Visteon Corporation
Q4 2012 Earnings Call Transcript
Published:
- Operator:
- Good morning, and welcome to the Visteon Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. Before we begin this morning's conference call, I'd like to remind you this presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results and conditions but rather are subject to various factors, risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these statements. Please refer to the slide entitled Forward-Looking Information for further information. Presentation materials for todayβs call were posted on the companyβs website this morning. Please visit www.visteon.com/earnings to download the material if you have not already done so. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference call, Mr. Scott Deitz, representing Investor Relations for Visteon Corporation. Mr. Deitz, you may begin.
- Scott Deitz:
- Thank you, Natalia. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for holding on the line there for an extra minute or 2 as additional people dialed in. Thanks for joining us for what we estimate will be about a 1-hour call. We are certainly grateful you're taking the time to join us for our review of the fourth quarter and the full year 2012. Today, we'll provide you with a recap of our results for the period and insights associated with our overall performance. We will also discuss our view toward 2013. As Natalia mentioned, the presentation deck associated with today's call is posted on Visteon's website within the IR section, and just a reminder that our website is visteon.com. Also of note, the 8-K and 10-K were filed this morning at about the same time as the news release. We are joined today by Tim Leuliette, President and CEO; and Jeff Stafeil, CFO. As you'd expect, following Tim and Jeff's prepared remarks, we'll open the call to your questions. Again, thanks for joining us. With that, Tim, it's all yours.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Thank you, Scott, and again good morning, everyone, and yes, we do appreciate you joining us this morning. We did have a good quarter. We ended the year with some good momentum as we enter into 2013, and let me hit some of the highlights, and Jeff will expand on the detail here as we get through the call. We ended the year with sales of about $6.9 billion, $628 million of EBITDA and an adjusted EPS of $4 a share, which was net income of $213 million. A positive cash flow of $102 million, free cash flow of $10 million, and we did end the year with solid liquidity. Cash of $845 million, up almost $100 million from prior year, and that is, by the way, after we paid back $50 million -- or retired $50 million of bonds and bought back $50 million of stock. Debt is $569 million, down $30 million from the prior year, and our debt to adjusted EBITDA is less than 1. We will spend a little time today, obviously, on updating 2013 guidance. We're not really changing at this stage our forecast for sales EBITDA or free cash flow. But because of changes in the share count and some tax issues, we have raised the earnings per share number, and Jeff will expand upon that a little later. We also, as we look back to the year, are very pleased with some of the value creation actions that we took and some of those now proceeding into 2013. I'll go through those in a moment. Moving on, if you will, to the next slide, Page 3. We put this here for a couple of reasons. One, I think as we look at the value metrics for what drives and should drive your mindset as to why to invest in Visteon and how we differentiate ourselves, I think we need to, first of all, go look at where vehicles are built. And there's a couple of points here. One, half of -- this is the 2012 look back at the production around the world. Over half the vehicles today are produced in Asia. North America accounts for 19%, the U.S. about 12% of all vehicles produced. So as we look at the global vehicle industry, we have to sometimes disconnect ourselves from the impacts of sequester or Bernanke comments or political upheaval here in the States, and understand its balance and its impact on the global production of vehicles. When we look at this bar chart on the left as to where vehicles are built, and the question is where does Visteon do business? And here again, I think, is one of the value metrics that we tried to share with you in the past and that is, we do participate significantly in Asia. This includes the current footprint of Visteon, including our Interiors business, of being though principally an Asian business especially when you consider our nonconsolidated entries. So we do participate in that high-growth Asian market, which by the way, the China component that's embedded in that 52% that's Asia, that component over the next 10 years will grow at the same size as the current size of the U.S. market. So significant opportunities here for us to participate in those growth markets, and we want to share that with you. Moving on to the next page, Page 4. We tried to highlight some of the major activities that we have gotten into this year to generate value. And it got, from a calendarization perspective, quite intense obviously towards the end of the year. And what I'd like to do is just leave that page as sort of a summary but move on to the next page, Page 5, where we start taking those pieces and applying to where they are within the corporate level and where they impact the different business groups. First of all, going back and looking at Visteon specifically on the strategic plan side. As you know, we did outline last year on September 19 a strategic template for the company -- that's in your appendix -- that's still the strategic plan for this company. We also began to attack the SG&A and fixed cost. We attacked the pension issue and reduced the PBO there by 25%. And again, I've mentioned earlier, we did a $50 million share buyback and a $50 million bond retirement. As we look at the pieces of the company, looking back, obviously, the Halla Visteon, which we internally refer to as Project Talk, putting together and consolidating our climate business has been a significant success. The response from the customers have been very strong. The recent awards have been very encouraging. That's a $410 million transaction back to the parent. 