you see that growth opportunity over the next 6 to 12 months?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Yes. So on Manitoba Harvest, I think that we see that as kind of a top line moderate growth story. It's despite the distribution that we might get. That's just a larger business right now that's fairly well-established that takes other significant distribution to really change the growth profile. So I'd say that we just see that as kind of a stable growth type of business going forward, kind of in the range where it's been.
- Aaron Grey:
- All right. Great. And then just one more from me then. Just in terms of the ASP, and I guess it goes as well through the gross margin profile that kind of been asked about earlier. As we look for the additional sales from international, I know you said in this quarter, it was kind of impacted from some introductory shipments at lower cost. So kind of how quickly can we see that, kind of, evolving, kind of, juxtaposed against kind of potentially lower value offerings at the Canadian adult-use market side? It seems like with the exponential growth you're expecting to continue more on the international side, and that should be a nice lift. But how do we kind of think about that as like continues to evolve and you potentially do use some third parties as well here on the Canadian side, just to kind of think about the puts and takes there on the gross margin, that would be helpful.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Sure. So when we talk about the average selling price. So in Europe and the international medical, we're seeing average selling price inclusive of all the markets in which we sell-in, it's probably the $9-range or so, $9 to $10 range. And I think that we see that there may be some pricing pressure on that as we kind of move into the year in Germany, just as there's more market entrants trying to gain some share as well as we start to introduce some new product offerings their lower THC potency. On the Canada rec, I'd say that we have seen -- actually, we've been pretty consistent with our pricing. We haven't really been driving pricing down, like a lot of other people have. We've been trying to manage the margin and pricing question there as well as the product offerings. And when I look at, kind of, the sales by potency that we've seen are pretty significant, I guess, growth of sales of higher potency for us in the marketplace to the tune of -- I mean, we're roughly -- in terms of high- and mid-potency, we're in the 30% for high potency, 48% for mid-potency and probably 12% in the low potency right now. So we're trying to manage that margin equation in Canada so that we can see that as a profitable business as opposed to just market share on the revenue business.
- Operator:
- The next question comes from Michael Lavery with Piper Sandler.
- Michael Lavery:
- Just wanted to follow-up a little bit on the EBITDA piece and positive to -- breakeven to positive. I know you touched on some of the thinking around the revenue piece of that. But can you give some color on what are the key things to watch? How much are the costs pretty well set versus that all just driving the revenue, making sure you drive the revenues the right way? Are there some other flex factors? What's most important for you when you're watching that? And how confident are you in being able to hit that by the end of the year?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Sure. Thanks. That's a good question. So when we look at the cost reductions, those are pretty well set at this point. There may be some marginal additional things that we do just to optimize the business in certain areas. But in general, when I look at all the cost areas, we've taken roughly 32% out of our cost structure. And that's everywhere from employee cost to sales and marketing, professional fees, public relations. I mean, it's across the board. And so when I look at that in terms of how it breaks down, we've actually -- if you compare it to a run rate of Q4 last year, we've achieved $15 million of that, and we see the rest of that dropping to the bottom line in the Q3 and Q4 time frame. So that's roughly -- I mean, we've roughly reduced our SG&A spend from somewhere in the range of $50 million a quarter to $30 million to sub-$30 million a quarter. And so I'd say that, that's pretty well set. And what we would be looking for is the top line growth to leverage those costs now.
- Michael Lavery:
- Okay. That's really helpful. And just a follow-up on Europe. I know you said it would outpace other segments and be a growth driver. I guess, just maybe to help us not get carried away in our modeling. Any other any other color you could give, is there introductory pricing we should watch out for, either to new customers or channels or countries besides Germany? Or anything just to help give a sense of how to frame a little more precisely what the back half looks like?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Yes. So I don't think we have more of the introductory pricing type of thing coming our way. We're more focused on the actual pricing into normal market channels at this point. And then -- and we'll continue along those lines. So I'd say that -- like I said, I hesitate to just give out kind of a number. I think that we've talked about, previously, something in the $40 million to $45 million, $50 million range for that business. And I still think that, that's kind of where our eyes are headed, and we'd like to see try to make that happen.
- Operator:
- Next question comes from Graham Kreindler with Eight Capital.
- Graeme Kreindler:
- I had a question, Brendan, I'd be curious your thoughts. You mentioned in the prepared remarks about the U.S. CBD market and specifically with the hemp business, how the real meaningful growth will -- it really comes from getting some regulatory change, particularly from the FDA. So I was wondering, as it relates to the upcoming election, and there's a lot of eyes on what that might do on the THC side, is there anything that you potentially could see as meaningful coming out of that with respect to unlocking incremental value from the CBD side?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- That's a good question. Oddly -- oddly, at this point, it seems like there's a good chance in the U.S. that we may have some clarity on THC before CBD. Or perhaps they have -- perhaps they come concurrently. But I have taken myself out of the business of trying to predict anything having to do with timing in the FDA. And so I don't really have a great answer for your question, other than -- I remain -- I remain extremely optimistic about THC and clarity between the federal government and state governments related to THC in the coming 18 months.
