Microsoft Corporation
COMPUTER NETWORK WITH TIME SERIES SEASONALITY-BASED PERFORMANCE ALERTS

Abstract:

A computer platform for hosting applications utilizes a computing device to manage seasonal performance metric alerts. The computer device may include a memory and at least one processor coupled to the memory. The computer device may collect a time series of an application performance metric for a period of less than two weeks. The computer device may determine a daily distributions each day within the period. The computer device may apply a radial basis function (RBF) kernel-based change point detection to the time series to determine that the daily distributions include a weekend time period that has a different daily distribution than a time period before or after the weekend time period. The computer device may adjust a baseline prediction of the metric for the weekend time period. The computer device may send an alert based on a deviation of a value of the metric from the adjusted baseline prediction.