80% of that will be completed by the end of this quarter. The only pieces that are not are just because they're in the queue for some regulatory process, typically China, at this stage, and those will all be completed, if not by -- in the first quarter into the second quarter and clearly within the first half. On an adjusted gross margin basis, I think the other thing that we should look at from a value story is the margin improvement that really occurred across the board. As we look at the second half of Halla Visteon versus the first, you saw a 1.5% increase, 150 basis points in gross margin and, again, a solid $550 million in new business win. As we look at the Electronics piece, which is one where we're going to focus on this call, as we have historically done over the last few calls focusing on a specific business. This is now the turn to focus on Electronics, unlock value there. But also there, the gross margin during the year versus the second half versus the first half, up 80 basis points, and $515 million in new business wins in '12. On the Interiors piece, again, we tend to -- we're continuing to explore alternatives there. It's not core. We'll talk a bit more about that the next page. But even there we saw some margin improvement in the second half and won some new business. We focused on Yanfeng Visteon the last time we were together on January 15 at the Deutsche conference, for those of you who were there. And again, the focus of that business is continuing its growth and relating to the fact that there's 26 facilities there, 8 all new and 18 being expanded significantly at this point. Now that's kind of what we did in 2012. Let's now look at creating value for 2013 on the next page. These are the things that we're looking at internally. These are the kinds of metrics that we are looking at to measure our own selves with. And that's, first of all, on the SG&A and fixed cost side. Another 5% reduction in SG&A in '13, which should bring about a 30 basis point improvement in overall margins to the company. We will execute a portion, obviously, of the $250 million outstanding share buyback program, that will be a component of that this year. On Interiors, I think the simple term and simple word for Interiors and what our goals are this year are very simple, divest. And when it comes to the Dongfeng sale, which I think we've probably talked about in the past, we're going to complete the sale of our 20% direct interest in the Dongfeng Visteon piece. As we look at the pieces, Halla Visteon, this year we're going to complete that transaction that we started. We're looking now at launching $700 million of this backlog as we grow this business at a 7% CAGR over the next few years. And I think, quite honestly, given some of the momentum we've seen recently as the year has started here that we can probably increase that CAGR as we look out over the longer term. And we're also looking at 100 to 150 basis points of margin improvement there over the next few years and beginning the components of that process. These margin improvement programs are driven by just factory floor improvement, by optimizing assets and by discipline. On the Electronics side, we have a positive backlog there starting from over the last few years, I'll expand upon that in a moment. 14% CAGR growth in the cockpit electronics piece, which is our core business there, and again, focusing there on some margin improvement. And on Yanfeng Visteon, we're launching $1 billion in business this year and $1 billion -- over $1 billion next year, looking at increasing our dividends there and increasing the transparency. As we committed to you on January 15, we'll be using this year to roll out more information on Yanfeng. Some of the financials will be included in a K that will be done by the end of June. That's sort of the template of 2013. I would like now to turn to Page 7 quickly to look at the share repurchase program. Just to remind you that we have $250 million outstanding on that program. The first $50 million that we purchased back in the fourth quarter, we purchased at an average price of $49.72 a share, and we'll obviously be up -- we'll update you on this on a quarterly basis. Moving on to the next section here. It says -- as I said, it's been customary for us to focus on a specific segment. This time, it's Electronics. I want to sort of give you a view of what we see as we analyze our options here, understand the business as we do. And the first piece here is on Page 9, is looking at the business -- it really is in 2 components. We have a consolidated Electronics business, which is $1.3 billion in 8 facilities, Asia, Europe, North America, South America. And then we have the nonconsolidated piece. The largest component of that is our Yanfeng piece, but we also have a motorcycle 2-wheel drive operation in Indonesia. But that is about $800 million of revenue and 8 manufacturing sites. Together, when we eliminate the intercompany, we're looking at an Electronics business that's about $1.9 billion with 16 manufacturing facilities around the world. As we go to the next page, on Page 10, you see that the cockpit electronics piece, which is really the core of this business that we're building for the future here, that's a 14% CAGR. And that is, again, a fairly strong component of growth and