- Graeme Kreindler:
- All right. I appreciate that. And as a quick follow-up, just with respect to the hemp business there. And as you're navigating the environment now with the lockdowns and the reopenings. Is there any color you can provide with respect to how much of the sales mix was e-commerce versus how much was in-store or how that's deviated from historical? Just be curious to get any additional color in that respect.
- Michael Kruteck:
- I don't -- I don't -- sorry, go ahead, Brendan.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- I was just going to say that we've seen in terms of Manitoba harvest, we've seen really strong business with both Amazon and Costco. And we saw that -- we saw that in Q1, and we saw that continue into Q2.
- Michael Kruteck:
- Yes. I don't have the details on the split. So my apologies for that. I just -- I don't have that data in front of me at least. I can certainly get it for you, a follow-up.
- Operator:
- Next question comes from Tamy Chen with BMO Capital Markets.
- Tamy Chen:
- I just wanted to go back to Canada Rec for a second. So just wondering if you can just give a bit more detail as to how you intend to resume growth in that segment because this quarter, it was a sequential decline anyway. And right now, in that market, it appears the only way to grow share even if it's short-lived before someone else will compete on price is to get more competitive in that hard value segment. So it seems that you're trying to manage to not go aggressively there. So I just want to understand how you're thinking about how to manage your trajectory and your performance in that segment in the face of this apparent trend in the industry?
- Brendan Kennedy:
- So we've seen -- we expect to see increases in distribution through our relationship with Kindred, which gives us greater reach and a greater frequency, interacting with the respective provincial buyers and retailers. And we've seen healthy growth in 2.0 product revenue growth. And we expect with the additional 2.0 SKUs that we're launching and it's somewhere -- somewhere within half a dozen and a dozen. We expect to see -- continued growth in adult-use or we expect to see growth in adult-use in Q3 and Q4.
- Tamy Chen:
- Okay. And specifically on the 2.0 product launches, sorry if I missed this, I didn't think I saw it in the press release or heard earlier on the call. But I was wondering if you're able to give additional color on the timing for THC beverages for you when that might be coming to market? It seems like there's good demand in that category.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- There is good demand. The team at food and beverage would be better equipped to answer that question. So I would point to JΓΆrn to answer it. I know they're working on it, and they're optimistic about their ability to produce those products.
- Operator:
- Next question comes from Andrew Carter with Stifel.
- Unidentified Analyst:
- I'll keep my question to one. I guess -- and here, you're reiterating positive EBITDA guidance in the quarter, it's -- all of the EBITDA improvement was driven by lower SG&A, was actually lower -- or it was actually worse if you consider lower SG&A. So I'm just guessing with the gross margin seemingly, it's not on track for improvement. If I heard Michael correctly earlier in the call, you're not even looking for that much of an improvement from the 10% level. I guess what provides you the incremental confidence of getting there to adjust EBITDA? And can you give us kind of a revenue target for the year that gets you there?
- Michael Kruteck:
- Yes. So think that I did indicate that there would be improvement on the margins 100 to a couple of hundred basis points. And then in terms of a revenue target, I just -- I don't think that we're going to give that kind of specific guidance right now, just there are a lot of moving issues in the marketplace. We've got a plan in place that we think delivers what we need to, to meet EBITDA breakeven or positive and we're working towards that. But I just don't think that it's prudent right now to be giving specific revenue target guidance.
- Unidentified Analyst:
- And just, I guess, clarification. I did hear the 100 to 200 basis points. But is that off the 10% adjusted gross margin for the cannabis business? Or is that for the overall gross margin for the Tilray business?
- Michael Kruteck:
- Well, I mean, I think it's largely driven by cannabis. It's not necessarily going to be driven by Manitoba Harvest. I think we indicated that the Manitoba Harvest business margins would be in that 40% to 50%. So it's going to fluctuate there based upon how we approach the marketplace for discounts there. So I think that when we're talking -- and that's where it's been historically in the last couple of quarters. So I think when we look at the business in cannabis, is that we see some improved margins there from the growth on the international side of things. We see the growth in margins relative to Canada adult rec based upon 2.0 products and the mix of products that we continue to sell. And I think we just -- and I'd say that the Q2 margin was quite low based upon some one time bulk transaction that we indicated. And so that won't be replicated. And so I think that we've got some improvement that we'll see in the back half of the year.
- Operator:
- I would like to turn the floor over to Brendan for closing comments.
- Brendan Kennedy:
- Great. Let me end our discussion tonight by expressing my appreciation to the entire Tilray team for all that they do to improve the lives of our customers through the power of hemp in cannabis. Thank you all for your interest in our company, your participation on tonight's call and your thoughtful questions. Have a good evening.
- Operator:
- This concludes today's teleconference. You may now disconnect your lines.
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