something that we need to make sure we understand from a value perspective. And I will be honest with you, I don't think in our share price today, this understanding of the value proposition here is there. This is a business that is currently at an 8% EBITDA margin, 9% of revenue is engineering. That's a net number. This is an engineering-intensive business. We spend approximately 12% of sales on engineering, of which 1/4 of that is typically now covered by customers as part of a joint co-development. And it's CapEx -- from a CapEx perspective, it's not a capital-intensive business, it's only about 3%. We're in the top 3 in information and controls and a top 5 player in the overall cockpit, market leader in many respects, and I'll take you through some reaction from customers on a couple of slides back. And there's some key opportunities for growth -- or key opportunities here for value as we understand our options in this business. Again, on the right side of this chart, we'll focus on a couple of terms and that is, we'd look at the information and controls business and we look at the audio and infotainment piece as the area that we participate in. Moving to the next slide, when you look at our Electronics business, it's 11,000 people in 31 sites in 15 countries. We have technical support and sales activities in all the major regions and we do have joint ventures in China, Indonesia and Russia. We're almost half Asia Pacific in this business, 1/4 each in North America and Europe, a small sliver in South America. Our customer base is typically Ford, right today, Renault-Nissan, the Chinese OEMs growing, Mazda, Volkswagen and others. But I will say this, significant expansion is now occurring with some of the order book with Renault-Nissan and the Japanese OEMs and some significant awards with Jaguar Land Rover and Volkswagen. As we go to the next page, this is the cockpit electronics market on the left side. It's a $35 billion piece of the over $100 billion automotive electronics, $35 billion of it is in this cockpit area and is growing quite rapidly. If we look at information and controls, we are the third-place position behind Conti and Denso. When we look at the overall cockpit, we're in the fifth position behind Alpine, Harman, Denso and Conti. This is an industry and a segment that is ripe, we believe, for consolidation. There hasn't been a major consolidation in this area since the Siemens VDO activity in 2007. So this is where we play and this is the strengths we bring to the market. Going to the next page, in why we see the growth and, from our perspective, in value is looking at the business from a couple of perspectives. First of all, separating out the vehicle electronics business, which has been the business that the company has -- is phasing out, which is in many respects a build-to-print low-margin business. And focusing on the cockpit side, cockpit both in the consolidated and nonconsolidated pieces. And you can see over the last few years, the decline of the build-to-print cockpit electronics -- excuse me, vehicle electronics business, has been offset by the growth of the others. But on a top line basis, it doesn't look like there's a lot of activity. But underneath that has been some fairly strong dynamics. And as we look forward, we see some significant growth. As we look to the next page, that growth is -- on Page 14 -- is fueled by a history of strong new business wins over the last few years. You can see from 2009 to 2012 a steady stream of new business wins, fueling what is the cockpit electronic growth for us on the right side of the page. As we look out over 2015, '16 and the new awards that are coming in, we're fairly comfortable with this forecast and outlook. As we go to the next page, Page 15, you see the kinds of products that we are in, the heads-up display, the infotainment pieces, the -- some of the cluster work, I will tell you we have about 700 software engineers in India. Jeff and I and others were there last -- 2 weeks ago going through the next generation. Many of these people came out of the gaming industry. So some of the graphics and some of the excitement in the cluster is very, very real. On the infotainment side, the ability to walk in the vehicle and have that display mimic the iPhone or the Droid or whatever -- Android -- whatever you have in your pocket, immediately pick you up and reflect the same icons on the page. A lot of dynamics going on in this market. We have shown, on the right-hand side, a concept vehicle that I'll talk about shortly, the Visteon e-Bee, which kind of reflects the next generation of where we see this market going. The HABIT cockpit concept and the smart screen concept, all of these technologies now rippling through the industry and representing the kind of technology base the company has. Going on to the next page, we did show at the Electronica in Munich and in the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas the e-Bee vehicle. And the e-Bee vehicle will be with us at the Shanghai show for those who want to come with us. We are going to be out there in April. The e-Bee vehicle reaction has been very strong. Customer feedback has been, "It's the best concept vehicle we've ever seen from a Tier 1." You see the reaction here from some of the other OEMs. It creates a platform of technology. It creates a platform of value, now what do we with it? So going forward, to summarize the electronics positioning, a 14% CAGR growth business for us now. We are embedded in what is now the largest mobile device in the world, the automobile. And we have substantial opportunities here, and our optionality, as been the key to our strategy, is still in place here as to what we do with these assets. And with that, let me turn it over to Jeff now to go through a deeper detail of the financials.
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Thanks, Tim, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin on Slide 19 with an overview of our full year 2012 sales by region and by customer. The left side of the page reflects only our consolidated sales while the chart on the right include sales from both our consolidated and nonconsolidated joint ventures. As Tim mentioned earlier, we're an Asian-centric company, which you can see in the above chart. Based on our backlog, we expect Asia to continue to grow as a percent of our overall sales. Turning to Slide 20. It should be noted that our financial results have been impacted by a number of items that make year-over-year comparisons difficult. The adjusted financial information presented on this slide excludes these items. As non-GAAP financial measures, this adjusted financial information is reconciled to U.S. GAAP financials in the attached appendix on Pages 41 through 48. I will discuss each of these metrics more in the following pages, but you can obviously see, and as Tim said, it was a good quarter. Turning to Slide 21. Adjusted sales were $1.8 billion during the fourth quarter of 2012 and $6.9 billion for the full year. Versus 2011, sales increased $166 million in the fourth quarter and decreased $126 million for the full year. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $42 million higher than 2011 while adjusted EBITDA for the full year decreased by $57 million. Turning to Slide 22. This highlights our 2012 adjusted EBITDA performance by quarter. We generated $196 million of adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter compared with the average adjusted EBITDA of $144 million during the first 3 quarters of the year, or $135 million if you exclude the Lighting business. When we first gave guidance for 2012, we said that we expected new business and increased cost efficiencies would drive increased profitability in the second half of the year. Those expectations were realized but a significant increase in the fourth quarter also reflected the calendarization of commercial agreements. Fourth quarter included $37 million of commercial agreements. Generally speaking, these agreements primarily relate to business in Europe and South America, where for some of our customer contracts, we have not adjusted our purchase orders annually for large movements in currency, material prices and/or fluctuations in expected volume. As a result, we negotiate adjustments every year with these customers for these items, and we have called them out separately in this presentation. The timing of these agreements can be uneven throughout the year. And in 2012, we recognized a disproportionate amount of the full year impact in the fourth quarter. As we look forward to 2013, we expect new business and cost improvements will flow through our results but the first quarter will not receive the same level of benefit from customer agreements as did Q4. Similar to 2012, we expect adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2013 will be higher than the first half, again, because of new business launching throughout the year as well as increased cost savings. Turning to Slide 23. We show our adjusted sales and adjusted EBITDA for our 3 product groups
- Scott Deitz:
- Thank you, Jeff. Thank you, Tim. Before we move on to Q&A, I just want to remind everyone that there's a very robust and detailed appendix as part of this deck, and we'd certainly encourage you to take a look at the supplemental financial disclosures. With that, Natalia, we're ready to begin the Q&A process if you want to ping the group.
- Operator:
- [Operator Instructions] You have a question from the line of Ryan Brinkman with JPMorgan.
- Ryan Brinkman:
- So I guess my first question is just after the sale of your interest in Visteon TYC, which had not really been on our radar screen, and coming on the heels of last year's R-TEK sale which, again, had not been on our, or I think other investors' radar screens, I'm just wondering what other JVs are out there? Like I learned today that you have some motorcycle and all-wheel drive venture in Indonesia, which I was also unaware of. So apart from the big ones, YFV and Duckyang, maybe you can just shed some light on what else is available even if you're not looking at potentially divesting it. It seems like maybe not any one is highly material, but in aggregate, it seems to be getting meaningful.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Again -- thanks, Ryan. I think, a couple of points. The one sale of the -- it was the last remaining sale component of the Lighting business, which we had to wrap up, which was part of the announced sale earlier. That was the one element. I think as you look at the various JVs we have around, yes, they're small. They're all included, I think, in our reported materials obviously. There's nothing of significance here. I think when you still look at the bulk of our JVs, they're the ones that we discussed in the past, which are the Yanfeng piece, the Duckyang piece. I think, as you look at our Interiors business, there's a couple of JVs inside Interiors. We've always said, on the Interiors piece in particular, that's more of a mosaic than many people understand. There's an Interiors business in Europe that's fairly strong and large, but there's also these JVs in Korea and some other smaller pieces in India, et cetera, that are part of that. I don't really see a significant opportunity set here of a $30 million, $40 million, $50 million -- if that's what you're thinking about -- gain by the sale of some JV that you're unaware of. I mean, we're cleaning those pieces up, and I think the big ones you are aware of.
- Ryan Brinkman:
- Okay. And thanks for the deep dive, too, on Electronics this quarter. Maybe to just dovetail on your comments in regards to that division, I was wondering if you could perhaps elaborate on the press release that you issued just on Monday of this week regarding the next-generation infotainment platform with the European automaker. I take it that you cannot name that automaker or else you probably would have in the release, but just anything else you can tell us about that? What should we read into it? Does it signify your bringing your infotainment systems maybe more upscale to compete more head-on with some of the more visible competitors there? Or just what other takeaways should we take from that release?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Thanks for the question. It's a good one. That infotainment award -- and yes, we would be happy to announce the customer if we could. But the key to that was it's one of the next-generation, open-source type infotainment platforms, or the Eagle platform that we call internally, which is going to -- we're going to be rolling out to a number of customers over the next few years. That is more of, to use your term, an upscale, more sophisticated system. But most importantly, it interfaces with a whole broad array of other software and other providers' technology. It's this new open-source type technology, which everyone wants to go to. And I think we'll expand a bit more. It was shown -- I think -- if you were -- I can't remember if you were, but those who were out at the Consumer Electronics Show, we spent a deep dive on that platform. We'll also be highlighting that at the Shanghai show on April 17, 18 and 19. I'll be there with the leadership team. And if you're going to be visiting there, we'll take you through the technology because it's quite exciting.
- Ryan Brinkman:
- Okay. And then very last question, maybe for Jeff. Just regarding the total company -- high-level question -- the total company adjusted EBITDA walk on Page 21 of the presentation, it seems like a lot of the improvement in the quarter was driven more by commercial agreements rather than business equation. And just high level, how should we think about this? And what is your outlook for commercial agreements, how they're likely to track in 2013 relative to 2012? And should we think about business equation being stickier than commercial agreements or not necessarily?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. Ryan, good question. The commercial agreements really reflect areas that in a perfect world we would have adjusted in new purchase orders and should reflect our monthly results. They were definitely more lumpy in 2012 as a lot of it was left for the fourth quarter to accomplish. But I would say one of the steps we're taking in 2013 is to do our best to make those agreements more regular-based and trying to spread them more evenly during the quarter. But they do require, the way they're currently constructed, an agreement with the customer, which always is a little difficult to time. But they are real things that happen in the quarter -- during the year, it's just a catch-up and they've occurred several years running within Visteon. So I would say we'll have a little bit more diligence and a little bit more focus to do them a bit more evenly throughout the year is our goal.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- And I would say this -- and I know, Ryan, you're off now -- but I want to send this message to everyone on the phone and that is, we may not be able to duplicate the kind of magnitude of those numbers in a quarter going forward but we're clearly going to duplicate the intensity of making sure if somebody owes us money, we go get it. I think the issue here of getting engineering recoveries, getting proper payments, getting proper pricing, is something that we will intently pursue, appropriately so, as we go forward.
- Operator:
- Your next question is from the line of Brian Johnson with Barclays.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- I have a few questions. First, just following up on that commercial agreement. Was the magnitude you got in fourth quarter kind of reflective of what you might think about for full year 2013 in your prior guide? Or you do -- are you actually getting more traction in collecting your -- what's owed to you?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. I would say there is a little -- for the most part, it should reflect about what we're going to get in 2013. There was a little bit of catch-up, we'd say, in probably 2012, but for the most part, it's reflected, and it's certainly reflected in our guidance, Brian.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- I would say, just to put a ballpark on it, approximately 25% to 30% of that was probably out-of-year recoveries from like '11, et cetera. So the rest of that should be more stable.
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- And we -- again, we've included it in our guidance.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Okay. So that was kind of you were reflecting that going forward.
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Second, just very minor question, but then I do want to talk about Halla and Interiors. Could you two just give a couple of sample products in this wind-down vehicle electronics space?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- The -- on the powertrain side? Steve Meszaros here, he runs the Electronics piece. You want to comment, Steve, on some of the products that you have in that group?
- Steve Meszaros:
- Yes. These are products that are sort of the history of our prior legacy as being a sole supplier of products to Ford Motor Company, and they're typically the last of our powertrain electronics and some body electronics business that we were actually -- began the exit of back in 2006 but some of these have a very long lifetime, and it's taking a number of years to exit.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- They last as long as the platform. They...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. Right. The exit of Cadiz sort of really signified the bulk of the rest of that business going away for us.
- Steve Meszaros:
- That's right.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Yes. So just completely -- even though they have semiconductors completely different from the information and the infotainment business you're staying in.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- They're different, yes, they have circuit boards and that type of thing. But the issue here is, in essence, a build-to-print and supporting in many respects some customers versus the opportunity to go and design and be at the upfront as far as leading the technology charge in the cockpit side, which we do. So some were designed to print, some weren't, but for the most part, it's not an area that has the margin opportunity, the growth opportunity, that the cockpit side does.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Okay. On Halla, you had a regulatory filing that you wouldn't buy the minority stake or reignite, if you will, the prior tender offer. What does that mean in context of your comments in conferences that the right number is either 100% or something else?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- This was a statement required in the filing as to what our intentions were with respect to the tender offer. It had to be updated just as part of the normal process. So at this stage of our business model, we don't currently have any plans to make another tender offer or proceed with acquiring any of the 30% we do not own. That was a required request on the Korean filing from the agency there.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Okay. But in terms of -- does that imply that you might bleed out more stock to the marketplace or you're happy where you are?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- We're -- we basically said long-term that we're a 0, 51 or kind of 100 kind of guy. But at this point in time, we have no plans to go up or down.
- Brian Arthur Johnson:
- Okay. And then, finally, on the Interiors segment, a couple of questions. Is it still cash flow neutral or even positive as you seek to find buyers for it? And two, any update in terms of do you have a date [indiscernible] books out or are we not yet at that point in the process?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Yes. I don't think we want to comment in a granular detail where we are in the M&A process. But I will say that from the standpoint of cash flow, as we've said before, that the business is a drain on the short term because of restructuring costs, this rightsizing the operations in Europe. And I think that's probably the principal driver of cash flow, it's the restructuring and proper rightsizing of the business.
- Operator:
- Your next question is from the line of Matthew Stover with Guggenheim.
- Matthew T. Stover:
- Jeff, a quick question for you -- a couple of them actually. I want you to sort of clarify the comment you made on recoveries. I understand that in the '13 guidance, you have an expectation of recoveries baked in. But if we look at the release, you posted 37 of the recovery in the fourth quarter, which was 30 better than last year. And then for the year, it was 20 better. And so how should we think about that recovery embedded in your guidance in terms of value?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. It's a good question, Matt. Think of the recoveries as parts we're selling within 2012 for the most part that have a price that has not been reflected for, let's say, excessive currency movement or where there's some other commercial element with the customer that justified the higher price. And rather than changing the PO, we had sort of a onetime per year settlement on that customer. So it's really 2000 -- it represented for the most part, we'll say all of -- 80% of it represented sales in 2012 where we just didn't have a PO that reflected the economics of the real purchase, mostly business in Europe and South America. So I would say for the most part, I want you to look at it and say, it belongs in the year, it's just a little bumpy of how it comes into our P&L [indiscernible].
- Matthew T. Stover:
- And then just sort of describe that with a comment that you'd made. I think you characterized the year as starting weaker from a margin standpoint, but then improving as the year goes on. But then when we look at the impact of this recovery on the fourth quarter, it's a very favorable impact to this year's fourth quarter. And so should we be thinking about that margin improvement as being versus this delta? Or is there an issue in the fourth quarter of last year where there might be some comparability issues just because of timing?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Timing did have some influence on this, there's no question about it. But for the most part, I think, going back, there's a lot of elements in your question. We do have, just by the very nature of the growth, back-ended in every year, kind of stronger quarter -- half, in the last half than we do in the front half. We also, quite interestingly, and we won't get into this in too much minutia, but we are impacted, quite honestly, as a company, larger by Lunar New Year and Chinese New Year than we are by the conventional Christmas and New Year break because more of our business is in Asia, which also happens to be a first quarter event. So therefore, we have a little bit different balance through the year than the others do. But for the most part -- and I just want to reinforce Jeff's comment, we will continue to pursue taking these lump-sum events like occurred in Q4 and try to make sure they're now more through the year and through the quarter the best we can. There are some areas, Argentina is an example, where you've got cyclicality and an inflationary impact on currency, which sometimes just by its default creates sort of episodic events of recovery. But we'll continue to try to reduce those as we go forward.
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- And I would stress, Matt, too, as you look at our fourth quarter even as you adjust those, we had very good sales and we had very good base level profitability, which did improve year-over-year.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Fourth quarter was good. It was a good quarter regardless, and this just made it better.
- Matthew T. Stover:
- Yes, yes. If I look at the comment regarding divesting the Interior business. If I look at your benefit obligations in the U.S., you've got about $1.5 billion. And overseas, you've got a $0.5 billion in your pension obligations. How much of that stuff is associated with Interiors?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Well, I think the easiest way to summarize that up is that Interiors has really no U.S. operations. So therefore, no impact here.
- Matthew T. Stover:
- Okay. And on the international piece?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- On the international piece, there's some, obviously, some French pension and some elements there. But that's not a driving factor of our overall unfunded position or our pension piece. I mean, it's a...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- There's definitely some exposure related to the Interiors business. I don't have the number off the top of hand -- head, Matt, but it's...
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- We can get it to you. We'll get it to you.
- Matthew T. Stover:
- Yes, yes. The last question is, Tim, you made a comment that the Electronics business is, I think you said ripe for consolidation given there hasn't been much activity. Is that to imply that you'd be interested in participating as a consolidating entity or was that an observation?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- We like to keep our options open there. So I have been consistent, I think, since my arrival here is that -- probably being the lead consolidator in any one segment's probably not our focus. But I do want to keep our options open there, and I do want to make sure that you all understand what we see as we evaluate the options for that business and the strengths that it has. And at this point, we put Electronics on the kind of the -- it was on the back burner last year because we had other priorities to deal with. And as this year progresses, and some of the other priorities start to work themselves off, we'll start looking at the options we have with Electronics. But I do believe that industry does need consolidation.
- Operator:
- Your next question is from the line of Colin Langan with UBS.
- Colin Langan:
- Yes, I think, back in November, you mentioned a listing in Asia as a possibility for some of your joint ventures. I think you said at that time it would take 18 months. Any update there on the timing and whether that's still something you're actively pursuing?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- I think we've been very clear -- and it's a good question, Colin -- that if we don't see the value proposition being properly addressed here in the U.S. that we'll look at scenarios and other options that where we can achieve that. We were obviously in Asia as much as we're anywhere, and that option's still on the table.
- Colin Langan:
- And the timing is still around -- it'll take at least 18 months?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Anything of that magnitude, if we were to pursue something like that, is not a short, easy event. So just stay tuned, and we'll see how things go.
- Colin Langan:
- And in terms of -- I think also back around November, you mentioned you were doing the $100 million in restructuring. I mean, how much has been completed so far? Or is this -- you're still just identifying what needs to get restructured?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. Colin, we took a charge in the fourth quarter of around 1/3 of that, $35 million or so. We have -- I'd say, as we look into 2013, we see sort of the balance of that. And the cash flow is sort of happening this year. For the most part, it might spill a little into next year.
- Colin Langan:
- Okay. And is that predominantly Interiors or...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes, the -- well, the -- what we've taken so far is predominantly Interiors. We -- you can see in our 10-K. But one of our French facilities, we downsized a little bit. In the rest of the year, it's a bit of a mix.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- There was -- there was basically 3...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Cutting from South America type of activities.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- 3 buckets for that, as you recall. One was Interiors and the rightsizing. The other was, we'll call, the SG&A and restructuring of the burden base here at the corporation. And the third bucket was cleaning up what we called, some of the sort of the legacy issues with customers and others. And each one of those has a different timeline. The second bucket, which is the restructuring SG&A side of the company, will continue to be ongoing. It typically has fairly quick paybacks. So from an annual perspective, you will -- there's some quarterly cash flow impacts. But from an annual perspective, it tends to be a less-than-a-year payback as a rule.
- Colin Langan:
- And any color -- actually your tax guidance came down for next year. It looks like by around $20 million on the high end, and then tax this quarter actually came in pretty low, so what -- but it doesn't seem like cash taxes has changed much. So what is actually going on with the taxes?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Yes. No, it's a good question. It's basically -- and one of the -- we mentioned that they could vary significantly. We have a few uncertain positions where we have some reserves out there. Depending on how some of our activity goes, we might release some of those reserves, which could impact mostly our tax expense on our income statement. We haven't changed our cash tax guidance at this point, although we will look, obviously, for additional opportunities to work on our cash, effective cash tax rate, as we go forward.
- Colin Langan:
- So it's essentially your estimated reserve came down, is that because of where the [indiscernible] ...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Correct. Yes. Essentially, a reserve on an uncertain tax position, we might get a little better definition of what the likelihood is we'd have to pay and we -- in certain cases, we think we're going to reduce that reserve.
- Colin Langan:
- Okay. Okay. And just lastly, you obviously highlighted cockpit electronics as a growth area. What percent of the business today is cockpit, is it already 90%? Or -- and then does the vehicle electronics go to 0% fairly shortly?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Let's go back to page...
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- You can see it on...
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- Yes. Was it 12?
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- It's Page 13, I think you can take a look at that.
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- 13. Yes, 13. That's the yellow, on that slide, is the vehicle electronics piece and then the remainder is cockpit. The only 2 -- 2 colors of cockpit, one, is in the consolidated entities and the nonconsolidated entities. But you can see how the yellow, which is the vehicle electronics piece, continues to go down. Some of this hangs on for quite some time. We have a piece in India that hangs on for quite some time, in China, that doesn't go away. But for the most part, it's down now to being 10%-or-so of the business.
- Operator:
- Your final question is from the line of Kirk Ludtke with CRT Capital Group.
- Kirk Ludtke:
- We really appreciate the update on Electronics. And it seems like a major trend, the integration of VE into the -- in the cockpit, particularly the smartphone. And how do you -- could you just talk a little bit about how your customers feel about the integration? It seems like, obviously, it makes a lot of sense, but they probably have some mixed feelings. They're losing some control over the product and they might have to cut the content providers and, particularly, the smartphone manufacturers into the mix somehow at some point. And can you expand on that and how quickly you think this will roll out? Are we -- is this something that is happening at the bidding level very -- in a very pronounced way and in a few years, we're going to see the iPhone display across dashboards in the industry? Or can you talk a little bit about those things?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- That's -- it's a good question for a whole day of technical presentations. But let me summarize it this way. The dynamics of the consumer driving the interior electronics of the vehicle is now real and cannot be discarded. The OEM and all of us are reacting to the fact that the consumer's driving -- sitting in the car with the device in his pocket and that device has significant influence and impact on everything else in the vehicle. And so all of this is rolling out. We are very well positioned in the user interface element of that. There are other people, other partners, other things, there's probably -- we have 30 active partners there in various elements of this. So I would say that this is very real. It's a very dynamic piece. I'll be happy to answer lots of questions with the team and the staff as we sit down to -- at the Shanghai Show, or any other time to take you through it, but this is an exciting thing in the vehicle, and it's very real time. The quotes we're doing now reflect a different vehicle than you're driving today. So...
- Kirk Ludtke:
- Yes, it sounds like it. With respect to the margin expansion, I mean, it would make sense that your margins would go up as you move toward the role of an integrator and away from a manufacturer. I was just curious, is -- are these -- is this basically -- are you offering something that you already are doing and you're riding a wave? Or do you need to go in and convince customers that you have new capabilities?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- I think, first of all, that customers always view Visteon as being one of the leaders on the interface side, human interface side of the cockpit, taking whatever external or internal factors the driver needs to see, feel, hear, interface with and being the integrator of that. And so they come to us. We do joint clinics with a number of customers, looking at different technologies and different interface styles and technologies. So it's a very real -- it really is -- it's a real spot for us, and it's an area that we have significant leverage with the customer. And they come to us. When we were at the Consumer Electronics Show, we spent literally hours and hours and hours with almost all the major OEMs as they went through the show. And then sat down in our vehicle, the e-Bee vehicle, and evaluated some of the -- what they saw, with some of what we were offering, as to how they want to modify their vehicles. I can't tell you how dramatically different the e-Bee vehicle is from what you're driving today, including the instrument panel layout, the space, the use of technology. So we can go on and on here. I know I've got to cut this off, Kirk. But this is an exciting area of the vehicle and one which, I think, you as an investor or as an analyst in this and looking at Visteon, need to understand our role in.
- Kirk Ludtke:
- That's great. Can I sneak one more in?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- One more.
- Kirk Ludtke:
- Everything has a price. You're talking about consolidation. Do you actually see assets on the market that would fit into your portfolio?
- Timothy D. Leuliette:
- I would say that this is a segment that, as I've said, we're going to elevate up to the front burner in '13 and we'll be evaluating our options there. I'll just leave it at that. All right? And let me say this to all of you. I think as we look at first quarter -- and let me close here, if I may, Scott -- we had a good quarter and we ended the year with some momentum. But we know we've got a lot more to do. And so '13, we've begun to lay out the building blocks of the next stages of value creation. We're very focused on that. We're going to take a group of you, I think, to Seoul and Shanghai here in a couple of weeks so you can see our activities in Asia. We're going to be back at the Shanghai show. Asia's very important to us but also the overall bottom line of creating value here and delivering to our customers. And so we appreciate your support. We're pleased with this quarter, as I said, but that's yesterday's news and we go forward to 2013, which we are comfortable with our outlook. We're comfortable with our momentum coming into this year and we see this as being another good year for Visteon. So thank you, all. We'll talk to you again next quarter.
- Jeffrey M. Stafeil:
- Thank you.
- Scott Deitz:
- Natalia, that completes our call.
- Operator:
- This concludes today's earnings call. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect.
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